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BC

Boston College 41 at Wake Forest 34

WAKE
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2018 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:18 · Dom Maggio punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior−7.6Home team on offense−4.6Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:01: Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 35 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK) — BC win probability +15.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:39: Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 29 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK) — BC win probability +15.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:29: Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 71 yds for a TD (John Tessitore PAT BLOCKED) — BC win probability +11.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:48: Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 40 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK) — BC win probability +11.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:33: Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +16.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 10 of 16BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:31BC 4th & 13 at BC 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:52WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:27BC 4th & 4 at BC 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:59WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:38BC 4th & 18 at BC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:54WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:16BC 4th & 2 at BC 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:51WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:56BC 4th & 3 at BC 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:50BC 4th & 3 at BC 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:49WAKE 4th & 3 at BC 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%−1.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:56WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:08BC 4th & 10 at BC 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:11WAKE 4th & 2 at BC 9, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.9%−1.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−10.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:18WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:08BC 4th & 8 at BC 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−1.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:25WAKE 4th & 2 at BC 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−4.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−2.4
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:40WAKE 4th & 2 at BC 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.0%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−2.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−13.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:00WAKE 4th & 3 at BC 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−1.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−3.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:13WAKE 4th & 5 at BC 5, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.9%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−8.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:52WAKE 4th & 13 at BC 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:42BC 4th & 4 at BC 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:11WAKE 4th & 12 at BC 39, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%
    36% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.8
    average punt
  24. Q4 2:15WAKE 4th & 2 at BC 18, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−1.2
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−2.5
    average punt
  25. Q4 1:33WAKE 4th & 2 at BC 5, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−1.0
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:53BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:24WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:11BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:14WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:01BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:39BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:29BC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:48BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.8
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:33WAKE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 0:4169% → 70%
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
30.6%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
30.6%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+45
30.5%
AJ Dillon run for 45 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2INT
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:5131% → 31%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.6%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
30.7%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
30.7%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
30.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
50
0
31.0%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
50
+6
31.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Steven Claude for 6 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
31.1%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted Will Harris return for no gain to the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0369% → 69%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
30.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 7 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+10
30.6%
AJ Dillon run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
50
0
30.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 10
50
-1
30.5%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 49Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+3
30.8%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 8
OPP 48
-5
30.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the BC 47Similar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
31.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:2931% → 31%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
31.0%
Matt Colburn run for 7 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+5
30.9%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
31.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Matt Colburn for 9 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
31.3%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
31.2%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
31.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Matt ColburnSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
31.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
30.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1669% → 69%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
30.9%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 16Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
31.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+6
31.3%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+4
31.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 39 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 4 yds to the WFrst 26 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the WFrst 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:5631% → 31%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
31.4%
Cade Carney run for 8 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+4
32.0%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
32.0%
Sam Hartman sacked by Wyatt Ray for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 38Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+9
31.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 9 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
31.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+39
31.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 39 yds , Michael Walker returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 13 Michael Walker fumbled, recovered by WFrstSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:1333% → 36%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
32.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for no gain to the BC 13Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+11
32.9%
Sam Hartman run for 11 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.4%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:3065% → 64%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
34.8%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 21Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 17
OWN 21
-3
35.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 18Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 20
OWN 18
+2
35.9%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 18
OWN 20
+2
36.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 39 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 2 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3037% → 36%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
37.1%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
37.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
36.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
36.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:1864% → 64%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
35.9%
Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the BC 2Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+11
36.1%
AJ Dillon run for 11 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+22
36.0%
AJ Dillon run for 22 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
35.8%
Jeff Smith run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
35.8%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 38Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
36.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 5 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
36.4%
Grant Carlson punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11INT
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:2638% → 40%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
37.9%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+23
38.7%
Sam Hartman run for 23 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
39.7%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted Hamp Cheevers return for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:1464% → 70%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
35.7%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+17
35.3%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
35.1%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+27
29.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 27 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0032% → 31%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.6%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
31.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
31.0%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 25Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 55 yds , Michael Walker returns for 9 yds to the BC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4169% → 61%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
31.0%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 26Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+4
31.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to CJ Lewis for 4 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+6
31.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 6 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
39.0%
Grant Carlson punt blocked by Demetrius Kemp recovered by Malik Grate for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4562% → 62%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
38.1%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-8
37.3%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 40 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ben Glines) to the BC 30Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+7
38.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 7 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+5
38.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 5 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
38.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Greg Dortch at the WFrst 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:3141% → 56%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
41.2%
Cade Carney run for 12 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
41.8%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-1
41.8%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+26
40.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Steven Claude for 26 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
44.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
44.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+7
43.5%
Sam Hartman run for 7 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+32
43.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 32 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
45.9%
Cade Carney run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 5Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
55.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 0:5648% → 64%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
52.2%
AJ Dillon run for 13 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
51.9%
Jeff Smith run for 30 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
36.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 35 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:5143% → 42%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.9%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
42.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+6
42.8%
Cade Carney run for 6 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
43.0%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
42.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:3659% → 59%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
40.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 11 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
38.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
39.2%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 46Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
39.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Chris GarrisonSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+8
41.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 46 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 8 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 1:0045% → 45%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
44.5%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+2
44.8%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21FG
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3044% → 52%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
44.4%
Matt Colburn run for 18 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+35
45.1%
Matt Colburn run for 35 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
49.1%
Sam Hartman run for 7 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+7
49.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Matt Colburn for 7 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
49.5%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
49.6%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+2
48.3%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+27
51.6%
Nick Sciba 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:1751% → 68%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
49.3%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 21Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-2
50.1%
Anthony Brown sacked by Justin Strnad and Carlos Basham Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 19Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+24
51.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 24 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
47.3%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
48.3%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+17
48.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Michael Walker for 17 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
47.2%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+29
31.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 29 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:1238% → 35%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
38.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+4
40.3%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
40.8%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
39.5%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
37.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
36.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
34.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0365% → 64%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
34.8%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
35.1%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+19
36.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 19 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
33.3%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
33.8%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 8
OWN 43
-3
36.4%
Grant Carlson punt for 48 yds , Greg Dortch returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25DOWNS
15 plays · 86 yds · 4:2036% → 37%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
35.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+42
34.7%
Cade Carney run for 42 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
39.5%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
40.3%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the BC 47Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
38.1%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+3
36.3%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
39.0%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+4
39.0%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+5
38.9%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
41.1%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+9
41.1%
Cade Carney run for 9 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
41.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 8 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 2
OPP 8
0
41.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Waydale JonesSimilar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
39.0%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the BC 8Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 2
OPP 8
0
36.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 1:3168% → 80%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
31.9%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 8Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+9
32.3%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+3
32.7%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
31.3%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+71
20.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 71 yds for a TD (John Tessitore PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 2:0219% → 30%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
19.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Sage SurrattSimilar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
18.6%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+32
20.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 17 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
22.4%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
24.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+3
22.1%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+22
20.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 22 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
23.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
23.2%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
21.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
30.0%
Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 28TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1178% → 95%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
22.5%
AJ Dillon run for 21 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
20.3%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+10
18.6%
Jeff Smith run for 10 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
16.6%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
16.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+40
4.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 40 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:337% → 6%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
7.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Cade Carney for 9 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+5
7.6%
Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
7.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
7.2%
Sam Hartman run for 7 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+8
7.1%
Cade Carney run for 8 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
7.0%
Sam Hartman sacked by Wyatt Ray for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 17
50
0
6.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 17
50
+4
6.1%
Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
5.6%
Dom Maggio punt for 37 yds, downed at the BC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0396% → 97%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
4.1%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 9Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+3
4.0%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+3
4.0%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 4
OWN 15
+3
3.3%
Grant Carlson punt for 40 yds , Greg Dortch returns for 3 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 31TD
14 plays · 52 yds · 2:574% → 19%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
4.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 6 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+9
3.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 9 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
3.5%
Sam Hartman sacked by Wyatt Ray for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 42Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+9
3.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 9 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 6
OPP 33
-6
3.6%
Sam Hartman sacked by Wyatt Ray for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 39Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 12
OPP 39
+13
3.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Sage Surratt for 13 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
3.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
3.3%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+5
3.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 5 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+5
3.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Greg Dortch for 5 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
3.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Greg DortchSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
2.9%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+8
2.7%
Matt Colburn run for 8 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
19.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 32Uncategorized
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:2795% → 96%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 15
OPP 43
-5
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 20
OPP 48
-5
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:33
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)
+16.8
TD · Q2 3:01
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 35 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q3 8:39
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 29 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com