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SOU

Southern 7 at TCU 55

TCU
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:36 · Cesar Barajas punt for 39 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for no gain to the TCU 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+48.9Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 12:36: Cole Bunce 26 yd FG GOOD — SOU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:46: Shawn Robinson run for 36 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK) — SOU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:06: Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 6 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK) — TCU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:34: John Lampley pass complete to Cameron Mackey for 55 yds for a TD (Cesar Barajas KICK) — SOU win probability +0.4 pts (now 1%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:20: Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK) — TCU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SOU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:36TCU 4th & 5 at SOU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:36SOU 4th & 14 at SOU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:46SOU 4th & 13 at SOU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:04SOU 4th & 3 at TCU 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:05SOU 4th & 8 at SOU 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:34SOU 4th & 12 at SOU 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:54TCU 4th & 6 at SOU 12, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:54SOU 4th & 8 at SOU 27, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:31SOU 4th & 4 at SOU 31, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:31SOU 4th & 12 at SOU 47, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00TCU 4th & 21 at TCU 39, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:23SOU 4th & 10 at SOU 38, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:56TCU 4th & 2 at SOU 27, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:16SOU 4th & 2 at SOU 37, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:13TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 32, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SOU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:46TCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:04TCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:06TCU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:22TCU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:34SOU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:20TCU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:48TCU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:24100% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.5%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 5 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+18
99.5%
KaVontae Turpin run for 18 yds to the Sthrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.5%
Jalen Reagor run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+7
99.5%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 7 yds to the Sthrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
99.5%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
99.5%
Shawn Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
99.4%
Cole Bunce 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the Sthrn 18 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+3
99.4%
John Lampley pass complete to Cameron Mackey for 3 yds to the Sthrn 21Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
99.4%
John Lampley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Cesar Barajas punt for 39 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:1699% → 99%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
99.3%
Olonilua, Sewo rush for 3 yards to the 50 yardline (B. Porter), PENALTY SUBR offside defense (B. Porter) 5 yards to the SUBR48, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.3%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.3%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 2 yds to the Sthrn 46Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+10
99.3%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Ni'Jeel Meeking for 10 yds to the Sthrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.2%
Shawn Robinson run for 36 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.2%
John Lampley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.2%
John Lampley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.2%
John Lampley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-5
99.2%
Cesar Barajas punt for 50 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:4699% → 99%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.2%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+7
99.2%
Darius Anderson run for 7 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.2%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
99.2%
Robinson, Shawn pass incomplete to Turpin, K., PENALTY SUBR offside defense (S. Houston) 5 yards to the TCU44, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
99.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 10 yds to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
99.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Derius Davis for 27 yds to the Sthrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
99.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 7 yds to the Sthrn 12Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
99.3%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Derius Davis for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 6INT
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.2%
Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 38Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
99.2%
John Lampley pass incomplete to A OparaSimilar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+15
99.2%
TCU Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
99.2%
Kendall Catalon run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+11
99.2%
John Lampley run for 11 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+9
99.1%
Devon Benn run for 9 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.2%
Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
99.2%
John Lampley pass incomplete, broken up by Jeff GladneySimilar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+4
99.2%
John Lampley pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 4 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 3
OPP 22
0
99.2%
John Lampley pass intercepted Innis Gaines return for no gain to the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 4:3199% → 99%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
99.1%
Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 1
OWN 27
-4
99.1%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+6
99.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 6 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
99.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 18 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 10 yds to the Sthrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 6 yds to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
-5
99.1%
TCU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+13
99.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 13 yds to the Sthrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.1%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+10
99.1%
KaVontae Turpin run for 10 yds to the Sthrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
99.1%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 13 yds to the Sthrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.4%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 6 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
99.3%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.3%
Jarmarqueza Mims run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 21Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
99.3%
John Lampley pass incomplete, broken up by Niko SmallSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
99.3%
John Lampley pass incomplete to Kendall CatalonSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Cesar Barajas punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:3799% → 100%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.4%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+11
99.4%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 11 yds to the Sthrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
99.4%
Darius Anderson run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.4%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 9Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Shawn Robinson run for 9 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:480% → 1%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.5%
Devon Benn run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
99.5%
John Lampley run for 16 yds to the Sthrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
99.1%
John Lampley pass complete to Cameron Mackey for 55 yds for a TD (Cesar Barajas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:0699% → 100%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
50
+17
99.4%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 17 yds to the Sthrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.4%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to KaVontae Turpin, broken up by Demerio HoustonSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+18
99.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 18 yds to the Sthrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Timothy ThompsonSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 12Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
99.7%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 12INT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Carlos Stephens run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
99.7%
John Lampley pass complete to Cameron Mackey for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
99.7%
J. Lampley pass incomplete to C. Mackey, QB hurry by Gaines, Innis, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Small, Niko) 13 yards to the SUBR41, 1ST DOWN SUBR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+41
99.7%
John Lampley pass complete to Trey Smith for 41 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Devon Benn run for no gain to the TCU 18Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-10
99.6%
J. Lampley pass incomplete to T. Smith, QB hurry by Epley, Michael, PENALTY SUBR holding (M. Sims) 10 yards to the TCU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 20
OPP 28
-9
99.7%
John Lampley sacked by Garret Wallow for a loss of 9 yards to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 29
OPP 37
+21
99.7%
John Lampley pass intercepted Ridwan Issahaku return for 21 yds to the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.7%
Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+8
99.7%
Emari Demercado run for 8 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Kendall Catalon, broken up by Innis GainesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.8%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by Ty Summers for a loss of 4 yards to the Sthrn 23Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+23
99.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 40 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 23 yds to the TCU 46 TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
50
+22
99.8%
Emari Demercado run for 22 yds to the Sthrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.8%
Emari Demercado run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 20Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+4
99.8%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 4 yds to the Sthrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.8%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 12Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Ni'Jeel Meeking, broken up by Timothy ThompsonSimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
99.9%
Cole Bunce 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Darbbeon Profit run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete, broken up by Michael EpleySimilar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 45 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 15 yds to the TCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.9%
Michael Collins pass complete to TreVontae Hights for 57 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 18PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Darbbeon Profit run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by Corey Bethley for a loss of 5 yards to the Sthrn 24Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
Glendon McDaniel run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+73
99.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 42 yds , Derius Davis returns for 73 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Carlos Stephens run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.9%
Carlos Stephens run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Carlos Stephens run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Carlos Stephens run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 45Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Ladarius Skelton run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Ladarius Skelton run for 4 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Shontega Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Ladarius Skelton run for no gain to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 7
OPP 48
-5
99.9%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Kenedy Snell run for 1 yd to the TCU 38Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
Michael Collins pass complete to Derius Davis for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Kenedy Snell run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Kenedy Snell run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the TCU 39 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TCU Michael Collins , return for 1 yd to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Adam Nunez punt for 23 yds, downed at the Sthrn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Carlos Stephens run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete to Trey SmithSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
Carlos Stephens run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 38Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
100.0%
M Fontenot punt for 37 yds , Derius Davis returns for no gain to the TCU 32 Derius Davis fumbled, recovered by TCU Derius DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Kenedy Snell run for 1 yd to the TCU 33Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+11
100.0%
Grayson Muehlstein pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 11 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
Kenedy Snell run for 4 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
Kenedy Snell run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 48Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
100.0%
Kenedy Snell run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+5
100.0%
Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Grayson Muehlstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
100.0%
Grayson Muehlstein run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 2
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Grayson Muehlstein pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 2
OPP 27
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
100.0%
Darbbeon Profit run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 35Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Darbbeon Profit run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 36Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
Darbbeon Profit run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
100.0%
M Fontenot punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Jacques Guillot run for no gain to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Jacques Guillot run for 5 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Jacques Guillot run for 2 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 3
OWN 37
-5
100.0%
TCU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 32Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Adam Nunez punt for 36 yds , Jamar Washington returns for no gain to the Sthrn 35 Jamar Washington fumbled, forced by Darius Anderson, recovered by TCU Ben WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25Uncategorized
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Karson Ringdahl run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
100.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:34
John Lampley pass complete to Cameron Mackey for 55 yds for a TD (Cesar Barajas KICK)
-0.4
TD · Q2 12:06
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Taye Barber for 6 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 4:20
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Bunce KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com