Try the model
FIU

Florida International 17 at Miami 31

MIA
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Hard Rock Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:04 · N'Kosi Perry sacked by Fermin Silva for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaIn 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+12.4Home team on offense+35.5Score differential+27.0Garbage-time factor+11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.9Blowout margin+10.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:54: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 26 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK) — MIA win probability +1.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:30: Bubba Baxa 31 yd FG GOOD — MIA win probability +1.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:27: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 12 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK) — MIA win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:50: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 17 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK) — MIA win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:35: James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +2.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:19MIA 4th & 1 at FIU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:28FIU 4th & 20 at FIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:18MIA 4th & 4 at FIU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:35FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:46FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:14FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:51MIA 4th & 15 at MIA 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:30MIA 4th & 4 at FIU 13, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.9%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:02FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:26FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:48MIA 4th & 8 at FIU 47, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:21FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:58FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 46, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:04MIA 4th & 3 at FIU 3, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:19FIU 4th & 10 at MIA 11, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 2:51MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:27MIA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:50MIA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:57FIU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:35FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:1696% → 96%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
96.4%
Travis Homer run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+11
96.4%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Jeff Thomas for 11 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.3%
Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
96.2%
Malik Rosier run for no gain to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
96.1%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 5 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
96.1%
Malik Rosier run for no gain to the FlaIn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:074% → 4%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-9
95.9%
James Morgan sacked by Jonathan Garvin and Joe Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 19
OWN 30
-1
95.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 20
OWN 29
0
95.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 20
OWN 29
+36
95.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 51 yds , Jeff Thomas returns for 36 yds to the MIAMI 35 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nesta Jade Silvera) to the MiaFl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0396% → 96%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.7%
Malik Rosier pass incomplete to Brevin JordanSimilar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
95.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+1
95.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
95.5%
Zach Feagles punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:435% → 5%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
95.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling PalmerSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-3
95.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+12
95.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 12 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
95.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by DeeJay Dallas at the MiaFl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 4:4495% → 95%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
95.0%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
94.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+6
94.5%
N'Kosi Perry run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
94.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 6 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+10
94.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 10 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
94.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+16
94.3%
DeeJay Dallas run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
94.3%
Travis Homer run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+35
95.1%
Travis Homer run for 35 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:015% → 5%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to Cadarius GaskinSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by DeeJay Dallas at the MiaFl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:3695% → 96%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+34
94.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 34 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
94.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 8 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+4
94.7%
DeeJay Dallas run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
94.6%
DeeJay Dallas run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+26
95.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 26 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:405% → 5%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
95.3%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 2 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
95.3%
Christian Alexander pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
95.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
95.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 54 yds , DeeJay Dallas returns for no gain to the MiaFl 21 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MiaFl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:0996% → 95%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
95.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 3 yds to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
95.5%
Travis Homer run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-5
95.4%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Lawrence Cager) to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-3
95.3%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Fermin Silva for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 15 N'Kosi Perry fumbled, forced by Fermin Silva, recovered by MiaFl Venzell Boulware , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 10
OWN 15
-5
95.1%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 10Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
95.1%
Zach Feagles punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the MiaFl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:105% → 5%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
94.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
94.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
94.7%
James Morgan pass intercepted Sheldrick Redwine return for no gain to the MiaFl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11FG
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:5395% → 96%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
95.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
95.2%
DeeJay Dallas run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+8
95.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 8 yds to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
94.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 3 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
95.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 4 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+18
94.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
95.1%
Travis Homer run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
95.0%
Travis Homer run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+7
94.9%
Trayone Gray run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
95.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 14 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
95.0%
Travis Homer run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+2
95.0%
Travis Homer run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
94.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brevin JordanSimilar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
96.0%
Bubba Baxa 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:084% → 4%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
95.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
95.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by DeeJay Dallas at the MiaFl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 0:2696% → 98%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+42
96.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for 42 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
96.5%
Perry, N'Kosi rush for loss of 1 yard to the FLAINTL26, PENALTY FLAINTL face mask (Silva, Fermin) 14 yards to the FLAINTL12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
96.5%
N'Kosi Perry run for no gain to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 12 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:172% → 2%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
97.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
97.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+8
97.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 46 yds , DeeJay Dallas returns for 8 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:2698% → 98%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
98.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Marquez Ezzard for 7 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
98.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Cam'Ron Davis for 6 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
98.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Cam'Ron DavisSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
98.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Travis HomerSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
98.4%
Zach Feagles punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:242% → 2%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-2
97.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 12
OWN 24
-2
98.1%
James Morgan sacked by Joe Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
98.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DeeJay Dallas at the MiaFl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:0599% → 100%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
98.7%
Travis Homer run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
98.7%
Travis Homer run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
98.7%
Travis Homer run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
98.6%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
99.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 17 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
99.7%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 10 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.7%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
99.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
99.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for no gain to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
99.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Mike Harley for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass intercepted Isaiah Brown return for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:400% → 0%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+17
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Darrius Scott for 17 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Darrius ScottSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:56100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
99.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to DeeJay Dallas for 26 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Cam'Ron DavisSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+17
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+13
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for no gain to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Evidence NjokuSimilar
Q4 10:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.9%
Mark Pope run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q4 10:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-12
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Fermin Silva for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 2:470% → 1%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
99.9%
D'Vonte Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+8
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 8 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+29
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 29 yds to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
99.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 4 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+35
99.2%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 35 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 8 (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · -14 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.7%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.7%
Cam'Ron Davis run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
99.7%
Davis, Cam'Ron rush for no gain to the MIAMI37, PENALTY MIAMI personal foul 15 yards to the MIAMI22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 25
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Cade Weldon pass complete to Robert Burns for no gain to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 25
OWN 22
-7
99.7%
Cade Weldon run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 11 Cade Weldon fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Jason MercierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:461% → 1%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
99.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
99.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
99.4%
Jose Borregales 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:351% → 3%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+44
99.5%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 44 yds to the MiaFl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 7Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 5Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.8%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27Uncategorized
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:0599% → 99%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
99.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+3
99.1%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:35
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
-2.5
TD · Q2 0:27
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 12 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 14:54
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 26 yds for a TD (Bubba Baxa KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com