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W&M

William & Mary 17 at Virginia Tech 62

VT
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadW&M aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreW&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—VT 100.0%Kris Hooper 35 yd FG GOOD VIRGINIATECH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards)declinedAWAY 17 - HOME 55 · Q4 7:38
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:38 · Kris Hooper 35 yd FG GOOD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+14.1Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+29.1Blowout margin+16.9Garbage-time factor+11.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:15: Josh Jackson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 39 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:04: Josh Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:15: Nate Evans run for 4 yds for a TD (Kris Hooper KICK) — W&M win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:19: Steven Peoples run for 4 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:39: Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2W&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:47W&M 4th & 7 at W&M 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:54VT 4th & 10 at W&M 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:45W&M 4th & 7 at W&M 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:06W&M 4th & 14 at W&M 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:40W&M 4th & 8 at W&M 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:51VT 4th & 28 at W&M 28, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:41W&M 4th & 3 at W&M 32, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00W&M 4th & 2 at W&M 47, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:38W&M 4th & 4 at VT 18, down 41
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:50W&M 4th & 5 at W&M 41, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8W&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:47VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:15VT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:04VT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:15W&M Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:19VT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:39VT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:50VT Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:23W&M Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:28VT Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:10VT Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 38 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
99.4%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 18 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
99.4%
Terius Wheatley run for 18 yds to the WmMry 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the WmMry 34 Deshawn McClease fumbled, forced by Nate Atkins, recovered by WmMry Isaiah LasterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.3%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to Nick Muse for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 33Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+1
99.3%
Albert Funderburke run for 1 yd to the WmMry 34Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-7
99.3%
Shon Mitchell sacked by Houshun Gaines for a loss of 7 yards to the WmMry 27 Shon Mitchell fumbled, recovered by VTech Jarrod Hewitt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:4199% → 99%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
99.3%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Steven Peoples for 21 yds to the WmMry 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.3%
Steven Peoples run for 6 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.3%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 18 yds to the WmMry 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.2%
Nate Evans run for 4 yds to the WmMry 47Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Shon Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-1
99.2%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 46Similar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Will Michael punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5FG
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:4499% → 99%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+29
99.2%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 29 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
99.2%
Steven Peoples run for 14 yds to the WmMry 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
99.1%
Terius Wheatley run for 12 yds to the WmMry 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 6 yds to the WmMry 29Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+15
99.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 15 yds to the WmMry 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Eric KumahSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Steven PeoplesSimilar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
99.0%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Hezekiah Grimsley, broken up by Corey ParkerSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
99.0%
Brian Johnson 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:091% → 1%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.0%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to Nate Evans for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 23Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
99.0%
Albert Funderburke run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 22Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+6
99.0%
Albert Funderburke run for 6 yds to the WmMry 28Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Will Michael punt for 38 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for no gain to the VTech 34 C.J. Carroll fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:4999% → 99%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 32Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+15
98.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Tre Turner for 15 yds Tre Turner fumbled, forced by Corey Parker, recovered by VTech Houshun Gaines for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.9%
Terius Wheatley run for 5 yds to the WmMry 48Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
98.9%
Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the WmMry 46Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+7
98.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Dalton Keene for 7 yds to the WmMry 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.1%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 39 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Nate Evans run for 2 yds to the WmMry 27Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
99.0%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to Nick Muse for 15 yds to the WmMry 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
99.0%
Albert Funderburke run for a loss of 4 yards to the WmMry 38Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 14
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Shon Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 14
OWN 38
+18
99.0%
Will Michael punt for 44 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for 18 yds to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:5699% → 99%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.0%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
99.0%
Terius Wheatley run for 4 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
99.0%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
99.0%
Steven Peoples run for 16 yds to the WmMry 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.0%
Steven Peoples run for 11 yds to the WmMry 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
99.0%
Terius Wheatley run for 13 yds to the WmMry 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.0%
Josh Jackson rush quarterback draw for 1 yard to the WM12 (Carl Fowler;Raeshawn Smith), PENALTY WM substitution infraction 5 yards to the WM8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 5
OPP 8
+8
99.3%
Josh Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+71
99.2%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to Nick Muse for 71 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.6%
Nate Evans run for 4 yds for a TD (Kris Hooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:5099% → 99%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+21
98.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 21 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.9%
Terius Wheatley run for 5 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
98.9%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 7 yds to the WmMry 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
98.9%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 6 yds to the WmMry 42Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+13
98.9%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Steven Peoples for 13 yds to the WmMry 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.9%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the WmMry 29Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+10
98.9%
Sean Savoy run for 10 yds to the WmMry 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
98.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the WmMry 17Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
98.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the WmMry 15Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+11
98.9%
Josh Jackson run for 11 yds to the WmMry 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:391% → 1%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Albert Funderburke run for 1 yd to the WmMry 26Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Tyler CristSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.1%
Albert Funderburke run for 1 yd to the WmMry 27Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+10
99.1%
Will Michael punt for 42 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for 10 yds to the VTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:0799% → 100%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.3%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, broken up by Nate LewisSimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+37
99.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 37 yds to the WmMry 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
99.3%
Deshawn McClease run for 8 yds to the WmMry 10Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+5
99.4%
WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, (5 Yards) to the WmMry 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.4%
Deshawn McClease run for 4 yds to the WmMry 1Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
Nate Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the WmMry 20Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
99.8%
Nate Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 3 yds to the WmMry 28Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 10 yds to the WmMry 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass incomplete, PENALTY VT offside defense (Trevon Hill) 5 yards to the WM43, NO PLAY, clock 13:22.Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+6
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to Tyler Klaus for 6 yds to the WmMry 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to DeVonte DedmonSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Nate Evans run for 2 yds to the VTech 49 Nate Evans fumbled, forced by Houshun Gaines, recovered by VTech Houshun GainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton, broken up by Gage HerdmanSimilar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the WmMry 45Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+8
99.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Eric Kumah for 8 yds to the WmMry 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
99.8%
Josh Jackson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 25 yds to the WmMry 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.8%
Deshawn McClease run for 6 yds to the WmMry 6Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+5
99.9%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 5 yds to the WmMry 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Terius Wheatley run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to Tyler Klaus for 6 yds to the WmMry 31Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to Jack Armstrong for 10 yds to the WmMry 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.8%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 59 yds for a TD (Kris Hooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18FG
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Phil Patterson for 16 yds to the WmMry 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the WmMry 32Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+14
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Sean Savoy for 14 yds to the WmMry 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the WmMry 15Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+7
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre Turner, PENALTY WM pass interference (Nate Lewis) 7 yards to the WM8, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-17
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the WmMry 25Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Phil Patterson, broken up by Raeshawn SmithSimilar
Q3 5:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 25
-3
99.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Jalen Holston for a loss of 3 yards to the WmMry 28Similar
Q3 4:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 28
+45
99.9%
Brian Johnson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:060% → 0%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Shon Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to DeVonte DedmonSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to Nick Muse for 7 yds to the WmMry 32Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
TEAM pass incomplete to Simeon BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
99.9%
Jalen Holston run for 16 yds to the WmMry 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
Sean Savoy run for 5 yds to the WmMry 11Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the WmMry 7Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Ryan Willis run for 7 yds for a TD (Jordan Stout KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 21FG
20 plays · 57 yds · 9:500% → 0%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Owen Wright run for 1 yd to the WmMry 26Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Owen Wright run for 4 yds to the WmMry 30Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, false start (Dan Evers) to the WmMry 25Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.9%
Shon Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 24 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Rico Kearney) to the WmMry 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Owen Wright run for 4 yds to the WmMry 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Nate Evans run for 4 yds to the WmMry 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Owen Wright run for no gain to the WmMry 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Shon Mitchell pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 7 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Owen Wright run for 2 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Owen Wright run for 5 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Owen Wright run for 3 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
100.0%
Albert Funderburke run for 4 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Ted Hefter pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon, broken up by Jovonn QuillenSimilar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+8
100.0%
Ted Hefter pass complete to Jack Armstrong for 8 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 15
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Ted Hefter pass complete to Jack Armstrong for no gain to the VTech 29Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 15
OPP 29
+11
100.0%
Albert Funderburke run for 11 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
100.0%
Kris Hooper 35 yd FG GOOD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+69
100.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 69 yds for a TD (Jordan Stout KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Owen Wright run for 2 yds to the WmMry 27Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
100.0%
Owen Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 26Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
100.0%
Ted Hefter pass complete to Tyler Klaus for 10 yds to the WmMry 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
100.0%
Owen Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 35Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Jaret Anderson run for no gain to the WmMry 35Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+6
100.0%
Ted Hefter pass complete to Jaret Anderson for 6 yds to the WmMry 41Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Will Michael punt for 33 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+8
100.0%
Jalen Holston run for 8 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:15
Nate Evans run for 4 yds for a TD (Kris Hooper KICK)
-0.6
TD · Q2 4:19
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 0:39
Deshawn McClease run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com