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Georgia Tech 38 at South Florida 49

USF
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:54 · Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 4 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Pregame prior−0.7Home team on offense+18.9Garbage-time factor+10.3Score differential+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:53: Duran Bell Jr. run for 14 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +16.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:22: Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +17.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:15: Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD (Brenton King KICK) — GT win probability +13.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:11: Blake Barnett pass complete to Terrence Horne for 3 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +25.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 5:08: Blake Barnett run for 19 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +39.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:35GT 4th & 8 at USF 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:50USF 4th & 1 at GT 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    44.5%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−4.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:20GT 4th & 4 at GT 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:02GT 4th & 2 at GT 35, down 4
    Close callPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:02USF 4th & 12 at GT 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:54GT 4th & 6 at USF 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:22USF 4th & 15 at GT 37, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:27USF 4th & 6 at USF 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−1.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:15GT 4th & 1 at USF 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    53.7%−5.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−21.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:54USF 4th & 1 at GT 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−6.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−21.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:43GT 4th & 13 at USF 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:23USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:52GT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:21GT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:10USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:24GT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:53USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:22GT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:15GT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:11USF Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:08USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:13USF Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:3536% → 36%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
35.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 14 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
35.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 8
50
-5
35.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-5 Yards) to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
35.8%
Blake Barnett pass intercepted Tariq Carpenter return for no gain to the GTech 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 6:1164% → 63%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
35.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-17
35.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (-17 Yards) to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 19
OWN 34
+7
36.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for 7 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+18
36.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Qua Searcy for 18 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
36.2%
KirVonte Benson run for 11 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
36.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SFla 25Similar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 5
OPP 25
-5
36.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
36.8%
KirVonte Benson run for 11 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
36.8%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the SFla 13Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-3
37.0%
KirVonte Benson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 16Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-1
37.2%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 17Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
37.3%
Brenton King 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:2160% → 63%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.6%
KirVonte Benson run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
39.7%
Nathan Cottrell run for 7 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
39.7%
KirVonte Benson run for 16 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
39.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+45
37.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for 45 yds for a TD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 8 (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
38.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 81 yds for a TD (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7DOWNS
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:1038% → 40%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
38.2%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
38.3%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Mitchell WilcoxSimilar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+26
38.4%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 11 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
39.7%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+12
40.2%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 12 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
40.4%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 4 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+11
40.4%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 11 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
40.7%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 1 yd to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
40.9%
Trevon Sands run for 3 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.3%
Trevon Sands run for no gain to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 0:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.6%
Blake Barnett pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1061% → 60%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
39.1%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
38.9%
Nathan Cottrell run for 2 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 14:33
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+2
39.5%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
40.1%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 62 yds , Tyre McCants returns for no gain to the SFla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:0139% → 48%
Q2 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+13
39.3%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 13 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
39.4%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SFla 32Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
40.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
50
-2
41.4%
Duran Bell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 48Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+12
40.6%
Blake Barnett run for 12 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
41.8%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
41.9%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 4 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+6
41.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
42.9%
Blake Barnett run for 9 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+3
43.2%
Blake Barnett run for 3 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
47.9%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 18 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4655% → 51%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
45.2%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-1
44.4%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
46.0%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
49.1%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3251% → 49%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
51.1%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 2 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-3
51.4%
Blake Barnett sacked by Kyle Cerge-Henderson for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 11
OPP 46
-1
50.3%
Blake Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
49.0%
Trent Schneider punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:4850% → 50%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
50.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 9 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+3
49.7%
Nathan Cottrell run for 3 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+36
50.7%
TaQuon Marshall run for 36 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
48.3%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
48.6%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the SFla 36Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
49.2%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-7
50.4%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Kevin Kegler for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 2:0454% → 53%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
53.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+3
54.1%
Blake Barnett run for 3 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+8
53.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Terrence Horne for 8 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
55.4%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
55.0%
Blake Barnett run for 9 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
54.5%
Trevon Sands run for 4 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
55.9%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Stanley ClerveauxSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
56.0%
Blake Barnett run for 2 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-7
54.8%
Blake Barnett sacked by Kyle Cerge-Henderson for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 37Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
53.2%
Trent Schneider punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
56.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass intercepted Ronnie Hoggins return for 2 yds to the SFla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0557% → 57%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
56.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 10 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
57.2%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:2149% → 65%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+26
51.3%
TaQuon Marshall run for 26 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
48.5%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+12
48.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 12 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
47.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 11 yds to the SFla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
47.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the SFla 9Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+4
47.9%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the SFla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
35.5%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds for a TD (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:1241% → 63%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
40.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 6 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
42.4%
Blake Barnett run for 2 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+24
41.3%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 24 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
44.8%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 13 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
46.3%
Terrence Horne run for 7 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+8
46.4%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 8 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
63.1%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 14 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1043% → 65%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.3%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
55.8%
Tobias Oliver run for 7 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
56.0%
Qua Searcy run for 28 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
52.1%
Nathan Cottrell run for 8 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+5
52.0%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
52.1%
Jordan Mason run for 11 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
52.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 5 yds to the SFla 5Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
52.2%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the SFla 1Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.7%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:4941% → 42%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 7 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
43.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 5 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.1%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCantsSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
41.7%
Blake Barnett run for 5 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+4
43.1%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 4 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 1
OWN 46
-5
44.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Blake Barnett) to the SFla 41Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+11
42.1%
Trent Schneider punt for 44 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 11 yds to the GTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:4661% → 77%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+46
39.2%
Jordan Mason run for 46 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
34.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 6 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+15
34.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 15 yds to the SFla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
34.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the SFla 5Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
34.1%
Tobias Oliver run for 4 yds to the SFla 1Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.6%
Tobias Oliver run for no gain to the SFla 1Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.6%
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD (Brenton King KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 1:4822% → 51%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
21.7%
Tyre McCants run for 6 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
22.8%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 8 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+15
24.7%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 15 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
25.9%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 7 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+16
26.2%
Duran Bell Jr. run for 16 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
25.6%
Duran Bell Jr. run for no gain to the GTech 9 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (David Curry) to the GTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
25.5%
Terrence Horne run for 1 yd to the GTech 3Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
50.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Terrence Horne for 3 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:0366% → 71%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
34.4%
Tobias Oliver run for 2 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-1
34.0%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+21
33.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 21 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
30.2%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+6
28.0%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
28.0%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+1
27.1%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the SFla 19Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+7
28.8%
Qua Searcy run for 7 yds to the SFla 12 Qua Searcy fumbled, recovered by SFla Nico Sawtelle , return for no gain to the SFla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 2:3240% → 87%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
39.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 11 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
40.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 19Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+22
37.4%
Blake Barnett run for 22 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
42.2%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
40.2%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 15 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
44.2%
Blake Barnett run for 6 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+4
44.5%
Trevon Sands run for 4 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
47.3%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Darnell SalomonSimilar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
47.3%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 15 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
87.0%
Blake Barnett run for 19 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24INT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1426% → 22%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
73.7%
Qua Searcy run for 17 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
72.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-10
73.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GTech 32Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 20
OWN 32
0
76.9%
TaQuon Marshall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 20
OWN 32
+22
78.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass intercepted Nico Sawtelle return for 22 yds to the GTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 25TD
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:2389% → 97%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
88.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
89.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+2
89.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+4
88.4%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 4 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.7%
Blake Barnett run for 5 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 26Uncategorized
16 plays · 69 yds · 1:593% → 4%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+21
97.3%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Qua Searcy for 21 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
96.8%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Brad Stewart for 6 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
96.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Nathan Cottrell for 6 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
96.5%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-3
96.8%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 40Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 13
OPP 40
+13
97.4%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Malachi Carter for 13 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
96.0%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the SFla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
96.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Jalen Camp for 8 yds to the SFla 12Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 2
OPP 12
0
96.0%
TaQuon Marshall pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+1
96.6%
TaQuon Marshall run for 1 yd to the SFla 11Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+9
96.8%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the SFla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.0%
Jerry Howard run for 1 yd to the SFla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:08
Blake Barnett run for 19 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)
+39.7
TD · Q4 12:11
Blake Barnett pass complete to Terrence Horne for 3 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)
+25
TD · Q3 4:22
Tobias Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD (Brenton King KICK)
-17.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com