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FSU

Florida State 7 at Syracuse 30

SYR
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:39 · Logan Tyler punt for 59 yds, downed at the Syrac 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Home team on offense+0.6Pregame prior−12.1Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:40: Andre Szmyt 19 Yd Field Goal — SYR win probability +4.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:41: Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry — FSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:55: Tommy DeVito 3 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +13.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:33: Ravian Pierce 3 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt Kick) — SYR win probability +9.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:16: Deondre Francois 2 Yd Run (Ricky Aguayo Kick) — FSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 14:05FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:25SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:26FSU 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:23SYR 4th & 4 at FSU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:39FSU 4th & 7 at FSU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:26SYR 4th & 9 at FSU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:01SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:10FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 13, down 3
    Close callPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:58SYR 4th & 1 at FSU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.2%−1.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−5.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:55FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:26SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:40SYR 4th & 1 at FSU 1, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.3%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−9.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:37SYR 4th & 29 at FSU 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−2.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:59FSU 4th & 17 at FSU 18, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:36FSU 4th & 12 at FSU 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:14FSU 4th & 19 at SYR 47, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:01SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 21, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:48FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 34, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 6:55SYR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:33SYR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:16FSU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:19SYR Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4464% → 64%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.9%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
36.1%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
36.1%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+13
36.3%
Logan Tyler punt for 56 yds , Antwan Cordy returns for 13 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:2336% → 36%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
36.3%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
36.5%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
36.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
36.4%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:4964% → 63%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
36.5%
Cam Akers run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
36.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Cam Akers for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 5
50
0
36.5%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to D.J. MatthewsSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 5
50
0
36.5%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to D.J. MatthewsSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 5
50
0
36.8%
Logan Tyler punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FG
15 plays · 76 yds · 4:5037% → 40%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
37.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 13 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+1
36.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 1 yd to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+4
37.3%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+5
37.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
37.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
37.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+14
37.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 14 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
38.0%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-1
38.4%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+21
38.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 6 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
38.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin C. Butler for 11 yds to the FlaSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
39.1%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
39.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
39.2%
Moe Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
39.8%
Andre Szmyt 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3960% → 59%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
39.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+2
39.9%
Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
40.3%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+6
40.8%
Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 18 Cam Akers fumbled, recovered by FlaStSimilar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
41.4%
Logan Tyler punt for 59 yds, downed at the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:4041% → 43%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
40.5%
Eric Dungey run for 12 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
40.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Jamal Custis for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-9
40.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-9 Yards) to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
41.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-5
42.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+29
41.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 29 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
42.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7MISSED FG
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5243% → 42%
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-11
42.9%
Eric Dungey sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 21
OPP 40
+12
41.8%
Eric Dungey run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
41.6%
Andre Szmyt 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8PUNT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:4858% → 57%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
41.7%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
42.1%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 1 yd to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
42.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5143% → 42%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
43.4%
Sean Riley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 14
OWN 39
0
42.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+4
41.8%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+1
41.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 50 yds , D.J. Matthews returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (4 Yards) to the FlaSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3357% → 55%
Q2 14:43
2ND & 7
OWN 7
0
43.3%
Deondre Francois run for no gain to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 7
-3
44.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-3 Yards) to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+9
44.3%
Jacques Patrick run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
44.9%
Logan Tyler punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Antwan Cordy at the Syrac 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:5845% → 46%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
44.9%
Moe Neal run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-4
45.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-4 Yards) to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 12
OWN 43
0
44.3%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+12
43.4%
Eric Dungey run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
46.0%
Moe Neal run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
46.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
45.5%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+10
45.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
47.0%
Eric Dungey run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
46.6%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
46.1%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the FlaSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5855% → 53%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
45.4%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
45.8%
Cam Akers run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
46.3%
Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
47.2%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 8 yds to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
47.4%
Logan Tyler punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Antwan Cordy at the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1547% → 48%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
47.3%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
49.1%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
48.4%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
47.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 46 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews at the FlaSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4252% → 52%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
47.8%
Cam Akers run for no gain to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-2
48.5%
Deondre Francois pass intercepted Christopher Fredrick return for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FG
13 plays · 32 yds · 3:5252% → 58%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
51.5%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 32 Eric Dungey fumbled, recovered by Syrac Eric DungeySimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-5
51.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 14
OPP 37
0
50.4%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Sean RileySimilar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 14
OPP 31
+21
49.6%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
52.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+4
52.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+16
52.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jamal Custis for 16 yds to the FlaSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.6%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.4%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.7%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
58.2%
Andre Szmyt 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16END OF HALF
10 plays · 53 yds · 1:3444% → 47%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
56.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+12
54.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 12 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
53.4%
Deondre Francois sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+20
57.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 20 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
53.1%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+16
53.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 16 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
51.4%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jacques Patrick for no gain to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
51.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan MurraySimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+8
53.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 8 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:0859% → 59%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
59.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
60.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Ravian PierceSimilar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+33
59.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jamal Custis for 33 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
62.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+8
62.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-6
62.7%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 16
OPP 26
-1
62.0%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Marvin Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 17
OPP 39
-12
60.3%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Brian Burns for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaSt 39 SYRACUSE Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 29
OPP 39
0
58.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5642% → 41%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
57.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Cam Akers for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
58.1%
Deondre Francois run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
59.4%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:1263% → 80%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
62.7%
Moe Neal run for 12 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
64.5%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+8
64.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Riley for 8 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+6
64.6%
Moe Neal run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
65.5%
Moe Neal run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+22
66.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 22 yds to the FlaSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
66.8%
Tommy DeVito run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
67.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.4%
Tommy DeVito 3 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4322% → 19%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
77.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
78.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 7 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
79.3%
Deondre Francois sacked by Kendall Coleman for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
80.7%
Logan Tyler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Antwan Cordy at the Syrac 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:1085% → 95%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
84.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 3
50
+2
85.0%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+45
84.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 45 yds to the FlaSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.7%
Ravian Pierce 3 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:275% → 4%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+25
95.1%
Deondre Francois pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 25 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
94.6%
Deondre Francois run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
94.9%
Nyqwan Murray pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-6
95.4%
Deondre Francois sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 1:36
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
96.1%
Logan Tyler punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Antwan Cordy at the Syrac 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:1497% → 99%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
96.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 23 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.0%
Jarveon Howard run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
97.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 2 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+16
96.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jarveon Howard for 16 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
97.4%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
97.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+9
97.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Ravian Pierce for 9 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
97.9%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
99.0%
Andre Szmyt 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:322% → 2%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 11 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
98.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 9 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
98.0%
Cam Akers run for no gain to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+17
98.2%
Cam Akers run for 17 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-9
98.1%
Deondre Francois sacked by Alton Robinson for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 19
OPP 47
0
98.3%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 19
OPP 47
0
98.5%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 19
OPP 47
0
98.5%
Logan Tyler punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Antwan Cordy at the Syrac 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.3%
Moe Neal run for 4 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
99.2%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Jarveon HowardSimilar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
99.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:412% → 7%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keith GavinSimilar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+39
98.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 39 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+21
98.3%
Deondre Francois run for 21 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.3%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.4%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 4 yds to the Syrac 6Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.6%
Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
98.7%
Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.6%
Deondre Francois 2 Yd Run (Ricky Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:4198% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
98.2%
Dontae Strickland run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+3
98.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
98.3%
Tommy DeVito run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
98.6%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
99.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 13 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 28DOWNS
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:221% → 1%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.4%
Deondre Francois pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 5 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.4%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 10 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.4%
Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Cam AkersSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 29Uncategorized
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
99.8%
Markenzy Pierre run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.8%
Markenzy Pierre run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
99.8%
Markenzy Pierre run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:55
Tommy DeVito 3 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)
+13.3
TD · Q3 3:33
Ravian Pierce 3 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt Kick)
+9.8
TD · Q4 6:16
Deondre Francois 2 Yd Run (Ricky Aguayo Kick)
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com