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Oklahoma 59 at West Virginia 56

WVU
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2018 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+28.3WVU 42.6%Martell Pettaway 17 Yd Run (EvanStaley Kick)AWAY 59 - HOME 56 · Q4 4:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:20 · Martell Pettaway 17 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 183Home team on offense−2.8Pregame prior−0.6Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−5.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:35: Marquise Brown 45 Yd pass from Kyler Murray (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +29.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:17: Gary Jennings Jr. 75 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +24.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:19: Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +23.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:58: Curtis Bolton 48 Yd Fumble Return (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +20.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:20: Martell Pettaway 17 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +28.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 15:00WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:19WVU 4th & 6 at OU 10, tied
    Close callWent for it · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−2.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:50WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:58WVU 4th & 4 at OU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−0.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 5:52OU 4th & 6 at WVU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−10.5
    average punt
  6. Q4 11:19OU 4th & 2 at WVU 2, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−4.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−18.8
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:04WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:15OU 4th & 10 at WVU 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:10OU 4th & 5 at WVU 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%−3.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:09WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:19OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:51WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:31OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:12OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:14WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:30OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 3:06OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:18WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 10:32WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 1:52WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 0:35OU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  13. Q3 0:17WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 11:19OU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.6
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 9:58OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
  16. Q4 4:20WVU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3141% → 45%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.8%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
41.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
41.1%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
41.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 3 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
41.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 3
50
+6
41.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
42.1%
Grier, Will rush for 7 yards to the OKLAHOMA37, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Cajuste, Yodny) 10 yards to the WESTVIR46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+6
42.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+7
42.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+41
44.5%
David Sills V 41 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:4156% → 58%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
44.0%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+7
44.5%
Kyler Murray run for 7 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
44.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
45.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 3 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+8
45.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 8 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
45.2%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+55
42.2%
Kyler Murray 55 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2443% → 50%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
42.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 15 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
43.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+13
44.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 13 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
44.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 20 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
45.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 9 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+3
45.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
45.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
49.8%
Martell Pettaway 7 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:5452% → 57%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
48.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+13
47.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 13 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
47.9%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+26
48.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 26 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
46.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
47.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+25
42.9%
Marquise Brown 25 Yd pass from Kyler Murray (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5DOWNS
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:0545% → 47%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
45.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 14 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
45.8%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+2
45.7%
Will Grier run for 2 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+7
45.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 7 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+15
45.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 15 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
47.3%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 7 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
48.0%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+16
47.5%
Leddie Brown run for 16 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
48.4%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
48.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-15
48.2%
Grier, Will pass complete to Jennings Jr., Gary for 8 yards to the OKLAHOMA0, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Sills V, David) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 19
OPP 23
+13
47.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 6
OPP 10
0
47.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Jovani HaskinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6FUMBLE
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:2555% → 57%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
45.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 9 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+3
45.2%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
45.5%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
45.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 9 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-5
45.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Cody Ford) to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+26
46.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 26 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
43.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 10 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
43.4%
Kyler Murray run for 16 yds to the WVirg 22 Kyler Murray fumbled, forced by David Long Jr., recovered by WVirg Kenny Robinson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5048% → 46%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
47.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
48.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
47.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+4
46.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 43 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 4 yds to the Okla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 0:1856% → 66%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+65
44.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 65 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.0%
Trey Sermon 1 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5137% → 52%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
36.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 17 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
38.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 2
50
+4
39.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
39.4%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
39.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 12 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
40.4%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Sills V, David, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Norwood, Tre) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
40.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 9 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+10
52.4%
David Sills V 10 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3555% → 66%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+68
34.4%
Kennedy Brooks 68 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:1836% → 26%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
36.3%
Will Grier sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-10
26.4%
Caleb Kelly 10 Yd Fumble Return (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
18 plays · 81 yds · 2:3826% → 39%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
26.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Martell PettawaySimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
26.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+21
25.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 21 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
27.3%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
27.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
27.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
26.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+12
26.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 12 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
27.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+30
26.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Dominique Maiden for 30 yds to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
27.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
26.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the Okla 1Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.5%
Kennedy McKoy 1 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
33.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:1969% → 70%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
30.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 20 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
30.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 12 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
30.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
29.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
30.3%
Kyler Murray pass intercepted, touchback. Kenny Robinson Jr. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3834% → 53%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
33.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 9 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
35.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
34.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+11
34.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 11 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
53.4%
Gary Jennings Jr. 57 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:2353% → 60%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
47.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 19Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+23
48.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 23 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
45.3%
Kyler Murray run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 2
50
+5
43.7%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
44.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 8 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+13
43.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 13 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
42.7%
Kyler Murray run for 6 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
42.7%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+3
44.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 3 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 1
OPP 15
-5
46.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Carson Meier) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
40.5%
Austin Seibert 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4843% → 68%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
43.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
46.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
46.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
44.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+13
42.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Dominique Maiden for 13 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
47.5%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-15
47.2%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Pettaway, Martell, PENALTY WESTVIR personal foul (Mann, Kenneth) 15 yards to the WESTVIR39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 25
OWN 39
+7
43.1%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 7 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 18
OWN 46
+52
41.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 52 yds to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
50.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the Okla 1Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
50.1%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the Okla 1Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.4%
Will Grier 1 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0838% → 66%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Carson MeierSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
62.5%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+30
63.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 30 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
34.2%
Marquise Brown 45 Yd pass from Kyler Murray (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:1540% → 64%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Trevon WescoSimilar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
39.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+75
64.0%
Gary Jennings Jr. 75 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:4138% → 67%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
62.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Carson Meier for 25 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
57.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 20 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
54.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 11 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
54.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+21
55.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Carson Meier for 21 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
54.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
54.7%
Kyler Murray run for 1 yd to the WVirg 1Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
56.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 2Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:1244% → 18%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
44.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 33 yds to the WESTVIR 42 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (T.J. Simmons) to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
42.0%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
38.3%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Sills V, David, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Motley, Parnell) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-48
17.6%
Curtis Bolton 48 Yd Fumble Return (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4614% → 13%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
13.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
13.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
12.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:4288% → 88%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
12.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 13 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
11.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-1
11.2%
Kyler Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
11.7%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-5
12.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
12.2%
Austin Seibert punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:4012% → 43%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
12.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
10.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 3 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
9.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+15
9.1%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to Haskins, Jovani, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Barnes, Robert) 15 yards to the WESTVIR37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
11.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
10.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+9
11.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Dominique Maiden for 9 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
12.2%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 24 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
14.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+17
42.6%
Martell Pettaway 17 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25Uncategorized
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:0080% → 95%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
19.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
18.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-2
17.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+8
17.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 8 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
10.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+17
8.9%
Kyler Murray run for 17 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
6.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-2
5.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:35
Marquise Brown 45 Yd pass from Kyler Murray (Austin Seibert Kick)
-29.1
TD · Q4 4:20
Martell Pettaway 17 Yd Run (Evan Staley Kick)
+28.3
TD · Q3 0:17
Gary Jennings Jr. 75 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)
+24.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com