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GT

Georgia Tech 66 at Louisville 31

LOU
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2018 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:35 · Mason King punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense−47.3Score differential−27.7Pregame prior−5.2Garbage-time factor−14.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:03: Jordan Mason run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +5.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:22: Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 29 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +4.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:49: Trey Smith run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +8.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:32: Qua Searcy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +10.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:02: Qua Searcy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +7.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:16LOU 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:09LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:46GT 4th & 11 at LOU 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−5.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 0:35LOU 4th & 24 at LOU 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  5. Q4 11:13LOU 4th & 5 at GT 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q4 0:54LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 40, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:08GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:15GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:03GT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:22LOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:49LOU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:32GT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:02GT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:19GT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:13GT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:13LOU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:35GT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:18GT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 0:28LOU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:3831% → 32%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
30.7%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Micky Crum for 22 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
30.9%
Trey Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
31.2%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 1
50
0
31.6%
Trey Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 1
50
0
32.0%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Micky CrumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:0869% → 69%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
50
0
31.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
50
+4
31.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+8
31.9%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
32.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+33
30.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 33 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2231% → 31%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
31.4%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
31.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Lukayus McNeil) to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+6
31.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Trey Smith for 6 yds Trey Smith fumbled, forced by Anree Saint-Amour, recovered by GTech Charlie ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:2469% → 72%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
30.9%
Clinton Lynch run for 11 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
30.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+11
30.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 11 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
30.8%
Jerry Howard run for 9 yds to the Lvile 1Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0529% → 28%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.3%
Jeremy Smith run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
29.3%
Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
28.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
28.4%
Mason King punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 5:0572% → 80%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
27.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 15 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
27.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 9 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+6
26.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
26.6%
Qua Searcy run for 25 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
26.2%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+3
26.0%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
25.8%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the Lvile 10Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
25.6%
Clinton Lynch run for 8 yds to the Lvile 2Similar
Q1 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.4%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:3821% → 26%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
21.0%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
20.8%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+16
20.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 16 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
21.1%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 7 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+17
21.2%
Hassan Hall run for 17 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
21.2%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 5 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-6
20.8%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+29
25.7%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 29 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 4:3676% → 81%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
23.8%
Clinton Lynch run for 5 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
23.4%
Jerry Howard run for 11 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
22.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 31 yds to the Lvile 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
22.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the Lvile 22Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
22.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-4
22.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 23Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+41
19.1%
Wesley Wells 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5021% → 30%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
21.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 16 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
22.5%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Seth DawkinsSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
22.1%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Hassan Hall for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 1
50
+11
22.8%
Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
22.7%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 12 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
23.2%
Jawon Pass run for no gain to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
22.2%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 9 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+1
22.0%
Jawon Pass run for 1 yd to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
22.2%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Micky CrumSimilar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
22.0%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Hassan HallSimilar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+12
21.4%
Trey Smith run for 12 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
29.9%
Trey Smith run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:0974% → 87%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
26.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
25.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 9 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
25.7%
Nathan Cottrell run for 11 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
25.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
24.5%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+8
24.3%
Clinton Lynch run for 8 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
24.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 12 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
24.0%
Nathan Cottrell run for 10 yds to the Lvile 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.2%
Qua Searcy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 59 yds · 0:2319% → 24%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
18.6%
Trey Smith run for 14 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
18.1%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+37
17.8%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Devante Peete for 37 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
20.2%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Devante Peete for 8 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+46
24.1%
Blanton Creque 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 6:4980% → 94%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
19.6%
Clinton Lynch run for 9 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+4
19.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
19.0%
Jerry Howard run for 6 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
17.6%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
17.1%
Jordan Mason run for 16 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
16.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+9
16.2%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
15.8%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
15.6%
Nathan Cottrell run for 6 yds to the Lvile 14Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+4
14.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
14.2%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the Lvile 3Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
14.0%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the Lvile 1Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.2%
Qua Searcy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:299% → 9%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
8.5%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Kemari Averett for 15 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
8.5%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 5 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:5396% → 98%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
3.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 23 TaQuon Marshall fumbled, recovered by GTech TaQuon MarshallSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+5
3.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Lvile 18Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+17
3.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 17 yds to the Lvile 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:444% → 2%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
3.7%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
2.1%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
2.1%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Hassan Hall for 8 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+15
1.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
2.1%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
2.0%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Micky Crum for 6 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 4
OPP 34
-10
1.9%
Jawon Pass sacked by Anree Saint-Amour for a loss of 10 yards to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 14
OPP 44
-5
1.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 49Similar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 19
OPP 49
-5
1.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 46Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 24
OWN 46
0
1.5%
Mason King punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 1:4799% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
0.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+65
0.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 65 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
0.7%
Jordan Mason run for 11 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the Lvile 5Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.5%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 1:530% → 1%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
0.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
0.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Trey Smith for 1 yd to the Lvile 42Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
0.4%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+11
0.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Hassan Hall for 11 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
0.3%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Hassan Hall for 5 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
0.3%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Keion WakefieldSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
0.3%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+42
0.5%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 42 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:38100% → 100%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.5%
Jerry Howard run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
0.5%
Tobias Oliver run for 10 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
0.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 8 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+7
0.3%
Jerry Howard run for 7 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
0.3%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+29
0.3%
Omahri Jarrett run for 29 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
0.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 8 yds to the Lvile 2Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.2%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19INT TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:080% → 0%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+25
0.2%
Jordan Travis run for 25 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.2%
Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
0.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Jordan DavisSimilar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+15
0.1%
Travis, Jordan pass incomplete to Harrell, Tyler, PENALTY GATECH pass interference (Swilling, Tre) 15 yards to the GATECH41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.Similar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
0.2%
Colin Wilson run for 2 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
0.1%
Jordan Travis run for 6 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+6
0.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Emonee Spence for 6 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Tyler HarrellSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+16
0.1%
Jordan Travis run for 16 yds to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+95
0.1%
Jordan Travis pass intercepted for a TD Juanyeh Thomas return for 95 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
0.1%
Jordan Travis sacked by Christian Campbell for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+5
0.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 5 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+31
0.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 31 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
0.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 29 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.1%
Joseph Macrina run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:32
Qua Searcy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)
-10.8
TD · Q2 2:49
Trey Smith run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q3 8:02
Qua Searcy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com