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SYR

Syracuse 37 at Pittsburgh 44

PITT
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDFUMBLEFGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:42 · Sterling Hofrichter punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+19.5+9.80−9.8−19.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 128Pregame prior−3.8Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:12: Jarveon Howard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +18.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 0:21: Eric Dungey run for 21 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +21.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:51: Darrin Hall run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +30.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:53: Andre Szmyt 51 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +19.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:08: Alex Kessman 45 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +40.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 4:21SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:01PITT 4th & 2 at PITT 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 18 at SYR 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:26PITT 4th & 12 at SYR 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:50PITT 4th & 9 at SYR 37, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:50SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:18PITT 4th & 18 at PITT 12, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−3.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:30SYR 4th & 8 at PITT 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−6.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:12SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:13PITT 4th & 12 at PITT 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−3.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:12PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:42SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 15, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:32PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:11SYR 4th & 4 at PITT 11, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%−1.0
    87% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−15.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:53SYR 4th & 16 at PITT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−4.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:41PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.4%−7.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:08PITT 4th & 4 at SYR 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−10.5
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−24.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:54SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:32SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:47PITT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:12PITT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:12SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:21SYR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:51PITT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0661% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 9 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
39.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 7 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
39.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 19 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
39.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
39.4%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+15
39.4%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete to Riley, S., PENALTY UP pass interference (Hamlin, D.) 15 yards to the UP18, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
39.4%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
39.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for no gain to the Pitt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+6
39.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 6 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
39.4%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Pitt 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
39.4%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0039% → 40%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 9 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
39.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
39.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
39.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 11 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
39.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 5
OPP 47
-8
39.9%
Shocky Jacques-Louis run for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 42 Shocky Jacques-Louis fumbled, forced by Alton Robinson, recovered by Syrac Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:2962% → 65%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
38.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 6 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+5
38.3%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
38.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+29
38.3%
Eric Dungey run for 29 yds to the Pitt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
35.0%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4536% → 39%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.4%
Maurice Ffrench run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+69
39.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 69 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:2661% → 58%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
38.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
38.3%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+35
42.2%
Eric Dungey run for no gain Eric Dungey fumbled, forced by Quintin Wirginis, recovered by Pitt Dane Jackson , return for 35 yds, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.5%
Eric Dungey run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
41.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 2 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
42.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
42.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
43.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 7 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+5
43.7%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
43.9%
Darrin Hall run for 8 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
44.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
43.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for no gain to the Pitt 48Similar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-2
43.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 41 yds , Sean Riley returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0457% → 55%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
43.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 9
-4
43.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (Jamal Custis) to the Syrac 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 5
0
43.6%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 5
-4
44.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Moe Neal for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 1Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 1
0
44.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:0747% → 46%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
46.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-7
46.5%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 14:33
3RD & 16
OPP 40
+4
44.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 4 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+54
45.7%
Alex Kessman 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
46.5%
Moe Neal run for 7 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
45.8%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+6
46.3%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
45.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
46.2%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+6
45.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 6 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
44.9%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted Amir Watts return for no gain to the Syrac 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11FG
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:3049% → 55%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
49.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 9 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-1
49.3%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+2
48.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 2 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
49.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
49.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-3
48.9%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+55
54.9%
Alex Kessman 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
52.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 13 yds to the Syrac 38 Dontae Strickland fumbled, forced by Bricen Garner, recovered by Syrac Dontae Strickland for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
51.4%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-1
50.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
51.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
52.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Qadree OllisonSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
56.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-11
55.1%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Kingsley Jonathan and Kielan Whitner for a loss of 11 yards to the Pitt 12Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 18
OWN 12
+19
54.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 49 yds , Trill Williams returns for 19 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:0649% → 51%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
51.1%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+7
51.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 7 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
50.8%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
49.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 13 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
49.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
49.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
50.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
48.7%
Andre Szmyt 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15INT
7 plays · 55 yds · 1:0752% → 57%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
52.1%
Darrin Hall run for 17 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
54.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Pitt 47Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 5
OWN 47
+1
55.0%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 48Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+32
55.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 32 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
56.8%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted, touchback. Christopher Fredrick return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
54.7%
Eric Dungey sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4853% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
52.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+68
67.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 68 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.1%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
64.8%
Dungey, E. pass incomplete to Riley, S. (Mathis, D.), PENALTY UP offside defense (Jones, P.) 5 yards to the SU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
63.7%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-6
65.0%
Eric Dungey sacked by Quintin Wirginis for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 14:12
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-6
67.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 53 yds , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
68.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 11 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
69.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 22Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+2
68.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
67.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
66.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 34 yds, downed at the Syrac 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:4031% → 50%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
69.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 27 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
66.7%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+1
66.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+22
67.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 22 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
49.6%
Jarveon Howard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
57.5%
Darrin Hall run for 14 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
58.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
58.4%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
57.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
56.2%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
56.8%
Howard, J. rush for 4 yards to the SU10 (Hamlin, D.), PENALTY UP offside defense (Hendrix, D.) 5 yards to the SU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 5
OWN 11
+2
56.1%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 3
OWN 13
0
56.5%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+2
57.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
58.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0061% → 56%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
61.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-2
60.4%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
58.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
56.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:3741% → 69%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
59.1%
Nykeim Johnson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+15
58.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Taj Harris for 15 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
55.5%
Nykeim Johnson run for 8 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
54.0%
Nykeim Johnson run for 3 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
54.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+22
54.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 22 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
52.6%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
53.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+21
31.1%
Eric Dungey run for 21 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:2137% → 38%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
37.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to John Morgan for 8 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
39.8%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
38.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for no gain to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
38.4%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 31 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Syrac Ryan Guthrie , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1972% → 77%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
28.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 9 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
28.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj Harris, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+5
29.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 5 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
28.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+4
28.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Pitt 11Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
29.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
23.0%
Andre Szmyt 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2027% → 65%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
27.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 29 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
32.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
32.2%
Hall, D. rush for 3 yards to the SU40 (Foster, E.), PENALTY SU offside defense (Robinson, A.) 5 yards to the SU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+5
32.4%
Hall, D. rush for 3 yards to the SU35 (Fredrick, C.), PENALTY SU offside defense (Robinson, A.) 5 yards to the SU33, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+25
34.2%
Darrin Hall run for 25 yds to the Syrac 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
33.8%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Syrac 7Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
64.6%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:5849% → 70%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.2%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
50.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+42
52.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 42 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
43.9%
Moe Neal run for 5 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
43.6%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the Pitt 36 Jarveon Howard fumbled, recovered by Syrac Jarveon HowardSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 16
OPP 36
0
50.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 16
OPP 36
+51
30.2%
Andre Szmyt 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 29FG
18 plays · 48 yds · 5:4539% → 62%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
39.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 11 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
42.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
43.3%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 47Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+1
42.5%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 48Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+3
36.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
40.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
40.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+7
40.8%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
38.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+3
39.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
30.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
62.1%
Alex Kessman 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 30END OF GAME
7 plays · 0 yds · 15:0851% → 75%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
50.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
64.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 9 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+6
64.7%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
64.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Syrac 6Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
64.7%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Syrac 3Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
75.0%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 31INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.4%
Eric Dungey pass intercepted, touchback. Therran Coleman return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:08
Alex Kessman 45 yd FG GOOD
+40.2
TD · Q4 7:51
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Kessman KICK)
+30.8
TD · Q3 0:21
Eric Dungey run for 21 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-21.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com