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INST

Indiana State 7 at Louisville 31

LOU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadINST aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreINST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:01 · Travis Reiner punt for 43 yds, downed at the Lvile 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+17.1Home team on offense−1.0Score differential−2.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:51: Titus McCoy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK) — INST win probability +3.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Blanton Creque kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — LOU win probability +5.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:29: Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +14.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:37: Timeout INDIANA ST, clock 01:37 — LOU win probability +6.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:57: Mekhi Becton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK) — LOU win probability +9.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7INST made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:04INST 4th & 4 at INST 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:04INST 4th & 6 at INST 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:51LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00INST 4th & 2 at INST 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:32LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:59INST 4th & 13 at LOU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:01INST 4th & 9 at INST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:19LOU 4th & 11 at LOU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:07INST 4th & 15 at INST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:24LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:36INST 4th & 6 at LOU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    48.3%−1.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:29INST 4th & 6 at INST 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−2.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:57INST 4th & 1 at INST 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.0%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:57INST 4th & 14 at INST 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−2.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:43LOU 4th & 8 at INST 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−3.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:43INST 4th & 5 at INST 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:00INST 4th & 6 at INST 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:15LOU 4th & 19 at INST 45, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3INST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:51INST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:29LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:57LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:00LOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.0%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.0%
Colin Wilson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
77.0%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
77.0%
Mason King punt for 57 yds, downed at the IndSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0323% → 23%
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
76.7%
PENALTY LOU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY INS personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-7
76.8%
Jalil Kilpatrick run for a loss of 7 yards to the IndSt 7Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 17
OWN 7
+8
76.8%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 8 yds to the IndSt 15Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+5
76.8%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 5 yds to the IndSt 20Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 4
OWN 20
+55
77.2%
Travis Reiner punt for 35 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 55 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.1%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 4 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
77.0%
Jalil Kilpatrick run for 7 yds to the IndSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
77.0%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 5 yds to the IndSt 41Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-4
76.9%
Jalil Kilpatrick run for a loss of 4 yards to the IndSt 37Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+3
77.1%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 3 yds to the IndSt 40Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
77.1%
Travis Reiner punt for 58 yds, downed at the Lvile 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
77.1%
Colin Wilson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 3Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+6
77.1%
Colin Wilson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 9Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+10
76.9%
Jaylen Smith run for 10 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
77.2%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+5
77.3%
Jawon Pass run for 5 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
77.2%
Jawon Pass pass intercepted Jonas Griffith return for 20 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 5TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:0124% → 27%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
76.1%
Titus McCoy run for 6 yds to the Lvile 16Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+6
76.1%
Jalil Kilpatrick run for 6 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
76.1%
Titus McCoy run for 4 yds to the Lvile 6Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
76.1%
Titus McCoy run for 4 yds to the Lvile 2Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.0%
Titus McCoy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
74.1%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Tut. Atwell for 7 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+6
74.2%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Devante Peete for 6 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
74.2%
Colin Wilson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
74.2%
Jawon Pass run for no gain to the Lvile 31Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
73.8%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen SmithSimilar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
73.5%
Mason King punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IndSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:2527% → 28%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
72.7%
Titus McCoy run for 1 yd to the IndSt 29Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+3
72.8%
Titus McCoy run for 3 yds to the IndSt 32Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+9
73.0%
Titus McCoy run for 9 yds to the IndSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
72.1%
Jalil Kilpatrick run for 2 yds to the IndSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
71.4%
Titus McCoy run for no gain to the IndSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+6
72.0%
Christian Covington run for 6 yds to the IndSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
72.0%
Travis Reiner punt for 41 yds, downed at the Lvile 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
72.7%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 4 yds to the Lvile 14Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-5
72.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Jaylen Smith) to the Lvile 9Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+11
72.6%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Devante Peete for 11 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
72.8%
Dae Williams run for 1 yd to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
72.7%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Marcus Riley for 6 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
72.5%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Devante PeeteSimilar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
71.9%
Mason King punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+27
70.7%
Jalil Kilpatrick pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 12 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (P.J. Blue) to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
69.3%
Christian Covington run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
69.4%
Jalil Kilpatrick pass incomplete, broken up by Tabarius PetersonSimilar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
69.6%
Ja'Quan Keys run for no gain to the Lvile 40Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 8
OPP 40
-5
70.8%
INDIANA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 45Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
71.5%
Travis Reiner punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 71 yds · 0:0072% → 74%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
71.7%
Jawon Pass run for 9 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
72.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
72.3%
Hassan Hall run for 9 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+8
73.4%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 8 yds to the IndSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+40
73.6%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Micky Crum for 25 yds Micky Crum fumbled, forced by Kaelub Newman, recovered by IndSt Denzel Bonner for a 1ST down INDIANA ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the IndSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
68.4%
Jalil Kilpatrick run for 10 yds to the IndSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
68.0%
Titus McCoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 33Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+2
68.5%
Titus McCoy run for 2 yds to the IndSt 35Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+5
69.0%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 5 yds to the IndSt 40Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 4
OWN 40
-5
68.9%
INDIANA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IndSt 35Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
69.6%
Travis Reiner punt for 43 yds, downed at the Lvile 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
70.2%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 2
OWN 30
-5
71.5%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 24 Hassan Hall fumbled, recovered by Lvile Jawon PassSimilar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-3
69.1%
Jawon Pass sacked by Pishon Powell for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
68.4%
Mason King punt for 64 yds, downed at the IndSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:0534% → 36%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
66.4%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 1 yd to the IndSt 16Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+5
66.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the IndSt 21Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+6
66.1%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 6 yds to the IndSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
66.1%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 2 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+7
65.0%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 7 yds to the IndSt 36Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+7
63.8%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 7 yds to the IndSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:5335% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.4%
Jalil Kilpatrick pass incomplete to Dante Hendrix, broken up by Dee SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
65.5%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 24 yds to the IndSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
62.7%
INDIANA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Isaiah Edwards) to the IndSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 39
0
64.8%
Jalil Kilpatrick pass incomplete to Dante HendrixSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 39
0
65.0%
Jalil Kilpatrick pass incomplete to Christian CovingtonSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 20
OWN 39
+5
64.9%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 5 yds to the IndSt 44Similar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 15
OWN 44
+4
66.0%
Travis Reiner punt for 32 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 4 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
68.1%
Jawon Pass sacked by Matt Thompson and Inoke Moala for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 26 Jawon Pass fumbled, recovered by Lvile Jawon Pass , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
67.5%
Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+9
66.1%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Micky Crum for 9 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 3
OWN 35
-5
66.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 30Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
65.5%
Mason King punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Rontrez Morgan at the IndSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
63.0%
Titus McCoy run for 4 yds to the IndSt 34Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
62.2%
Jalil Kilpatrick run for no gain to the IndSt 34Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+20
63.5%
Jalil Kilpatrick pass complete to Dante Jones II for 20 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
60.1%
INDIANA ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the IndSt 49Similar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+9
61.9%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 9 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
60.1%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Dante Hendrix INDIANA ST Penalty, false start ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
60.6%
Ryan Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
62.4%
Travis Reiner punt for 25 yds, downed at the Lvile 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 5:3066% → 84%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
65.7%
Jaylen Smith run for 12 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
66.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 19 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
69.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the IndSt 47Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
69.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the IndSt 44Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
69.1%
Colin Wilson run for 3 yds to the IndSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
69.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 4 yds to the IndSt 37Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+3
69.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the IndSt 34Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+21
69.3%
Jaylen Smith run for 21 yds to the IndSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
69.9%
Jaylen Smith run for 11 yds to the IndSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.0%
Jaylen Smith run for 1 yd to the IndSt 1Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
79.3%
Ryan Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-1
79.8%
Ja'Quan Keys run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 16Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+10
80.9%
Ryan Boyle run for 10 yds to the IndSt 26Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 1
OWN 26
-5
80.6%
INDIANA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the IndSt 21Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+27
81.3%
Travis Reiner punt for 29 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 27 yds to the IndSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4087% → 96%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
87.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 8 yds to the IndSt 15Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+1
87.3%
Jaylen Smith run for 1 yd to the IndSt 14Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+13
86.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 13 yds to the IndSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.8%
Mekhi Becton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
93.3%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 9 yds to the IndSt 32Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
92.6%
Ja'Quan Keys run for no gain to the IndSt 32Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
92.7%
Ja'Quan Keys run for no gain to the IndSt 32Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+3
92.9%
Jalil Kilpatrick run for 3 yds to the IndSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
92.8%
Ja'Quan Keys run for 3 yds to the IndSt 38Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-10
92.7%
Ryan Boyle sacked by Jarrett Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the IndSt 28 Ryan Boyle fumbled, recovered by IndSt Nakia Grier , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+3
93.5%
Jalil Kilpatrick run for 3 yds to the IndSt 31Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
93.5%
Lucas White punt for 27 yds, downed at the Lvile 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21FG
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:3497% → 98%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+30
96.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Devante Peete for 15 yds to the LOUISVILLE 43 for a 1ST down INDIANA ST Penalty, roughing passer (Inoke Moala) to the IndSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.7%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-2
96.6%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 30Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+4
96.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the IndSt 26Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
97.5%
Blanton Creque 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
96.8%
Jalil Kilpatrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
96.9%
Jalil Kilpatrick pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+5
96.9%
Jalil Kilpatrick pass complete to Ja'Quan Keys for 5 yds to the IndSt 21Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
96.9%
Lucas White punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:4298% → 100%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
97.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+8
97.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the IndSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
97.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tut. Atwell for 10 yds to the IndSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 34 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
99.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jaylen Smith) to the Lvile 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.4%
Titus McCoy run for 8 yds to the Lvile 49Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Titus McCoy run for no gain to the Lvile 49Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-4
99.4%
Titus McCoy run for a loss of 4 yards to the IndSt 47Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Lucas White punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dez Fitzpatrick at the Lvile 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 4 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
99.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+10
99.7%
Colin Wilson run for 10 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
99.7%
Colin Wilson run for 26 yds to the IndSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
99.7%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Matt Thompson for a loss of 9 yards to the IndSt 45Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 19
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Marcus RileySimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 19
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Jordan Travis run for no gain to the IndSt 45Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 19
OPP 45
+20
99.7%
Mason King punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IndSt 10 LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the IndSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 26Uncategorized
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Christian Covington run for 1 yd to the IndSt 26Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.6%
Christian Covington run for 3 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.6%
Christian Covington run for 2 yds to the IndSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:29
Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)
+14.1
TD · Q4 14:57
Mekhi Becton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)
+9.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:37
Timeout INDIANA ST, clock 01:37
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com