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Georgia Tech 19 at Pittsburgh 24

PITT
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:12 · TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Home team on offense+6.8Pregame prior−10.0Score differential+2.3Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Time remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:59: Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +17.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 2:36: Alex Kessman 33 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +9.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:09: TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — GT win probability +9.7 pts (now 18%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:37: Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds for a TD (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +24.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:37: Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the GTech 46 — PITT win probability +15.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00PITT 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:16GT 4th & 1 at GT 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:38GT 4th & 7 at GT 28, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:20GT 4th & 11 at GT 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:56PITT 4th & 2 at PITT 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14GT 4th & 5 at GT 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:33PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 35, up 14
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:12GT 4th & 5 at PITT 23, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    37.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:22GT 4th & 17 at PITT 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:41PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 29, up 21
    Close callPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:36PITT 4th & 6 at GT 15, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00GT 4th & 1 at PITT 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−1.8
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−7.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:09PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 24, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:29PITT 4th & 8 at GT 46, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−2.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:38PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:20PITT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:59PITT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:43GT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:09GT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:37GT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
35.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 18 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench, broken up by Jaytlin AskewSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
35.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+1
35.4%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
50
0
35.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
36.5%
Qua Searcy run for 5 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+1
36.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 19Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+3
36.6%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
36.6%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:4137% → 41%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.4%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 37 PITTSBURGH Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+23
37.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 8 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Malik Rivera) to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
37.9%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 42Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+11
37.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 11 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+31
40.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 31 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.1%
Qua Searcy run for 6 yds to the GTech 31 Qua Searcy fumbled, forced by Elijah Zeise, recovered by GTech Qua SearcySimilar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
39.9%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
40.0%
Clinton Lynch run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-2
40.5%
Antwan Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:0443% → 48%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
42.9%
Kenny Pickett run for 5 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Bruce Jordan-Swilling) to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
42.9%
Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
48.4%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
46.4%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
46.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
46.8%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 47 yds, downed at the Pitt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
49.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 12 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
49.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
49.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 6 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
49.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+7
49.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 34 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 7 yds to the GTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:2650% → 46%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
50.2%
Jerry Howard run for 4 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+15
50.0%
Jerry Howard run for 15 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
49.8%
Jerry Howard run for 2 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
51.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+3
53.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
53.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
56.9%
Maurice Ffrench run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 14 Maurice Ffrench fumbled, forced by Kaleb Oliver, recovered by Pitt Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
56.8%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 14Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+14
56.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 14 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
56.9%
Rafael Araujo-Lopes run for 1 yd to the Pitt 29Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+6
56.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 6 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
56.2%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 0:0041% → 42%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
59.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
58.5%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+6
58.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
58.7%
Qua Searcy run for 17 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
57.9%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the Pitt 38Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+10
57.9%
Jordan Mason run for 10 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
56.8%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
56.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the Pitt 23 TaQuon Marshall fumbled, recovered by GTech Clinton LynchSimilar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
57.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for no gain to the Pitt 23Similar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 5
OPP 23
0
58.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:0866% → 86%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+60
66.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 60 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
67.8%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
67.8%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
85.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:3718% → 17%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
82.1%
Jerry Howard run for 42 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
79.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
79.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 9
OPP 32
-8
80.8%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Quintin Wirginis for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
82.8%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3687% → 88%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
87.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 21Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
87.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 7 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
87.0%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 29Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
88.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:3215% → 12%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
85.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 10 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
84.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 9 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+20
83.1%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 20 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+52
87.7%
Brenton King 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1715% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
84.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-2
85.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 33
0
85.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+15
85.6%
Marshall, T. sacked for loss of 3 yards to the GT30 (Hendrix, D.), fumble by Marshall, T. recovered by UP Weaver, R. at GT31, Weaver, R. for loss of 1 yard to the GT32 (Ivemeyer, B.), PENALTY UP face mask (Jones, P.) 15 yards to the GT48, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
84.4%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
84.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+7
84.2%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+33
84.0%
Jordan Mason run for 33 yds to the Pitt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
82.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 2Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
82.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 1Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Brenton King PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 6:0782% → 92%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 14 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
82.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 40Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
82.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes, broken up by Tariq CarpenterSimilar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+15
81.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 15 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
82.7%
Shocky Jacques-Louis run for 9 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+5
82.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
82.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 12 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
82.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 21Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+7
82.7%
Qadree Ollison run for 7 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-1
82.2%
Rafael Araujo-Lopes run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
91.8%
Alex Kessman 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.9%
Clinton Lynch run for 4 yds to the GTech 29 Clinton Lynch fumbled, forced by Oluwaseun Idowu, recovered by Pitt Rashad WeaverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+42
93.0%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Malik Rivera return for 42 yds to the GTech 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:439% → 18%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
90.8%
Jordan Mason run for 26 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
89.6%
Jerry Howard run for 5 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
89.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
90.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+3
91.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
91.2%
Jerry Howard run for 1 yd to the Pitt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+10
91.2%
Jerry Howard run for 10 yds to the Pitt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.0%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 25Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 9 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-10
86.8%
Ollison, Q. rush for 6 yards to the UP40 (Mitchell, B.), PENALTY UP holding (Bookser, A.) 10 yards to the UP24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
86.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+15
85.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 46 , Brad Stewart returns for 15 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
84.2%
Qua Searcy run for 11 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
83.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 34Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+3
83.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+20
84.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass intercepted Phillipie Motley return for 20 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
91.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 17 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
92.0%
Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
92.1%
Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+6
91.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 6 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
92.2%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
92.2%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+2
91.9%
Maurice Ffrench run for 2 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 3
OPP 41
-5
91.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Mike Herndon) to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
90.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 45 yds, downed at the GTech 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23TD
16 plays · 99 yds · 3:316% → 33%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
94.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Bailey Ivemeyer) to the GTech 1Similar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
94.0%
TaQuon Marshall run for 15 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
94.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 7 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+5
93.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
93.5%
TaQuon Marshall run for 11 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.9%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
93.1%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jordan Mason for 2 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+13
93.2%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 13 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
92.7%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 13 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
92.0%
Jerry Howard run for 3 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+11
91.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Malachi Carter for 11 yds to the Pitt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
91.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad Stewart, broken up by Phillipie MotleySimilar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
92.0%
Omahri Jarrett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+8
92.4%
Marshall, T. pass incomplete to Stewart, B., PENALTY UP holding (Ford, P.) 8 yards to the UP8, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
91.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 3Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
67.4%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds for a TD (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0693% → 95%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
93.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+8
95.4%
Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:37
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds for a TD (Brenton King KICK)
-24.4
TD · Q2 2:59
Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
+17.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:37
Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the GTech 46
+15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com