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RICE

Rice 24 at Wake Forest 56

WAKE
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:27 · Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Pregame prior+7.6Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+26.9Blowout margin+12.8Garbage-time factor+12.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:30: Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +0.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:33: Cade Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:17: Jack Fox 39 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +3.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:10: Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 38 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q2 5:25: Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 4 yards Emmanuel Esukpa fumbled, forced by Zeek Rodney, recovered by WFrst Essang Bassey , return for 51 yds (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00WAKE 4th & 3 at RICE 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:21RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:37RICE 4th & 17 at RICE 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:58RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 2 at RICE 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:17RICE 4th & 3 at WAKE 21, down 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:25RICE 4th & 4 at WAKE 39, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 44, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:00WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 23, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:55WAKE 4th & 1 at RICE 37, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:28RICE 4th & 4 at WAKE 27, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:50RICE 4th & 3 at WAKE 3, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:54RICE 4th & 13 at RICE 6, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:25WAKE 4th & 8 at RICE 43, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:37RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 21, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:27WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 43, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:37WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:58WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:30WAKE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:33WAKE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:10WAKE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:08RICE Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:58WAKE Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:13WAKE Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:55RICE Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:50RICE Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
95.6%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
95.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 11 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
95.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 7 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
95.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
95.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
95.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for no gain to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+1
95.3%
Shawn Stankavage run for 1 yd to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Jack Fox punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:4195% → 95%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
94.9%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
94.9%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
95.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 54 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.0%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
95.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
95.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
95.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
95.1%
Jack Fox punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:0395% → 95%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
94.9%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+10
94.9%
Cade Carney run for 10 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
94.9%
Hartman, S deep pass incomplete to Bachman, A (BICKHAM, Justin), PENALTY RICE pass interference (BICKHAM, Justin) 15 yards to the RICE27, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
95.0%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+9
95.0%
Cade Carney run for 9 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
95.0%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+9
95.0%
Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.4%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.1%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
95.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+14
95.2%
Jack Fox punt for 50 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 14 yds to the WFrst 44 RICE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:2495% → 96%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
95.3%
Hartman, S slant pass complete to Dortch, G for 31 yards to the RICE30, PENALTY WF ineligible downfield on pass (Haynes, P) 5 yards to the WF34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+7
95.2%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
95.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 5 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
95.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 5 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
95.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 17 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
95.4%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+8
95.4%
Matt Colburn run for 8 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
95.4%
Hartman, S deep pass incomplete to Freudenthal, J, PENALTY RICE holding (SILCOX, Dylan) 10 yards to the RICE10, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8INT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
96.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
96.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 9 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
96.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+2
96.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+43
96.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass intercepted Luke Masterson return for 43 yds to the Rice 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9TD
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4097% → 98%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
96.5%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
96.5%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+2
96.5%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+3
96.4%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
96.5%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.5%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:162% → 5%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+10
98.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
98.0%
Giovanni Gentosi run for 19 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
97.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
98.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 7 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
97.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
94.6%
Jack Fox 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:0796% → 99%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
96.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 19 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
96.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-3
96.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+13
96.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 13 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
96.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
96.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+38
98.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 38 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:452% → 1%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Brendan Harmon for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
98.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
98.2%
Shawn Stankavage run for 11 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.4%
Giovanni Gentosi run for 4 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+51
99.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 4 yards Emmanuel Esukpa fumbled, forced by Zeek Rodney, recovered by WFrst Essang Bassey , return for 51 yds (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13MISSED FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 5:251% → 1%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.2%
Austin Walter run for 9 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.2%
Shawn Stankavage run for 9 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Rhett Cardwell for 2 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.1%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+5
99.2%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+6
99.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 6 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.5%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
99.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for no gain to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+11
99.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 11 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+38
99.5%
Jack Fox 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
99.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 9 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.4%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Chuck Wade Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Jack Fox punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
99.6%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 20Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 12
OWN 20
-5
99.6%
Sam Hartman sacked by Houston Robert for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+8
99.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 8 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:230% → 1%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+47
99.6%
Austin Walter run for 47 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
99.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 17 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
50
+42
99.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 42 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.6%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18INT TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
99.7%
Austin Walter run for 30 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+60
99.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass intercepted for a TD Chuck Wade Jr. return for 60 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
99.7%
Austin Walter run for 38 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20FUMBLE
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.7%
Kendall Hinton run for 8 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
99.8%
Kendall Hinton run for 1 yd to the Rice 39 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Zach Abercrumbia) to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
99.8%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 2 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
99.8%
Kendall Hinton run for 2 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-1
99.7%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 38 Kendall Hinton fumbled, recovered by Rice Martin NwakammaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:380% → 0%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Brendan Harmon for 6 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+23
99.8%
Giovanni Gentosi run for 8 yds to the WAKEFOREST 48 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Justin Strnad) to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+2
99.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+4
99.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 4 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
99.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Giovanni Gentosi, broken up by Demetrius KempSimilar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+14
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 14 yds to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.7%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the WFrst 2Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.7%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Kendall Hinton run for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+19
99.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 19 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Kendall Hinton pass intercepted George Nyakwol return for no gain to the Rice 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
99.9%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 8Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 11
OWN 8
-2
99.9%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 6Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 13
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 13
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 39 yds , Sage Surratt returns for no gain to the Rice 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for no gain to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Kendall Hinton run for 4 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 3
OPP 38
-5
99.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 21Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-5
99.9%
RICE Penalty, false start (Jaeger Bull) to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 2 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sage Surratt at the WFrst 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Will Drawdy run for 2 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Will Drawdy run for no gain to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-1
99.9%
Will Drawdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.9%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+9
99.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 9 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Aston Walter run for 10 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-1
99.9%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 10:17
Jack Fox 39 yd FG GOOD
-3.3
TD · Q2 8:10
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 38 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 13:33
Cade Carney run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com