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HC

Holy Cross 14 at Boston College 62

BC
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadHC aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreHC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:20 · Grant Carlson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Richie DeNicola at the BC 45 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the BC 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Home team on offense+23.1Score differential+18.7Pregame prior+13.7Blowout margin+6.1Garbage-time factor+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:00: AJ Dillon run for 74 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK) — BC win probability +1.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:55: AJ Dillon run for 7 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK) — BC win probability +3.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:05: EJ Perry pass complete to Ben Glines for 17 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK) — BC win probability +7.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:25: Emmett Clifford pass intercepted for a TD Hamp Cheevers return for 81 yds for a TD HOLY CROSS Penalty, HL ( Yards) declined (John Tessitore PAT MISSED) — BC win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:46: Davon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (John Tessitore KICK) — BC win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8HC made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:46HC 4th & 4 at HC 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00HC 4th & 12 at HC 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:55HC 4th & 4 at HC 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:05BC 4th & 8 at BC 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:37HC 4th & 6 at HC 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:05HC 4th & 3 at HC 28, down 28
    Close callPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:15BC 4th & 1 at HC 49, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.9%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:08HC 4th & 13 at HC 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:18BC 4th & 9 at HC 42, up 28
    Close callPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:48HC 4th & 2 at HC 32, down 28
    Close callPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:20BC 4th & 11 at BC 12, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00HC 4th & 6 at HC 35, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:46BC 4th & 1 at HC 1, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:26HC 4th & 1 at midfield, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:20HC 4th & 4 at HC 31, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:38BC 4th & 2 at BC 43, up 48
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:55BC 4th & 5 at HC 35, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:50HC 4th & 2 at HC 33, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:00BC 4th & 4 at BC 27, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:46BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:00BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:55BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:05BC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:25BC Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:46BC Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:20BC Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:57BC Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:1475% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+54
74.9%
AJ Dillon run for 54 yds to the HCrss 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
74.9%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCrss 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+17
74.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 17 yds to the HCrss 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
75.1%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
75.0%
Domenic Cozier run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 16Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+8
75.0%
Domenic Cozier run for 8 yds to the HCrss 24Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+5
75.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the HCrss 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
75.0%
Domenic Cozier run for 3 yds to the HCrss 32Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+2
75.0%
Domenic Cozier run for 2 yds to the HCrss 34Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+1
75.0%
Miles Alexander run for 1 yd to the HCrss 35Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
75.0%
Derek Ng punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
76.8%
AJ Dillon run for 74 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.5%
Miles Alexander run for no gain to the HCrss 25Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
76.5%
Miles Alexander run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCrss 23Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
76.6%
Emmett Clifford pass incomplete to Domenic Cozier, broken up by Wyatt RaySimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
76.7%
Derek Ng punt for 39 yds, downed at the BC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:1778% → 81%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
78.1%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 47 HOLY CROSS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+20
78.2%
Jeff Smith run for 20 yds to the HCrss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+26
78.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 26 yds to the HCrss 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.4%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
81.0%
Domenic Cozier run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 7Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+7
81.0%
Geoff Wade run for 7 yds to the HCrss 14Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
80.9%
Geoff Wade pass incomplete to Blaise BellSimilar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 4
OWN 14
-2
80.9%
Derek Ng punt for 38 yds , Michael Walker returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
82.5%
Brown,A pass incomplete to Marten,R (Baker,Damion), PENALTY HC offside defense (Capsis,Teddy) 5 yards to the HC49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+1
82.7%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the HCrss 48Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
82.6%
Michael Walker run for 1 yd to the HCrss 47Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-5
82.4%
Anthony Brown sacked by Mark Ebo for a loss of 5 yards to the BOSTCOLL 48 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, HL ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 8
OWN 48
+3
81.8%
Grant Carlson punt for 37 yds , Richie DeNicola returns for 3 yds to the BOSTCOLL 49 HOLY CROSS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the HCrss 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
83.6%
Miles Alexander run for 2 yds to the HCrss 10Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-1
83.5%
Miles Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 9Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+3
83.7%
Miles Alexander run for 3 yds to the HCrss 12Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
83.6%
Derek Ng punt for 46 yds, downed at the BC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:1785% → 93%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
85.1%
Bailey,D rush for 2 yards to the BC44 (Knight,Kendrick), PENALTY HC substitution infraction 5 yards to the BC47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 5
OWN 47
0
85.4%
Kobay White run for no gain to the BC 47Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+6
85.3%
Travis Levy run for 6 yds to the HCrss 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
85.3%
EJ Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCrss 49Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+5
84.7%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the HCrss 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+9
86.0%
EJ Perry pass complete to Michael Walker for 9 yds to the HCrss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
86.2%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the HCrss 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
86.2%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the HCrss 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+10
86.0%
David Bailey run for 10 yds to the HCrss 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
86.2%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the HCrss 17Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
93.4%
EJ Perry pass complete to Ben Glines for 17 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
93.0%
Emmett Clifford pass complete to Richie DeNicola for 2 yds to the HCrss 23Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
93.0%
Domenic Cozier run for 5 yds to the HCrss 28Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
92.6%
Emmett Clifford pass incomplete to Derek Mountain, broken up by Kevin BletzerSimilar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+19
92.8%
Cody Wilkinson punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 42 , Michael Walker returns for 19 yds to the BC 47 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, HL (10 Yards) to the BC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
94.2%
Ben Glines run for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
94.2%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
94.2%
EJ Perry pass complete to CJ Lewis for 6 yds to the HCrss 49Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
93.4%
David Bailey run for no gain to the HCrss 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
93.8%
Geoff Wade pass complete to Miles Alexander for 4 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
93.5%
Geoff Wade pass incomplete to Richie DeNicolaSimilar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-2
93.5%
Geoff Wade pass complete to Blaise Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 49Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 8
OPP 49
-5
93.9%
HOLY CROSS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the HCrss 46Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
94.4%
Cody Wilkinson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 44 yds · 2:2595% → 95%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
94.7%
Ben Glines run for 1 yd to the BC 15Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
94.7%
EJ Perry pass complete to Noah Jordan-Williams for 5 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+11
94.6%
EJ Perry pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 11 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
94.7%
Travis Levy run for 15 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
94.8%
EJ Perry run for 9 yds to the HCrss 45Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 1
OPP 45
-3
94.4%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCrss 48Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
95.6%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the HCrss 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
95.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the HCrss 48Similar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
95.8%
EJ Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+6
95.7%
EJ Perry run for 6 yds to the HCrss 42Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
95.6%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to Jake BurtSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 9
OPP 42
+13
95.4%
Grant Carlson punt for 31 yds , Richie DeNicola returns for 13 yds to the HCrss 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
96.5%
Geoff Wade pass complete to Blaise Bell for 3 yds to the HCrss 27Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
96.4%
Miles Alexander run for 5 yds to the HCrss 32Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
96.1%
Geoff Wade pass incomplete to Domenic CozierSimilar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
96.1%
Cody Wilkinson punt for 55 yds, downed at the BC 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0197% → 97%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
96.9%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-8
96.9%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 7Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 16
OWN 7
+5
96.7%
EJ Perry pass complete to Travis Levy for 5 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 11
OWN 12
+28
97.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Richie DeNicola at the BC 45 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the BC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 16INT TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:482% → 2%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
97.9%
Emmett Clifford sacked by Wyatt Ray for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 45Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+5
98.0%
Emmett Clifford pass complete to Blaise Bell for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+15
98.0%
Emmett Clifford pass complete to Richie DeNicola for 15 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
97.7%
Emmett Clifford pass complete to Blaise Bell for 5 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+81
98.2%
Emmett Clifford pass intercepted for a TD Hamp Cheevers return for 81 yds for a TD HOLY CROSS Penalty, HL ( Yards) declined (John Tessitore PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
98.6%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
98.4%
Domenic Cozier run for 11 yds to the HCrss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
98.4%
Domenic Cozier run for 1 yd to the HCrss 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
98.4%
Emmett Clifford pass complete to Blaise Bell for 3 yds to the HCrss 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Emmett Clifford pass incomplete to Domenic CozierSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Derek Ng punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:2399% → 99%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
98.7%
Ben Glines run for 10 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
98.8%
Michael Walker run for 8 yds to the HCrss 49Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+8
98.8%
Ben Glines run for 8 yds to the HCrss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
98.8%
EJ Perry pass complete to Michael Walker for 9 yds to the HCrss 32Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+2
98.8%
Ben Glines run for 2 yds to the HCrss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
98.8%
EJ Perry run for 24 yds to the HCrss 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.8%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the HCrss 5Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.8%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the HCrss 2Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.8%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the HCrss 1Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 20INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
99.4%
Geoff Wade pass complete to Miles Alexander for 11 yds to the HCrss 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
99.4%
Geoff Wade run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 28Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+13
99.4%
Geoff Wade run for 13 yds to the HCrss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.3%
Miles Alexander run for 5 yds to the HCrss 46Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+21
99.3%
Geoff Wade pass intercepted Mehdi El Attrach return for 21 yds to the HCrss 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
99.5%
David Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 29 David Bailey fumbled, forced by Corey Stefanik, recovered by HCrss Ryan BradySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.5%
Domenic Cozier run for 9 yds to the HCrss 38Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
99.5%
Domenic Cozier run for 3 yds to the HCrss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.5%
Domenic Cozier run for 4 yds to the HCrss 45Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
99.5%
Domenic Cozier run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 44Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+6
99.5%
Geoff Wade pass complete to Blaise Bell for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 1
50
-2
99.5%
Miles Alexander run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCrss 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
EJ Perry pass complete to Colton Cardinal for no gain to the HCrss 48Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.6%
David Bailey run for 15 yds to the HCrss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.6%
EJ Perry pass complete to CJ Lewis for 33 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Peter Oliver run for 2 yds to the HCrss 27Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.7%
HOLY CROSS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the HCrss 22Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Emmett Clifford pass incomplete to Spencer GilliamSimilar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+9
99.7%
Peter Oliver run for 9 yds to the HCrss 31Similar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.7%
Cody Wilkinson punt for 40 yds , Jason Maitre returns for 6 yds to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.7%
David Bailey run for 9 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-1
99.7%
David Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 43Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to David BaileySimilar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+32
99.7%
TEAM punt blocked by blocked by Cristos Argys return for 32 yds for a TD HOLY CROSS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BC 8 (Derek Ng KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 26TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.6%
HOLY CROSS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
99.6%
David Bailey run for 35 yds to the HCrss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
99.7%
John Fadule run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCrss 42Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+4
99.7%
John Fadule run for 4 yds to the HCrss 38Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+3
99.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to John Fadule for 3 yds to the HCrss 35Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+35
99.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Hunter Long for 35 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Peter Oliver run for no gain to the HCrss 25Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Peter Oliver run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 24Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
99.8%
Emmett Clifford pass complete to Blaise Bell for 9 yds to the HCrss 33Similar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Derek Ng punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jason Maitre at the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29PUNT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.8%
John Fadule run for no gain to the BC 21Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 3 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
Matt McDonald run for 3 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
TEAM punt blocked by blocked by Spencer Gilliam return for 1 yd for a TD (Derek Ng KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 30TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
John Fadule run for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 1 yd to the BC 35Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+65
99.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Noah Jordan-Williams for 65 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCDrive 31Uncategorized
11 plays · 51 yds · 9:570% → 0%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Justin Bruno run for 6 yds to the HCrss 41Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+12
99.9%
Justin Bruno run for 12 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Justin Bruno run for 2 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Geoff Wade pass complete to Jon Jon Roberts for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+7
99.9%
Tenio Ayeni run for 7 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
99.9%
Matt Vecchiarelli run for 3 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (Drew McQuarrie) to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Justin Bruno run for 5 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Geoff Wade run for 2 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
99.9%
Peter Oliver run for 2 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-8
100.0%
Oliver,Peter rush for 6 yards to the BC0, clock 00:00, PENALTY HC HL (Dennis,Jackson) 8 yards to the BC14, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:05
EJ Perry pass complete to Ben Glines for 17 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q1 6:55
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q1 10:00
AJ Dillon run for 74 yds for a TD (John Tessitore KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com