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RICH

Richmond 13 at Virginia 42

UVA
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadRICH aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreRICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:26 · Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Richm 29 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+33.2Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Blowout margin−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:50: Bryce Perkins pass intercepted for a TD Dale Matthews Jr. return for 72 yds for a TD (Griffin Trau KICK) — RICH win probability +2.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:30: Bryce Perkins run for 36 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +1.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:20: Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 38 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +3.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:49: Jordan Ellis run for 10 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +3.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:45: Jordan Ellis run for 21 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK) — UVA win probability +6.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00RICH 4th & 1 at RICH 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:26RICH 4th & 3 at UVA 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:26UVA 4th & 1 at RICH 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    80.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00RICH 4th & 28 at RICH 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:21RICH 4th & 8 at UVA 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:49RICH 4th & 5 at RICH 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:35UVA 4th & 16 at RICH 47, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:49RICH 4th & 20 at RICH 44, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:56UVA 4th & 16 at UVA 9, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:52RICH 4th & 12 at UVA 20, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:28UVA 4th & 13 at midfield, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:45UVA 4th & 4 at RICH 18, up 29
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:45RICH 4th & 5 at RICH 25, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:50UVA 4th & 9 at UVA 35, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6RICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:50RICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:30UVA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:38UVA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:20UVA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:49UVA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:45UVA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:11UVA Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.3%
Kevin Johnson run for 1 yd to the Richm 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
87.3%
Kevin Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
87.3%
Kevin Johnson run for 8 yds to the Richm 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
87.3%
Micah Breckenridge punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2INT TD
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:4287% → 85%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
86.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
86.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
86.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
87.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
87.0%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+9
86.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 9 yds to the Richm 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
87.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Richm 44Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+10
87.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 10 yds to the Richm 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
87.0%
Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Richm 27Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+72
84.8%
Bryce Perkins pass intercepted for a TD Dale Matthews Jr. return for 72 yds for a TD (Griffin Trau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:2085% → 86%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
84.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Tavares Kelly, broken up by Markus VinsonSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
84.6%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+36
85.6%
Bryce Perkins run for 36 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 4FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:0415% → 16%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
85.3%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 17 yds to the Richm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+26
85.1%
Gordon Collins run for 17 yds to the VIRGINIA 41 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Juan Thornhill) to the Virg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
84.9%
Kevin Johnson run for 5 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
84.9%
Deontez Thompson run for 2 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
85.0%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler WilkinsSimilar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
84.1%
Griffin Trau 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:4884% → 85%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
84.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 15 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
84.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Richm 45Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
84.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
84.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Richm 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
84.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Richm 45Similar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 15
OPP 45
-5
84.4%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Hasise Dubois) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 20
50
+13
84.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 13 yds to the Richm 37Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
84.8%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed, broken up by Trent WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+6
84.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Richm 31Similar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+2
84.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Richm 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
84.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 7 yds to the Richm 22Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+22
84.8%
Bryce Perkins run for 22 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 1:3816% → 16%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
83.9%
Kevin Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Richm 23Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
84.0%
Kevin Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+16
84.3%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Caleb Drake for 16 yds to the Richm 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
83.4%
RICHMOND Penalty, Offensive holding (Deontez Thompson) to the Richm 29Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
83.4%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins, broken up by Juan ThornhillSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+1
83.6%
Deontez Thompson run for 1 yd to the Richm 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 30
-9
83.9%
Kevin Johnson sacked by Mandy Alonso for a loss of 9 yards to the Richm 21Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 28
OWN 21
0
84.1%
Micah Breckenridge punt for 28 yds, downed at the Richm 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 1:0884% → 88%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
83.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Richm 44Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
83.9%
Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Richm 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
87.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 38 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:5914% → 14%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
86.2%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Dejon Brissett for 8 yds to the Richm 33Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+54
85.7%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Cortrelle Simpson for 54 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
84.9%
Gordon Collins run for 2 yds to the Virg 11Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
84.9%
Kevin Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
85.3%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon BrissettSimilar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
86.0%
Griffin Trau 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:3287% → 91%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
87.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for no gain to the Virg 25 to Joe Reed for 5 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
87.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
86.7%
Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+33
87.4%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 33 yds to the Richm 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
87.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Richm 20Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
87.5%
Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Richm 16Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
87.2%
Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Richm 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
90.8%
Jordan Ellis run for 10 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.5%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Dejon Brissett for 2 yds to the Richm 27Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
90.5%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 10 yds to the Richm 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.0%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler WilkinsSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
90.2%
Kevin Johnson run for 5 yds to the Richm 42Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
90.1%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon BrissettSimilar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+35
90.3%
Micah Breckenridge punt for 35 yds , Chuck Davis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
90.8%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 17Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+13
89.9%
Jordan Ellis run for 13 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+29
90.5%
Bryce Perkins run for 29 yds to the Richm 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
91.3%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Maurice Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Richm 47Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 16
OPP 47
0
91.2%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 16
OPP 47
0
90.7%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
90.3%
Lester Coleman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyler Wilkins at the Richm 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
91.7%
Gordon Collins run for 6 yds to the Richm 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:1592% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
92.0%
Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+11
92.1%
Jordan Ellis run for 11 yds to the Richm 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
92.3%
Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Richm 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+4
92.2%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Evan Butts for 4 yds to the Richm 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+11
92.0%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 11 yds to the Richm 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.3%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to De'Vante CrossSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
92.3%
Bryce Perkins run for 10 yds to the Richm 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
98.4%
Jordan Ellis run for 21 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 0:562% → 2%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
97.7%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins, broken up by Brenton NelsonSimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
97.7%
Deontez Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Richm 23Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+12
98.1%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Dejon Brissett for 12 yds to the Richm 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
97.9%
Gordon Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Richm 33Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+21
98.0%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Will Geraghty for 21 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
97.6%
RICHMOND Penalty, Offensive holding (John Yarbrough) to the Richm 44Similar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 20
OWN 44
0
97.6%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Stephon JacobSimilar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+6
97.6%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Will Geraghty for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 14
50
-6
97.6%
Kevin Johnson sacked by Bryce Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the Richm 44 Kevin Johnson fumbled, recovered by Richm John Yarbrough , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 20
OWN 44
+1
97.7%
Micah Breckenridge punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 15 , Chuck Davis returns for 1 yd to the Virg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.0%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Maurice Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 10Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
99.0%
Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide ZaccheausSimilar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 15
OWN 10
-1
99.0%
Bryce Perkins sacked by Darius Reynolds for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 9Similar
Q3 5:56
4TH & 16
OWN 9
0
98.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 28 yds, downed at the Virg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 16FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:272% → 2%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.5%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler WilkinsSimilar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+19
98.5%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 19 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
98.3%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett, broken up by Darrius BrattonSimilar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-2
98.3%
Deontez Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 20Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 12
OPP 20
0
98.4%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett, broken up by Darrius BrattonSimilar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+38
97.8%
Griffin Trau 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:4199% → 100%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
98.6%
Olamide Zaccheaus run for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+10
98.5%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 10 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+19
98.6%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 19 yds to the Richm 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
98.6%
Jordan Ellis run for 12 yds to the Richm 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.7%
Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Richm 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
98.9%
Tavares Kelly run for 4 yds to the Richm 20Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 20 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 18INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Kevin Johnson run for 1 yd to the Richm 26Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+29
99.9%
Kevin Johnson pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 29 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Caleb Drake, broken up by Tim HarrisSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Kevin Johnson pass intercepted Joey Blount return for no gain to the Virg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:23100% → 100%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
RICHMOND Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Virg 22Similar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 5
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
PK Kier run for 6 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
PK Kier run for 4 yds to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
99.9%
PK Kier run for 9 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
PK Kier run for 7 yds to the Virg 48Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Lamont Atkins run for 5 yds to the Richm 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
99.9%
Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 13
50
0
99.9%
PK Kier run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 13
50
0
99.9%
Bryce Perkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 13
50
0
99.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon BrissettSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Kevin Johnson pass intercepted Brenton Nelson return for 3 yds to the Richm 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21MISSED FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:29100% → 100%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Joe Reed run for 9 yds to the Richm 32Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds to the Richm 24 for a 1ST down RICHMOND Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
PK Kier run for 1 yd to the Richm 23Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Richm 18Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
99.9%
A.J. Mejia 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
99.9%
Joe Mancuso pass complete to Ben Maffe for a loss of 3 yards to the Richm 17Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Joe Mancuso run for 6 yds to the Richm 23Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Joe Mancuso run for 2 yds to the Richm 25Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+40
99.9%
Micah Breckenridge punt for 40 yds , Chuck Davis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
100.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Evan Butts for 6 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
Brennan Armstrong run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 38 Brennan Armstrong fumbled, recovered by Virg Brennan ArmstrongSimilar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Jamari Peacock run for 2 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 4
OWN 40
-5
99.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Virg 35Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Lester Coleman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Wilkins at the Richm 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
100.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Richm 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:45
Jordan Ellis run for 21 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q2 12:20
Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 38 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q2 5:49
Jordan Ellis run for 10 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com