Try the model
TCU

TCU 10 at West Virginia 47

WVU
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.8WVU 77.5%Evan Staley 47 Yd Field GoalAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q2 14:49
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:49 · Evan Staley 47 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+25.4Home team on offense+0.4Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Blowout margin−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:09: Kennedy McKoy 33 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +6.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:42: Martell Pettaway 1 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +4.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:39: Trevon Wesco 32 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +6.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:12: Kennedy McKoy 1 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:48: Jalen Reagor 28 Yd pass from Michael Collins (Jonathan Song Kick) — TCU win probability +3.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:49WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:10TCU 4th & 2 at WVU 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:54WVU 4th & 12 at TCU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:00TCU 4th & 15 at TCU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49WVU 4th & 15 at TCU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:01TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:38WVU 4th & 14 at TCU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    75.8%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:21TCU 4th & 18 at TCU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:04WVU 4th & 1 at TCU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−1.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:32TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:13TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:33TCU 4th & 18 at TCU 33, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:42WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 45, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:05TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 28, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:54WVU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.0%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:00TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 30, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:15TCU 4th & 12 at WVU 45, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:23WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 41, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:17WVU 4th & 1 at TCU 33, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 5:09WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:42WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:39WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:12WVU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:48TCU Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:25WVU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:55WVU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0683% → 82%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
82.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
82.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+8
82.5%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 8 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
82.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:2318% → 20%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
82.3%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+4
82.2%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
82.0%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+4
81.9%
Michael Collins run for 4 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+10
81.7%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 10 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
81.3%
Michael Collins run for 3 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+35
81.1%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 35 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
80.7%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+2
80.2%
Michael Collins run for 2 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
80.2%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
80.2%
Jonathan Song 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5980% → 79%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
80.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
80.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 4 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+23
79.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 23 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
80.4%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
80.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-2
80.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 43Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
78.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:4521% → 22%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-12
79.4%
Taye Barber run for a loss of 12 yards to the TCU 8 Taye Barber fumbled, recovered by TCUSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 22
OWN 8
+12
79.2%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
79.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+11
78.8%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.0%
Michael Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
78.0%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-8
77.8%
Michael Collins sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 31Similar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
78.0%
Adam Nunez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:5778% → 78%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
77.6%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+34
78.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 34 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
78.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 1 yd to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-10
78.4%
Grier, Will pass complete to Sills V, David for 1 yard to the TCU23, PENALTY WESTVIR illegal block 10 yards to the TCU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+4
77.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 4 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 15
OPP 30
0
76.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+47
77.5%
Evan Staley 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4123% → 22%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
77.4%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+3
77.1%
Michael Collins run for 3 yds to the TCU 16Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
77.2%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
77.6%
Andrew David punt for 44 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:0778% → 76%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
78.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 12 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
78.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 15 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
78.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 14
OPP 37
0
77.9%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 14
OPP 37
0
77.4%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 14
OPP 37
0
76.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 36 yds, downed at the TCU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1224% → 24%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+12
76.3%
Michael Collins pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 12 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
75.9%
Michael Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-3
75.9%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 10Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 13
OWN 10
-5
76.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 5 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TCUSimilar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 18
OWN 5
+1
76.4%
Andrew David punt for 45 yds , David Sills V returns for 1 yd to the TCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:2678% → 78%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
77.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for 7 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
77.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
77.3%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
77.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
78.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
78.0%
Will Grier pass intercepted Ridwan Issahaku return for no gain to the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5326% → 25%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
73.6%
Darius Anderson run for 1 yd to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
73.4%
Michael Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
74.0%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
74.6%
Adam Nunez punt for 47 yds, downed at the WVirg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:1176% → 84%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
75.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 6 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+9
76.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 9 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
76.4%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 17 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
77.5%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 11 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
83.8%
Kennedy McKoy 33 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:0284% → 88%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
83.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 7 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+3
83.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
83.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
83.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 6 yds to the TCU 1Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.2%
Martell Pettaway 1 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0613% → 12%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.3%
Michael Collins pass complete to Taye Barber for 8 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
86.6%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
87.6%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
88.0%
Andrew David punt for 33 yds, downed at the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 0:2889% → 96%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
88.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Martell Pettaway for 15 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
89.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 17 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
89.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
95.9%
Trevon Wesco 32 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15END OF HALF
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:286% → 6%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.3%
Michael Collins run for 5 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
94.2%
Michael Collins pass complete to Darius Anderson for 6 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
94.3%
Michael Collins pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 7 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
93.9%
Michael Collins run for 4 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.1%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
94.1%
Michael Collins pass complete to Derius Davis for no gain to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
94.5%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Sewo OloniluaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16SF
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:345% → 5%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
94.7%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 4 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 6
OWN 8
0
94.7%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 6
OWN 8
-8
95.1%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:3796% → 99%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
95.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+53
95.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 53 yds to the TCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
96.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the TCU 1Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Kennedy McKoy 1 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:341% → 1%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Michael Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.0%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 16 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.1%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+1
99.2%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 1 yd to the TCU 41Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-8
99.2%
Michael Collins sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 33Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 18
OWN 33
+1
99.3%
Adam Nunez punt for 25 yds , Keith Washington returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 43 Keith Washington fumbled, recovered by TCU La'Kendrick Van ZandtSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:411% → 5%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.2%
Michael Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.2%
Michael Collins pass complete to Taye Barber for 15 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
95.4%
Jalen Reagor 28 Yd pass from Michael Collins (Jonathan Song Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4497% → 97%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
96.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
96.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 10 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.9%
Will Grier run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-4
96.8%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+7
96.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 7 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+10
96.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 37 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 10 yds to the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:323% → 3%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.9%
Michael Collins run for no gain to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
97.0%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Adam Nunez punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings Jr. at the WVirg 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:3598% → 100%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
97.8%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+8
97.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 1
50
+6
97.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 6 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
98.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 9 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+2
98.3%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.3%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+23
98.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 23 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
98.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.5%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Gary Jennings Jr. 8 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Michael Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
Michael Collins pass complete to Emari Demercado for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Andrew David punt for 35 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 10 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+12
99.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 12 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the TCU 18 Martell Pettaway fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+4
99.8%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q4 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 4 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Michael Collins pass complete to Tevailance Hunt for 6 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 9 yds Jaelan Austin fumbled, recovered by TCU Jaelan Austin for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
99.9%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 16 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Michael Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
Michael Collins pass complete to Emari Demercado for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-6
99.9%
Michael Collins sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Adam Nunez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+28
99.9%
Jack Allison pass complete to Tevin Bush for 28 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-2
99.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Jack Allison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 45 yds, downed at the TCU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.9%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 3 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 6 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+18
100.0%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 18 yds Jalen Reagor fumbled, recovered by WVirg Exree LoeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28Uncategorized
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:44100% → 100%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
100.0%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
100.0%
Leddie Brown run for 8 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+11
100.0%
Leddie Brown run for 11 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
100.0%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+1
100.0%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:09
Kennedy McKoy 33 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)
+6.3
TD · Q2 1:39
Trevon Wesco 32 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)
+6.3
TD · Q2 3:42
Martell Pettaway 1 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com