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MASS

Massachusetts 21 at Boston College 55

BC
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:05 · Grant Carlson punt for 28 yds, downed at the BC 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Pregame prior+5.3Home team on offense+33.8Score differential+30.1Blowout margin+16.6Garbage-time factor+13.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:29: Marquis Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +1.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:45: Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 34 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +1.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:22: Davon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +2.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:15: Davon Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +4.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:43: Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 27 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK) — BC win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:45MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:05BC 4th & 8 at BC 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:45MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:22MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:15MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:59BC 4th & 2 at BC 34, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:32MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:46BC 4th & 1 at MASS 25, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:03MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 45, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:36MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 17, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:25BC 4th & 2 at MASS 41, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:05BC 4th & 3 at BC 16, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:27MASS 4th & 2 at BC 2, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:45BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:29MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:45BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:22BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:15BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:43BC Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:00BC Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:05MASS Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:27MASS Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:1590% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
90.3%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
90.3%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
90.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 9 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+19
90.3%
AJ Dillon run for 19 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
90.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
90.3%
Jeff Smith run for 9 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+8
90.3%
AJ Dillon run for 8 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
90.3%
Travis Levy run for 7 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+3
90.3%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
90.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to AJ Dillon for 15 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
89.9%
Andy Isabella run for 14 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
89.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
89.8%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
89.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Taj-Amir TorresSimilar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+11
89.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 47 yds , Michael Walker returns for 11 yds to the BC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
89.6%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
89.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for no gain to the BC 23Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
89.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay White, broken up by Tyler HayesSimilar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+49
89.4%
Grant Carlson punt for 49 yds, downed at the BOSTCOLL 28 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:2311% → 13%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
89.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 13 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
89.2%
COMIS, Ross pass incomplete to PALMER, Sadiq, PENALTY BC pass interference (Torres,T) 3 yards to the UMASS44, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+49
89.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 49 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
88.9%
Ross Comis run for 4 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.2%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 2:4488% → 89%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
87.8%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+9
87.8%
Michael Walker run for 9 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
87.9%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
88.1%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 43Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+3
87.9%
Brown,A pass incomplete to Sweeney,T, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (HAYES, Tyler) 3 yards to the BC46, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.1%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the BC 46Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
88.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Sam Schmal) to the BC 41Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+25
87.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 25 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
89.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 34 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
88.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+12
88.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 12 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
88.4%
Andrew Ford sacked by Connor Strachan for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+6
88.7%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-3
88.6%
Andrew Ford sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
88.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:4488% → 91%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
88.2%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 21Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+21
88.2%
Jeff Smith run for 21 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
88.6%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
88.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 6 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+7
88.4%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+29
88.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ray Marten for 29 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
88.7%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the UMass 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
88.7%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.1%
Bilal Ally run for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bilal AllySimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
90.1%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the UMass 37Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+8
90.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 8 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
90.0%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:2991% → 96%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
91.3%
Jeff Smith run for 3 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
91.2%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
91.1%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
91.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 16 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
91.3%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the UMass 7Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+5
91.3%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.5%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
94.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-4
94.3%
Andrew Ford sacked by Tanner Karafa for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
94.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jessie Britt, broken up by Taj-Amir TorresSimilar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
94.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Michael Walker at the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
95.3%
Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to AJ DillonSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
95.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 17 yds, downed at the UMass 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
94.3%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
94.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-5
94.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Lukas Kolter) to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 12
OWN 47
0
94.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis Young, broken up by Isaiah McDuffieSimilar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
94.8%
Travis Reynolds punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:1396% → 96%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
95.7%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 29Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+26
95.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Long for 26 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
95.8%
Jeff Smith run for 2 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
95.8%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+8
95.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Levy for 8 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+33
96.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ray Marten for 33 yds for a TD Anthony Brown pass complete to Ray Marten for 33 yds for a TD BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 8 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 13 (TEAM PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
98.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Kyle Horn for 12 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.2%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the BC 3 Bilal Ally fumbled, forced by Hamp Cheevers, recovered by BC Hamp CheeversSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 3:0398% → 99%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
98.4%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 3Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+11
98.4%
AJ Dillon run for 11 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
98.5%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+12
98.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to AJ Dillon for 12 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
98.5%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+14
98.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jeff Smith for 14 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+25
98.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 25 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 27 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16INT TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:431% → 1%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.1%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 8 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+59
99.2%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted for a TD Lukas Denis return for 59 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18INT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
99.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 16 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 8 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+3
99.2%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 7 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
99.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 5 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
99.1%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+1
99.2%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Ray Smith return for 1 yd to the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.6%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+15
99.6%
EJ Perry pass complete to Ben Glines for 15 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.6%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+2
99.6%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
99.6%
Isaiah Miranda run for 4 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
99.6%
EJ Perry pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 10 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-6
99.7%
Ross Comis sacked by Lukas Denis and Isaiah McDuffie for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 16
OWN 32
0
99.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:38
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+30
99.7%
Davon Jones run for 30 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.7%
Davon Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 15 yds, downed at the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+23
99.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 23 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jessie Britt for 2 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-2
99.8%
Ross Comis sacked by Brandon Sebastian for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, downed at the BC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 5:02100% → 100%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
99.8%
Michael Walker run for 9 yds to the BC 21Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+5
99.8%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.8%
EJ Perry pass complete to Michael Walker for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
99.8%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+12
99.8%
EJ Perry pass complete to Ben Glines for 12 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
99.8%
EJ Perry run for 8 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
99.8%
Ben Glines run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+15
99.8%
EJ Perry run for 15 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.8%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Ben Glines run for 8 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
99.9%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+12
99.9%
Travis Levy run for 12 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
David Bailey run for 8 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.9%
Ross Comis run for 2 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+7
99.9%
Ross Comis run for 7 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 1
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 17Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 32 yds, downed at the UMass 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
John Fadule run for 3 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-2
99.9%
John Fadule run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Brandon Sebastian pass complete to Ray Marten for 7 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
99.9%
John Fadule run for no gain to the UMass 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:030% → 0%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 2 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+9
99.9%
Ross Comis run for 9 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jessie Britt for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 7 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-6
99.9%
Ross Comis sacked by Cam Reddy for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 43Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 16
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Michael Curtis run for 1 yd to the BC 42Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+26
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 26 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Jason MaitreSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jessie Britt, broken up by Elijah JonesSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jordan Fredericks for 16 yds for a TD (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Javian Dayne run for no gain to the BC 9Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+3
99.9%
Javian Dayne run for 3 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Noah Jordan-Williams for 4 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 28 yds, downed at the BC 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 28TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Jordan Fredericks run for 4 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+14
99.9%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 9 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, sideline interference (5 Yards) to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Jessie Britt for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+14
99.9%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Zak Simon for 14 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.9%
CURTIS, Michael pass incomplete to BRITT, Jessie, PENALTY BC offside defense 5 yards to the BC4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Michael Curtis run for 3 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the BC 1Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 2Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Michael Curtis run for 2 yds for a TD (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
100.0%
Javian Dayne run for 4 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:15
Davon Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 13:22
Davon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Colton Lichtenberg KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q1 6:29
Marquis Young run for 3 yds for a TD (Mike Caggiano KICK)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com