Try the model
TTU

Texas Tech 17 at TCU 14

TCU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2018 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:21 · Dominic Panazzolo punt for 47 yds, downed at the TCU 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 180Pregame prior+0.9Home team on offense−19.5Garbage-time factor−7.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.1Score differential−5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:54: Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 62 yds for a TD TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 8 (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +17.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:59: Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 31 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +26.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:02: Jett Duffey run for 38 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +45.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:48: Tre King run for 9 yds to the TCU 48 — TTU win probability +9.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:40: TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 45 — TTU win probability +18.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:17TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:14TTU 4th & 5 at TCU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:40TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 46, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:51TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:33TTU 4th & 2 at TCU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−1.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:53TCU 4th & 1 at TTU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    69.1%−1.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:05TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:11TCU 4th & 8 at TTU 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:11TCU 4th & 8 at TTU 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:10TTU 4th & 18 at TTU 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:03TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:01TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−1.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:10TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−2.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:00TCU 4th & 12 at TTU 32, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:16TTU 4th & 3 at midfield, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:05TCU 4th & 1 at TTU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    43.8%−7.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−6.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:11TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 3, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−6.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:01TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 39, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−1.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:21TTU 4th & 14 at TCU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−3.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:43TCU 4th & 1 at TCU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.5%−10.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:14TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:54TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:59TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:02TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:3073% → 73%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
73.2%
Darius Anderson run for 14 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
73.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to TreVontae Hights for 7 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-5
73.1%
Shawn Robinson sacked by Tony Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-5
72.9%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Austin Myers) to the TCU 19Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+8
72.8%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Ni'Jeel Meeking for 8 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 5
OWN 27
-5
72.7%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Noah Daniels) to the TCU 22Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
72.6%
Andrew David punt for 36 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:5428% → 29%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
72.5%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+8
72.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 8 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
72.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 4 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
72.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 2 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
71.8%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+13
71.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 13 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
71.4%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
71.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Tre King for 1 yd to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+18
71.0%
Jett Duffey run for 18 yds to the TCU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
70.6%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the TCU 5Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
70.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q1 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
70.9%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the TCU 5Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
70.7%
Clayton Hatfield 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3DOWNS
16 plays · 30 yds · 5:3271% → 70%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
70.5%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
70.5%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
70.4%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 15 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
71.1%
TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 25
OWN 29
-5
70.1%
Jalen Reagor run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 24 Jalen Reagor fumbled, recovered by TCU Tevailance HuntSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 30
OWN 24
+14
69.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for 14 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+8
69.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 8 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 8
OWN 46
+3
69.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+14
70.8%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 14 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
70.9%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to TreVontae HightsSimilar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
70.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+29
70.7%
Shawn Robinson run for 29 yds to the TexTc 8 Shawn Robinson fumbled, recovered by TCU Derius Davis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
71.2%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 12Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
71.0%
KaVontae Turpin run for 4 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
70.3%
Shawn Robinson pass intercepted Jordyn Brooks return for 3 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3331% → 31%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
69.2%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the TexTc 4Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+6
68.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 6 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 3
OWN 10
-5
68.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Bailey Smith) to the TexTc 5Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
68.7%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 8
OWN 5
+5
69.1%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 42 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 5 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:2570% → 74%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
69.9%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+14
69.8%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 14 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
70.4%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
73.8%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 20 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:2127% → 29%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
72.9%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+13
72.6%
Tre King run for 13 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
72.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 19Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+17
72.5%
Tre King run for 17 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
71.9%
Tre King run for 5 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
71.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 6 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
70.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+6
70.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 6 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+1
70.5%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-1
71.3%
Jett Duffey sacked by Ben Banogu for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2773% → 74%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
73.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for no gain to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+13
73.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 13 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
74.2%
Robinson, Shawn pass complete to Olonilua, Sewo for 7 yards to the TEXASTECH34, PENALTY TCU holding (Niang, Lucas) 10 yards to the TCU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+9
73.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Tevailance Hunt for 9 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
73.9%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Tevailance HuntSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+10
73.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 10 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+3
73.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TexTc 29 Sewo Olonilua fumbled, forced by Joseph Wallace, recovered by TexTc Tony JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:1826% → 25%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
74.2%
Jett Duffey run for 9 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
72.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
73.1%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
72.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
72.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-5
73.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
75.0%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:5473% → 72%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
72.9%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Austin Myers) to the TCU 17Similar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+4
72.8%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+15
72.5%
Robinson, Shawn pass incomplete to Meeking, Ni'Jeel (Smith, Desmon), PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference (Smith, Desmon) 15 yards to the TCU36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
74.0%
Shawn Robinson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Jah'Shawn Johnson) to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
74.3%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
74.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Darius Anderson for 2 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
73.7%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Al'Dontre DavisSimilar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
72.1%
Andrew David punt for 41 yds, downed at the TexTc 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1325% → 24%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
75.4%
Tre King run for no gain to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
75.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
76.2%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game ( Yards) to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
76.2%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted Julius Lewis return for no gain to the TexTc 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11MISSED FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:3175% → 73%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
75.0%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 6 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+6
75.0%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 6 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
75.7%
Shawn Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
75.7%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
74.4%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Sewo OloniluaSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
73.3%
Jonathan Song 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
74.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:2029% → 28%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
70.7%
McLane Carter pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 8 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 2
OWN 23
-1
69.9%
Da'Leon Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 22Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+4
71.3%
McLane Carter pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 4 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
70.3%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
70.4%
McLane Carter sacked by Ben Banogu for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 11
OWN 25
-7
71.5%
McLane Carter sacked by L.J. Collier for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 18Similar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 18
OWN 18
0
72.3%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 46 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0071% → 72%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
71.3%
Darius Anderson run for 1 yd to the TCU 37Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
70.9%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+4
70.0%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 4 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
72.2%
Andrew David punt for 45 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 1:5628% → 48%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
71.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 6 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
71.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
71.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
72.2%
Duffey, Jett pass complete to Bowman, De'Quan for 4 yards to the TEXASTECH33, PENALTY TCU holding (Gladney, Jeff) 10 yards to the TEXASTECH39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
69.1%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+62
51.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 62 yds for a TD TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 8 (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4155% → 51%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.5%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Artayvious LynnSimilar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
54.2%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 20Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
52.1%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
51.3%
Andrew David punt for 40 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4450% → 47%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
49.7%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
49.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
50.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
53.3%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 42 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18FUMBLE
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:0054% → 50%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
53.5%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+1
52.9%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 1 yd to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+35
50.9%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 35 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
58.1%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Douglas Coleman IIISimilar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
57.6%
KaVontae Turpin run for no gain to the TexTc 44Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+14
53.5%
Shawn Robinson run for 14 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
58.3%
Shawn Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+2
55.0%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 32 Darius Anderson fumbled, forced by Vaughnte Dorsey, recovered by TCUSimilar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
52.7%
Shawn Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 12
OPP 32
0
49.6%
Andrew David punt for 30 yds, downed at the TexTc 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:3651% → 55%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
49.5%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
49.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Ja'Deion HighSimilar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+9
51.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
48.4%
Jett Duffey run for 8 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+11
46.4%
Tre King run for 11 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
46.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Bailey Smith) to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
47.4%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+16
48.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 16 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
43.3%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 3
50
0
41.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 3
50
0
42.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 3
50
0
44.6%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:0748% → 78%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
48.1%
Emari Demercado run for 6 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+23
48.5%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 23 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
52.9%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 9 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
53.7%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
51.2%
Emari Demercado run for no gain to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+4
48.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
51.4%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 7 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+31
77.6%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 31 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:4432% → 30%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+57
68.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 57 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
61.1%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-5
60.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Bailey Smith) to the TCU 16Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 13
OPP 16
-15
61.3%
Collins, Seth pass incomplete to Rigdon, Dalton (Dunham, Alec), PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference (Rigdon, Dalton) 15 yards to the TCU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 28
OPP 31
0
64.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for no gain to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 28
OPP 31
-5
67.0%
Jett Duffey sacked by L.J. Collier for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 36Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 33
OPP 36
0
70.2%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 35 yds, downed at the TCU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4775% → 74%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
74.7%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
74.3%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 3Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
75.4%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Emari DemercadoSimilar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
74.3%
Andrew David punt for 35 yds, downed at the TCU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
1 play · 38 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
28.4%
Jett Duffey run for 38 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5039% → 33%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.2%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
37.7%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 11 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
39.7%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
39.2%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+1
36.6%
Shawn Robinson run for 1 yd to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
33.3%
Andrew David punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:2776% → 78%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
23.8%
Tre King run for 9 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+3
21.9%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
21.1%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
19.4%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-5
19.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Jacob Hines) to the TCU 49Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 14
OPP 49
0
19.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Ja'Deion High, broken up by Markell SimmonsSimilar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 14
OPP 49
0
22.2%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 47 yds, downed at the TCU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26INT
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:3229% → 24%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+18
29.4%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 18 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
30.2%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Douglas Coleman IIISimilar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
29.4%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+18
28.4%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 18 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
31.8%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 3 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
31.8%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 1 yd to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
27.9%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 5 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
24.1%
Shawn Robinson pass intercepted Adrian Frye return for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27Uncategorized
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:3094% → 94%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 15
OPP 45
-5
5.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:02
Jett Duffey run for 38 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
-45.8
TD · Q4 10:59
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 31 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)
+26.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:40
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 45
-18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com