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BGSU

Bowling Green 17 at Georgia Tech 63

GT
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:48 · Grant Tinnerman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+42.6Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:09: Nate Needham 29 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:52: Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 30 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  3. TD · Q2 7:50: Nathan Cottrell run for 4 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +1.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:32: TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:17: Jordan Mason run for 33 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK) — GT win probability +3.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:09BGSU 4th & 4 at GT 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:48BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00GT 4th & 1 at BGSU 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:50BGSU 4th & 18 at BGSU 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  6. Q4 15:00BGSU 4th & 1 at GT 38, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:44GT 4th & 9 at GT 38, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:37BGSU 4th & 7 at GT 38, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:38BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 33, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:48GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00GT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:52BGSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:50GT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:32GT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:17GT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:44GT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:55BGSU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:33GT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:44GT Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:38GT Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:514% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 12 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
96.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 6 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
96.3%
Jarret Doege run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+7
96.3%
Quintin Morris run for 7 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
96.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 15 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
96.3%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+7
96.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 7 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+6
96.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 6 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
96.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 3 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
96.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryson Denley for 3 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
96.3%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the GTech 12Similar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
95.1%
Nate Needham 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:1295% → 95%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+33
95.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 33 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
95.2%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+7
95.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
95.2%
Qua Searcy run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
95.2%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+8
95.2%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.9%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds for a TD, (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.9%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
94.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 13 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
94.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
94.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
94.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Tre SwillingSimilar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
94.9%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 4:0794% → 95%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
94.4%
Qua Searcy run for 21 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
94.6%
Jerry Howard run for 4 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
94.6%
Nathan Cottrell run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+2
94.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+37
94.6%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 37 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
94.7%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:085% → 8%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
94.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+14
94.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 14 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
94.5%
Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
94.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Justin Sawmiller for 4 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
94.4%
Jarret Doege run for 3 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
94.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
94.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 10 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
94.3%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+30
91.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 30 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:5593% → 95%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
92.6%
Clinton Lynch run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+15
92.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 15 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.8%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+41
92.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 41 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
93.1%
Nathan Cottrell run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+3
93.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
93.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.5%
Nathan Cottrell run for 4 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
94.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
50
+9
93.6%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-17
93.5%
Jarret Doege run for a loss of 17 yards to the BwGrn 42 Jarret Doege fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Jarret DoegeSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 18
OWN 42
0
94.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 18
OWN 42
+44
94.3%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GATECH 43 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Ajani Kerr) to the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 5:1194% → 96%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
94.0%
Qua Searcy run for 9 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+5
94.1%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
94.1%
Nathan Cottrell run for 23 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
94.4%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
94.4%
Nathan Cottrell run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
94.3%
Clinton Lynch run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
94.4%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-1
94.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 21 TaQuon Marshall fumbled, recovered by GTech Parker BraunSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+16
93.9%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Qua Searcy for 10 yds to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Harris) to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
94.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:075% → 4%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
95.2%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+12
95.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-9
95.6%
Jarret Doege sacked by Anree Saint-Amour for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 3:2795% → 99%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
95.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 7 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+2
95.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q3 14:44
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+5
95.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+39
95.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Stephen Dolphus for 39 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
95.9%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+1
95.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+33
99.1%
Jordan Mason run for 33 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11FUMBLE
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Jerry McBride IIISimilar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+7
98.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+15
98.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryson Denley for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing passer (Ajani Kerr) to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
98.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 8 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
98.6%
Rico Frye run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.6%
Rico Frye run for 1 yd to the GTech 49Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+21
98.6%
Jarret Doege sacked by Victor Alexander for a loss of 14 yards to the BwGrn 16 Jarret Doege fumbled, recovered by GTech Antwan Owens , return for 0 yards , return for 21 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:1799% → 100%
Q3 9:01
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+5
99.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.2%
Qua Searcy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q3 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 3:421% → 1%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.5%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+4
99.3%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
99.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 20 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
99.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to RB Marlow III for 16 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 15 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.2%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+8
99.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 8 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.9%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the GTech 1Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.9%
Jarret Doege run for no gain to the GTech 1Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+2
99.5%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+10
99.5%
Omahri Jarrett run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 34 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15INT
15 plays · 67 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
99.8%
Rico Frye run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (John Kurtz) to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+10
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 10 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+12
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 12 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 7 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for no gain to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
99.8%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Kaleb OliverSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to RB Marlow IIISimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+27
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Ra'veion Hargrove for 27 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted, touchback. David Curry return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
99.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 17 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the GTech 37Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Xavier Gantt run for 1 yd to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Tobias Oliver pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 53 yds, downed at the BwGrn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17INT TD
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 4 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted for a TD Anree Saint-Amour return for 3 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 42 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+17
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 17 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+8
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 8 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-5
99.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-PratherSimilar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Grant Loy run for 7 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Justin Sawmiller, broken up by Christian CampbellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
100.0%
Tobias Oliver run for 62 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Charles Lamar run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Charles Lamar run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Charles Lamar run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 41 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 3 yds to the GTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Joseph Macrina run for 4 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Joseph Macrina run for 2 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Tobias Oliver run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:17
Jordan Mason run for 33 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q2 11:52
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 30 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
-2.4
TD · Q2 0:32
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD (Wesley Wells KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com