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OSU

Ohio State 40 at TCU 28

TCU
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:35 · Drue Chrisman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Pregame prior−31.6Home team on offense−0.9Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:43: Darius Anderson run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +15.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:58: Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 63 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — OSU win probability +15.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 5:54: Shawn Robinson pass intercepted for a TD Dre'Mont Jones return for 28 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +18.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:57: K.J. Hill 24 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:06: S. Robinson pass,to T. Hights for 51 yds for a TD, (J. Song KICK) — TCU win probability +12.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 13:20OSU 4th & 3 at TCU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:41TCU 4th & 8 at OSU 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:35OSU 4th & 2 at TCU 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:49OSU 4th & 6 at TCU 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:34TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:28OSU 4th & 16 at TCU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:34OSU 4th & 9 at TCU 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:41TCU 4th & 12 at OSU 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:50TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 43, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:36OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 18, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:56OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 46, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:14TCU 4th & 13 at TCU 16, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−4.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:22TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 23, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−2.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:51TCU 4th & 23 at OSU 40, down 12
    Close callPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:27OSU 4th & 4 at TCU 49, up 12
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 7:13OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:28TCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:08TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:43TCU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:58OSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:54OSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:57OSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:06TCU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:30OSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:3184% → 83%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
16.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+16
16.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Austin Mack for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
50
+48
16.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Austin Mack for 48 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
16.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 3Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
16.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Rashod Berry, broken up by Innis GainesSimilar
Q1 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
16.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
16.6%
Sean Nuernberger 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:2517% → 18%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
16.8%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Darius Anderson for 6 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
16.9%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+10
17.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 10 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
17.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 9 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+11
17.6%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 11 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
17.7%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
17.9%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 16 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
18.0%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 3 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
18.3%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 7 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (KaVontae Turpin) to the OhSt 17Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+3
18.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
18.6%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jarrison StewartSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
18.4%
Cole Bunce 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:0182% → 81%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
18.4%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+20
18.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 20 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
18.4%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
18.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Rashod BerrySimilar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+3
18.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 3 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
19.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:1519% → 18%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
19.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
17.7%
Shawn Robinson sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 9 yards, Shawn Robinson fumble Davon Hamilton 0 Yd Fumble Return (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:3518% → 21%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
17.9%
Shawn Robinson run for 11 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
18.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 5
OWN 32
+42
18.3%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 42 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
18.9%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Dre'Mont JonesSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
18.9%
Shawn Robinson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+14
18.9%
Robinson, Shawn pass incomplete to Austin, Jaelan, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Arnette, Damon) 14 yards to the OHIOST9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q1 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
19.2%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
19.4%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q1 4:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
21.2%
Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:3279% → 79%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
20.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 12 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
20.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 10 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
20.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 6 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
20.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-5
20.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Rashod Berry) to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
20.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
21.5%
Drue Chrisman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:0922% → 24%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
21.5%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 6 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+4
21.7%
Jalen Reagor run for 4 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
22.0%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
22.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 5 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+7
22.2%
Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
23.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
23.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Darius Anderson for 6 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
24.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
23.9%
Adam Nunez punt for 51 yds, downed at the OhSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:0077% → 75%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
23.5%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 4Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+6
23.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Mike Weber for 6 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+15
24.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Mike Weber for 15 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
24.0%
Mike Weber run for 17 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
23.2%
Haskins, Dwayne pass incomplete to Dixon, Johnnie, PENALTY TCU roughing passer (Broadnax Jr., Joseph) 15 yards to the TCU43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
23.0%
Parris Campbell run for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 49Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 16
OPP 49
0
23.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 16
OPP 49
0
24.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Terry McLaurin, broken up by Noah DanielsSimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
25.5%
Drue Chrisman punt for 42 yds, downed at the TCU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 93 yds · 0:1325% → 31%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
25.4%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+93
30.5%
Darius Anderson run for 93 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:1970% → 69%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
30.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
50
+2
29.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
30.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 10 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
30.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+11
31.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 11 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
30.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 12 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
31.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the TCU 13Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
31.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Johnnie Dixon, broken up by Noah DanielsSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
32.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Johnnie Dixon, broken up by Innis GainesSimilar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
31.5%
Sean Nuernberger 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:4634% → 35%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
34.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 7 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
35.6%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
34.2%
Shawn Robinson run for 13 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
36.8%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 10 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
37.8%
Shawn Robinson sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+1
37.2%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
36.8%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
35.4%
Adam Nunez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by C.J. Saunders at the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12MISSED FG
20 plays · 69 yds · 2:3165% → 68%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
34.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 5 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
35.2%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
35.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 10 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
35.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 9 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
33.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
33.5%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
33.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Mike Weber for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+11
33.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 11 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
32.0%
Haskins, Dwayne pass incomplete, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Mack, Austin) 10 yards to the OHIOST45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 20
OWN 45
0
34.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Binjimen Victor, broken up by Vernon ScottSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+4
34.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 4 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 16
OWN 49
+18
36.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 18 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
30.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
31.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Austin Mack, broken up by Jeff GladneySimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+12
32.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 12 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+38
31.9%
Sean Nuernberger 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
38.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:0538% → 38%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
37.8%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
37.8%
Darius Anderson run for 7 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
37.7%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 14 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
41.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
40.8%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
39.3%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jaelan Austin, broken up by Damon ArnetteSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
37.9%
Adam Nunez punt for 43 yds, downed at the OhSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0461% → 58%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
38.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 15Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+3
39.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 3 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
40.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Austin Mack, broken up by Jeff GladneySimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
42.2%
Drue Chrisman punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:4443% → 60%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
43.3%
Darius Anderson run for 8 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+28
44.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 28 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
59.7%
Darius Anderson run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:3445% → 44%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
54.6%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 25Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+12
55.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Austin Mack for 12 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
54.5%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
53.2%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+4
54.9%
Dwayne Haskins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
55.7%
Drue Chrisman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3459% → 59%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
58.9%
Shawn Robinson run for no gain to the TCU 19Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
59.5%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+2
58.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 8
OWN 21
-5
58.3%
TCU Penalty, False Start (La'Kendrick Van Zandt) to the TCU 16Similar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 13
OWN 16
0
58.6%
Adam Nunez punt for 47 yds , C.J. Saunders returns for no gain to the OhSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:1142% → 57%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
57.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+63
42.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 63 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20INT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5745% → 27%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.7%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
45.0%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+28
26.9%
Shawn Robinson pass intercepted for a TD Dre'Mont Jones return for 28 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0427% → 25%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
26.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TCU 5Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+15
26.5%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 15 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
27.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 19Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
26.9%
Shawn Robinson run for 4 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
26.0%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+2
25.3%
TEAM punt blocked by Shaun Wade blocked by Shaun WadeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:1878% → 89%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
21.7%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the TCU 24Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
11.5%
K.J. Hill 24 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4415% → 28%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.6%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to TreVontae Hights for 6 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
14.6%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
14.6%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
50
-1
15.5%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+51
28.3%
S. Robinson pass,to T. Hights for 51 yds for a TD, (J. Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2576% → 91%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
24.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Austin Mack for 8 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
22.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 18 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
20.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
20.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
20.7%
Dobbins, J.K. rush for 2 yards to the TCU38, PENALTY TCU offside (Collier, L.J.) 5 yards to the TCU35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
19.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 20 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
19.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 11 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
19.1%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Alec Dunham for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 5Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
9.4%
Dwayne Haskins run for 5 yds for a TD (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:2513% → 11%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
12.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
12.4%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for no gain to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+15
11.9%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 15 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
13.3%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Dylan ThomasSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+34
11.6%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 34 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
13.9%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-12
13.8%
Shawn Robinson sacked by Dre'Mont Jones for a loss of 12 yards to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 23
OPP 40
0
11.2%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jarrison Stewart, broken up by Damon ArnetteSimilar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 23
OPP 40
0
10.6%
Andrew David punt for 33 yds, fair catch by C.J. Saunders at the OhSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:1993% → 96%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
7.1%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 9Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+11
7.1%
Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
6.6%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 19Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+14
6.1%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 14 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
5.4%
Mike Weber run for 8 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+4
5.0%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
4.7%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
4.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Mike Weber for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 5
50
+1
4.2%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the TCU 49Similar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
3.7%
Drue Chrisman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:454% → 4%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
4.1%
Darius Anderson run for 8 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 2
OWN 19
0
4.3%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+5
4.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
4.1%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Sewo OloniluaSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
4.0%
Shawn Robinson pass intercepted Malik Harrison return for 13 yds to the TCU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28Uncategorized
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1197% → 98%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
2.8%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+17
2.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 17 yds to the TCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
2.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
-3
2.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 17Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
-2
2.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:54
Shawn Robinson pass intercepted for a TD Dre'Mont Jones return for 28 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
-18.2
TD · Q3 10:43
Darius Anderson run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q3 6:58
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 63 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com