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TEM

Temple 35 at Boston College 45

BC
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+15.7BC 93.8%Ben Glines run for 1 yd for a TD(Danny Longman KICK)AWAY 35 - HOME 45 · Q4 3:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:11 · Ben Glines run for 1 yd for a TD (Danny Longman KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 211Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense+23.2Garbage-time factor+14.0Score differential+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.1Blowout margin−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:46: Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +12.1 pts (now 38%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:25: AJ Dillon run for 52 yds for a TD (Anthony Brown pass for Two-Point Conversion) — BC win probability +10.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 6:31: Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +9.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:02: Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +21.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 3:11: Ben Glines run for 1 yd for a TD (Danny Longman KICK) — BC win probability +15.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 9 of 11TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00TEM 4th & 6 at BC 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:49BC 4th & 15 at TEM 29, tied
    Close callWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:08TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00BC 4th & 11 at TEM 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    75.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52TEM 4th & 7 at BC 39, up 1
    Close callPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:00BC 4th & 10 at BC 20, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:46BC 4th & 6 at BC 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:39TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:26BC 4th & 2 at TEM 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−0.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:20BC 4th & 7 at TEM 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00BC 4th & 7 at TEM 49, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.1%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:22TEM 4th & 5 at BC 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:35BC 4th & 6 at TEM 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.9%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:22TEM 4th & 2 at BC 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−1.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−7.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 15 at BC 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:02BC 4th & 12 at BC 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−5.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:39TEM 4th & 16 at TEM 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−4.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:11BC 4th & 1 at TEM 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−8.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    51.9%−28.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:48TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 33, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:16BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:58TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:08BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:46TEM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:25BC Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:59BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:22BC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:31TEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:02TEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:11BC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 33 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
83.1%
Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+11
83.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 11 yds to the Temp 39 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
83.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
83.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
50
-5
83.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Adam Klein) to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
83.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 15 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
83.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 45Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+9
83.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Randle Jones for 9 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
83.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
83.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
83.1%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 3:3382% → 83%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
82.3%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
82.4%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+8
82.4%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
82.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Chris Garrison for 9 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+15
82.5%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Temp 39 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shaun Bradley) to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
82.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 3 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-3
82.5%
Anthony Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
82.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 10
OPP 24
-5
82.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Aaron Monteiro) to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+17
82.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 17 yds to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
82.5%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
82.5%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
83.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 7 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1817% → 19%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.6%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
80.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 75 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 3:3179% → 81%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+25
79.0%
AJ Dillon run for 25 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
79.4%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
79.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-5
79.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BC 37Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+24
78.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Michael Walker for 9 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Chapelle Russell) to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
79.7%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+10
79.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 10 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
79.9%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
79.9%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
78.5%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
78.8%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the Temp 16Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
80.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 16 yds for a TD (John Tessitore PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
79.7%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
79.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
79.9%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
80.1%
Connor Bowler punt for 41 yds, downed at the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:1179% → 78%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
79.2%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
79.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 7 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
79.6%
Anthony Brown run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
50
+8
79.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 8 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
79.9%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
79.8%
Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
79.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff Smith, broken up by Benny WallsSimilar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
79.9%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-6
79.9%
Anthony Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
77.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 51 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
77.3%
Tyliek Raynor run for 2 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+17
77.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 17 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+29
77.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 14 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (Lukas Denis) to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
76.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
76.2%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
76.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
77.0%
Connor Bowler punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
77.0%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 20Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
76.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
76.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 49 yds, downed at the Temp 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:0724% → 38%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
75.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-5
74.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Vincent Picozzi) to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
75.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 5 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+4
75.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 4 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
74.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-3
75.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+13
75.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 13 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
74.6%
Jadan Blue run for 6 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
74.5%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Jadan Blue for 6 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
74.6%
Jadan Blue run for 5 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
74.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+6
74.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
74.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 20 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
64.3%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
64.7%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
63.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
63.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12INT
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
63.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 11 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
62.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 11 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
61.8%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Hamp Cheevers return for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:4264% → 74%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
64.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
63.7%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+52
74.0%
AJ Dillon run for 52 yds for a TD (Anthony Brown pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
72.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+34
72.2%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted for a 1ST down Taj-Amir Torres return for 29 yds to the BOSTCOLL 41 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (5 Yards) to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:3278% → 84%
Q2 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
77.9%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.1%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds for a TD (Danny Longman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:2018% → 17%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
82.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Zach AllenSimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
82.2%
Rob Ritrovato run for 5 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
82.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+20
82.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 34 yds , Michael Walker returns for 20 yds to the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17FG
12 plays · 26 yds · 2:0683% → 85%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
83.2%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
83.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to AJ DillonSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+3
82.7%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+2
81.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 2 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
83.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
83.2%
Ben Glines run for 3 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, HL (10 Yards) to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
83.2%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 13Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+4
82.9%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
83.3%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
84.5%
Danny Longman 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
84.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
84.4%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+8
85.1%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
85.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Tommy Sweeney) to the BC 43Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 43
-1
84.7%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 42
0
84.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 42
+9
83.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 9 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
-15
83.7%
Grant Carlson run for a loss of 15 yards to the BC 39 Grant Carlson fumbled, recovered by Temp Anthony CruzSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
82.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-6
82.6%
Anthony Russo sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 37 Anthony Russo fumbled, recovered by BC Tanner Karafa , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:0585% → 94%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
85.3%
Ben Glines run for 4 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+1
85.8%
Ben Glines run for 1 yd to the BC 42Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+7
85.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Michael Walker for 7 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
85.8%
Ben Glines run for 5 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+17
85.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 17 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
86.1%
Ben Glines run for 2 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+15
86.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Michael Walker for 3 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Jyquis Thomas) to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
86.1%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
94.0%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Anthony Brown for 9 yds for a TD (Danny Longman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:518% → 18%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
91.7%
Isaiah Wright run for 11 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
91.3%
Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
91.4%
Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+22
91.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 22 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
90.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
91.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 4
OPP 30
-1
90.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 31Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+30
91.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 30 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:5686% → 85%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
85.9%
Ben Glines run for 8 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+17
86.5%
Ben Glines run for 17 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
87.0%
Ben Glines run for 10 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
86.7%
Ben Glines run for 2 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
86.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+2
86.1%
Ben Glines run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
85.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
84.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Hamp CheeversSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+35
84.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 35 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
81.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
81.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 8 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 2
OPP 24
0
82.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 2
OPP 24
0
83.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Taj-Amir TorresSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT
13 plays · 20 yds · 3:2285% → 86%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
85.4%
Ben Glines run for 4 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-5
85.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Ben Petrula) to the BC 23Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
85.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+15
84.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 15 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
86.6%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 39Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+8
86.5%
Ben Glines run for 8 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
86.1%
Ben Glines run for 2 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
86.9%
Smith,J rush for 6 yards to the TEM45 (BRASWELL,C.;FRANKLIN,Sam), PENALTY BC HL (Baker,J) 10 yards to the BC39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+4
86.2%
Ben Glines run for 4 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 43
0
87.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 0
0
86.0%
Brown,A pass incomplete to Walker,M, PENALTY BC HL off-setting, PENALTY TEM pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+1
87.1%
Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the BC 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 44
+3
86.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 42 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 3 yds to the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26TD
16 plays · 83 yds · 5:0313% → 39%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
87.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
86.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+4
86.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
86.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ryquell ArmsteadSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
87.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+5
85.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 5 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
85.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Rob Ritrovato for 14 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
83.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
84.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+7
84.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 7 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
82.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+8
82.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
82.4%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY BC pass interference (Sebastian,B) 14 yards to the BC9, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
82.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.4%
ARMSTEAD,R. rush for no gain to the BC1, PENALTY BC offside defense 0 yards to the BC1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0075% → 71%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
74.6%
Glines,B rush for loss of 3 yards to the BC27 (ROCHE,Quincy;CRUMP,Linwood), PENALTY BC HL (Baker,J) 10 yards to the BC20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 20
OWN 20
0
73.8%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 20
OWN 20
0
73.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+8
71.9%
Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
70.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0032% → 28%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
68.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 10 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
67.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-7
67.1%
Anthony Russo sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 16
OWN 31
0
71.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+26
72.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 40 yds , Michael Walker returns for 26 yds to the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:4379% → 94%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
78.8%
Ben Glines run for 3 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+16
78.5%
Ben Glines run for 16 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
79.7%
Ben Glines run for 10 yds to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
79.7%
Ben Glines run for 1 yd to the Temp 15 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Sam Franklin) to the Temp 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
79.7%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Temp 4Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
79.7%
Ben Glines run for 3 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.1%
Anthony Brown run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.8%
Ben Glines run for 1 yd for a TD (Danny Longman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 30DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:237% → 4%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
93.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
93.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Elijah JonesSimilar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
94.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
95.6%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Elijah JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 31END OF GAME
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:5496% → 97%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
95.8%
Ben Glines run for 8 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
95.8%
Ben Glines run for 1 yd to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+5
96.9%
Ben Glines run for 5 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 22Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 13
OPP 22
-3
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 16
OPP 25
-3
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:02
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
-21.2
TD · Q4 3:11
Ben Glines run for 1 yd for a TD (Danny Longman KICK)
+15.7
TD · Q2 6:46
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com