Try the model
ND

Notre Dame 56 at Wake Forest 27

WAKE
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:04 · Dom Maggio punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense−14.6Score differential−7.5Pregame prior−11.1Garbage-time factor−4.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:25: Ian Book pass complete to Brock Wright for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +6.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:19: Tony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +5.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:26: Matt Colburn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +7.1 pts (now 29%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:24: Ian Book run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +7.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:46: Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +5.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 12:44ND 4th & 11 at ND 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:21ND 4th & 8 at WAKE 33, tied
    Close callWent for it · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:33WAKE 4th & 6 at ND 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:18WAKE 4th & 9 at ND 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:56WAKE 4th & 3 at ND 21, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:25ND 4th & 1 at WAKE 3, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:29WAKE 4th & 18 at WAKE 10, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−1.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:12WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:52ND 4th & 6 at ND 47, up 15
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:04WAKE 4th & 19 at WAKE 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−2.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:40WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 27, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:21ND 4th & 3 at ND 48, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:53WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 37, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ND made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 3:06ND Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:25ND Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:19ND Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:26WAKE Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:24ND Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:46ND Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:15ND Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:18ND Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:44WAKE Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:27ND Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:53WAKE Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:0972% → 71%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
27.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 12 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
28.0%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
28.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 2 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
28.4%
Book, Ian pass complete to Austin Jr., Kevin for 10 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY NOTREDAME ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the NOTREDAME35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+1
28.7%
Ian Book run for 1 yd to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
28.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3329% → 29%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
28.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
29.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for no gain to the WFrst 21Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
29.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
28.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:3971% → 70%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
28.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 5 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+14
29.0%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 14 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
29.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
29.1%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
29.5%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
29.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 3:4030% → 32%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
30.1%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
30.4%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+11
30.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
50
+5
31.2%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
31.3%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+8
31.2%
Cade Carney run for 8 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
31.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
31.7%
Cade Carney run for 11 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
31.9%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the NDame 24Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
32.0%
Sam Hartman run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+5
32.0%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
32.1%
Nick Sciba 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:3069% → 68%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
31.5%
Ian Book run for 11 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
31.6%
Michael Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 13 Michael Young fumbled, forced by Nasir Greer, recovered by WFrst Ryan Smenda Jr. , return for 17 yds to the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3533% → 34%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
33.1%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the NDame 12Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
33.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
33.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+30
33.5%
Nick Sciba 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0466% → 70%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
33.6%
Avery Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 23Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
34.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 6 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
34.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 8 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
34.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 9 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+24
33.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 24 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
30.3%
Jafar Armstrong run for 30 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 3:0231% → 35%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.4%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+21
31.6%
Cade Carney run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
50
0
32.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Brandon ChapmanSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
50
+2
32.7%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+9
32.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 9 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
33.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 5 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+3
33.9%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
33.3%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
34.2%
Greg Dortch run for 6 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+1
34.3%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the NDame 21Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
33.7%
Sam Hartman run for no gain to the NDame 21Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
34.5%
Nick Sciba 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:1167% → 73%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
33.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 9 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+20
32.6%
Jafar Armstrong run for 20 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
32.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 5 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+15
32.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 15 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
31.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 9 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+10
31.8%
Avery Davis run for 10 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
32.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 3 yds to the WFrst 9Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
32.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+6
32.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 6 yds to the WFrst 3Similar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
26.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Brock Wright for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:3928% → 26%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
27.5%
Sam Hartman run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+4
27.3%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-9
26.7%
Sam Hartman sacked by Drue Tranquill for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 10Similar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 18
OWN 10
+52
26.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 46 yds , Chris Finke returns for 52 yds to the WFrst 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0475% → 80%
Q2 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
25.3%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.2%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:4522% → 29%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+23
21.8%
Cade Carney run for 23 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
23.1%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-1
23.0%
Sam Hartman sacked by Jalen Elliott and Adetokunbo Ogundeji for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+15
22.6%
Hartman, Sam pass incomplete, PENALTY NOTREDAME roughing passer (Bonner, Jonathan) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.Similar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
23.1%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
23.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 6 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+12
22.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 12 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
22.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
22.7%
Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the NDame 14Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+12
22.1%
Hartman, Sam pass incomplete to Dortch, Greg, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Coleman, Nick) 12 yards to the NOTREDAME2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.Similar
Q2 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.2%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5174% → 82%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
25.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery DavisSimilar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+66
25.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Young for 66 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
18.5%
Ian Book run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0721% → 21%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
20.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Jake Benzinger) to the WFrst 20Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
20.5%
Matt Colburn run for 17 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
21.2%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+3
20.6%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+2
20.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 2 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
20.7%
Dom Maggio punt for 29 yds, downed at the NDame 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:1682% → 83%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
18.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
17.7%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 13 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
17.1%
Ian Book sacked by Carlos Basham Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 39Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+8
17.7%
Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
16.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles BoykinSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
16.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 67 yds · 1:4419% → 23%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
19.1%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 18
-3
18.9%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+15
19.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Steven Claude for 15 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
20.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Steven ClaudeSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
20.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 18 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
22.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+18
21.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 18 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
22.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
22.6%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
21.5%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+5
21.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the NDame 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+38
22.7%
Nick Sciba 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5119% → 18%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
18.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Alex Bachman for 12 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
19.0%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-1
18.6%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 33Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 11
OWN 33
-8
17.8%
Sam Hartman sacked by Julian Okwara for a loss of 8 yards to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 19
OWN 25
0
17.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:0985% → 94%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
15.5%
Avery Davis run for 12 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
14.6%
Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
14.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 4 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+5
14.4%
Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
50
+8
13.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 8 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
13.5%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
12.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 30 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
12.2%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the WFrst 7Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
6.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:478% → 6%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
7.7%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 14Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
7.6%
Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
7.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 2 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
5.9%
Sam Hartman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 24Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
5.8%
Jamie Newman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
5.7%
Jamie Newman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+6
5.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 50 yds , Chris Finke returns for 6 yds to the NDame 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:1895% → 98%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
4.8%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Austin Jr., Kevin, PENALTY WAKEFOREST pass interference (Taylor, Ja'Sir) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
4.6%
Jafar Armstrong run for 9 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+5
4.3%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
3.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr.Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+28
3.8%
Jafar Armstrong run for 28 yds to the WFrst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
3.6%
Ian Book run for 11 yds to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
3.4%
Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the WFrst 1Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.8%
Jafar Armstrong run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.3%
Jamie Newman pass intercepted Troy Pride Jr. return for no gain to the WFrst 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:3997% → 99%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+35
2.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 35 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+10
2.3%
Avery Davis run for 7 yds to the WFrst 5 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Nate Mays) to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.9%
Ian Book run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:261% → 2%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
1.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Scotty Washington for 6 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
1.1%
Jamie Newman run for 11 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
0.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
0.7%
Jamie Newman run for 6 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+9
0.7%
Jamie Newman run for 9 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
0.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+14
0.6%
Jamie Newman run for 14 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
1.8%
Kendall Hinton run for 23 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0899% → 100%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.1%
Avery Davis run for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
0.7%
Avery Davis run for 3 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.8%
Ian Book run for 6 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
0.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 6 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+29
0.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 29 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
0.6%
Avery Davis run for 4 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
0.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Alize Mack for 5 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
0.5%
Avery Davis run for 2 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
0.5%
Avery Davis run for no gain to the WFrst 13Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+12
0.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 12 yds to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Ian Book run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 6:070% → 0%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
0.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 6 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+7
0.3%
Jamie Newman run for 7 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
0.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
50
0
0.3%
Jamie Newman pass incomplete to Kendall HintonSimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 10
50
+13
0.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 13 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
0.2%
Jamie Newman run for 8 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
0.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the NDame 28Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
0.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
0.2%
Jamie Newman pass complete to Kendall Hinton for 8 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+4
0.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the NDame 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
0.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 17Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+2
0.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+15
0.2%
Jamie Newman run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Jahmir Smith run for 4 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
0.2%
Jahmir Smith run for 12 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
0.2%
Phil Jurkovec run for 7 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Brock WrightSimilar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Tyler Newsome punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
0.2%
DeAndre' Delaney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
0.1%
DeAndre' Delaney run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+2
0.1%
Jamie Newman pass complete to DeAndre' Delaney for 2 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 17Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 17
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:26
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 5:24
Ian Book run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
-7
TD · Q2 11:25
Ian Book pass complete to Brock Wright for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com