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BC

Boston College 13 at Purdue 30

PUR
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:50 · Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Home team on offense+33.3Score differential+24.1Pregame prior−0.7Garbage-time factor+13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+9.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:48: D.J. Knox run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +4.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:40: David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 70 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans PAT MISSED) — PUR win probability +4.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:52: David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +10.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:49: Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 5 — PUR win probability +4.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:57: David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 36 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +7.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 8BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:46BC 4th & 3 at BC 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:24PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:53BC 4th & 14 at BC 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:18BC 4th & 18 at BC 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−2.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:50PUR 4th & 20 at BC 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    48.0%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:38BC 4th & 7 at BC 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:55BC 4th & 19 at BC 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−2.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:29PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 43, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:05PUR 4th & 4 at BC 4, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−9.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:59BC 4th & 1 at BC 28, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.0%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:21BC 4th & 10 at BC 29, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:52PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 29, up 23
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:32PUR 4th & 10 at BC 31, up 23
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:18PUR 4th & 4 at BC 4, up 23
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:36BC 4th & 15 at PUR 39, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:50PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 49, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:48PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:32BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:40PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:52PUR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:57PUR Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:18BC Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5566% → 65%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
34.3%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
34.4%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
34.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+23
34.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the PURDUE 23 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:5235% → 40%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
34.7%
David Blough sacked by Tanner Karafa for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+8
34.7%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+24
34.8%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 24 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
35.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
35.2%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+6
35.3%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
35.5%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 11 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
35.6%
Jared Sparks run for 9 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
35.7%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
35.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 2 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
35.8%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.4%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3TD
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:5561% → 62%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
39.1%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-3
38.8%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+12
39.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 12 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
39.4%
Jeff Smith run for 6 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+5
39.6%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
39.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
40.1%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
41.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 7 yds to the Prdue 5 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+15
37.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 15 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:5038% → 39%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
38.3%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 13 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
38.8%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
39.0%
David Blough sacked by Wyatt Ray and Zach Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 13
OWN 32
-10
38.3%
PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ethan Smart) to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 23
OWN 22
+6
38.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 1:24
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+23
38.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 56 yds , Michael Walker returns for 23 yds to the BC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2262% → 60%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
38.1%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-2
37.9%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 40Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-5
39.1%
Anthony Brown sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 35Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+5
40.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 40 yds , Rondale Moore returns for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
45.0%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 70 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:0857% → 54%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
43.1%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 41Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-8
43.7%
Anthony Brown sacked by Jacob Thieneman for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 33Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 18
OWN 33
0
45.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
45.8%
Grant Carlson punt for 31 yds, downed at the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:1847% → 48%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
47.0%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
46.9%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+5
46.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Zach Allen) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+20
47.5%
David Blough run for 5 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Personal Foul (Will Harris) to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
49.1%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 11 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
49.5%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
50.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-13
49.9%
David Blough sacked by Connor Strachan for a loss of 13 yards to the BC 41Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 20
OPP 41
0
47.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5853% → 51%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
46.6%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+1
47.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 1 yd to the BC 13Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
48.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+20
49.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 41 yds , Rondale Moore returns for 20 yds to the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:3752% → 64%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
52.2%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 33Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+8
53.4%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 8 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+16
53.1%
Markell Jones run for 16 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
63.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:5541% → 37%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
58.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to AJ Dillon for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 39Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+2
60.4%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-9
61.1%
Anthony Brown sacked by Derrick Barnes for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 32Similar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
62.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:1763% → 66%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
63.2%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
63.9%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 7 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
64.9%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
67.4%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
67.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-6
67.8%
David Blough sacked by Isaiah McDuffie for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
66.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0734% → 34%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
66.3%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Kai Higgins return for 2 yds to the BC 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4471% → 71%
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
71.1%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 5Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
71.4%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 4Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
68.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
70.6%
J.D. Dellinger 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16FUMBLE
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:3274% → 80%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
74.1%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
74.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+5
74.1%
David Blough run for 5 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
76.1%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+4
77.1%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 4 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+4
77.2%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 4 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
79.2%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+46
79.7%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 46 yds Isaac Zico fumbled, forced by Brandon Sebastian, recovered by BC Will HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:3923% → 19%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
77.4%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
78.9%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
78.1%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 28Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+1
79.3%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
79.0%
Jeff Smith run for no gain to the BC 29Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
80.3%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
80.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to AJ Dillon for no gain to the BC 29Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+31
81.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the PURDUE 35 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:1486% → 94%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
86.0%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
87.1%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+20
86.7%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 20 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
94.4%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 36 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.6%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Anthony Watts return for no gain to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:4595% → 96%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
95.2%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the BC 34Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
95.5%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the BC 33Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-5
95.9%
David Blough sacked by Taj-Amir Torres for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 38 David Blough fumbled, forced by Taj-Amir Torres, recovered by BC Zach Allen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21INT
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:065% → 4%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
95.4%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
95.5%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
95.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to CJ Lewis for 6 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+17
95.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to CJ Lewis for 17 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
95.6%
AJ Dillon run for 11 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
95.9%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
96.0%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted, touchback. Antonio Blackmon return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3197% → 98%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.1%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
97.4%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 5 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
97.6%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
97.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 56 yds, downed at the BC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:373% → 2%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
97.5%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
97.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+1
97.9%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Kenneth Major return for 1 yd to the BC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24MISSED FG
10 plays · 27 yds · 5:1798% → 99%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
98.2%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 32Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 11
OPP 32
-3
98.3%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 35Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+4
98.2%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+10
98.3%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 10 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
98.5%
Rondale Moore run for 4 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+8
98.6%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
98.6%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
98.7%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
98.8%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the BC 4Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
98.8%
J.D. Dellinger 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25DOWNS
14 plays · 41 yds · 3:421% → 1%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
98.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the BC 15Similar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+3
98.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 3 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+24
98.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 24 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.1%
Ben Glines run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 2
50
0
99.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 2
50
+2
99.1%
Ben Glines run for 2 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to CJ Lewis for 4 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+10
99.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 10 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.1%
Anthony Brown run for 4 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-4
99.1%
Anthony Brown sacked by Derrick Barnes for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-5
99.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Aaron Monteiro) to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 15
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.5%
Markell Jones run for 12 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
99.5%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
99.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Rondale Moore run for no gain to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:211% → 2%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
99.4%
Ben Glines run for 17 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.4%
Travis Levy run for 11 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.5%
EJ Perry run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
50
+10
99.5%
EJ Perry pass complete to Ben Glines for 10 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.4%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+38
99.5%
EJ Perry pass complete to CJ Lewis for 38 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
EJ Perry run for 1 yd for a TD (John Tessitore PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
99.0%
David Blough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:52
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q3 5:57
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 36 yds for a TD (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+7.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:49
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 5
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com