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Oklahoma 51 at Texas Tech 46

TTU
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:53 · Dominic Panazzolo punt for 54 yds, downed at the Okla 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior−27.3Home team on offense+2.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:05: Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 46 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +11.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:54: Trey Sermon run for 20 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +19.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:54: Jett Duffey pass complete to Zach Austin for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Collins intercepted ) — TTU win probability +26.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 2:51: Trey Sermon run for 30 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +13.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:05: Jett Duffey run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout OKLAHOMA, clock 01:05 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TTU win probability +17.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:53TTU 4th & 7 at OU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:03TTU 4th & 9 at OU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−2.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:53TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:06OU 4th & 7 at TTU 40, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.1%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    62.1%
    34% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:15OU 4th & 7 at OU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:26TTU 4th & 18 at TTU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−3.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:29TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:33OU 4th & 12 at TTU 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:20TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 24, down 4
    Close callPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:17OU 4th & 19 at OU 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−6.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:43TTU 4th & 8 at OU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−12.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:54TTU 4th & 4 at OU 4, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−12.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:05TTU 4th & 1 at OU 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−4.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:30TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:59TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:11OU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:17OU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:35TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:53OU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:22OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:56TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 12:05OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:54OU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.9
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:51OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:05TTU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.3%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:0714% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
13.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 3 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
13.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+4
14.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
50
-5
14.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Jack Anderson) to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+3
14.5%
Da'Leon Ward run for 3 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+5
14.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 5 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
15.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ja'Deion HighSimilar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
15.1%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 43 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4585% → 85%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
15.1%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+17
15.4%
Kyler Murray pass intercepted Vaughnte Dorsey return for 17 yds to the Okla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3816% → 17%
Q1 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
15.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 6Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
17.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 6 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:4183% → 82%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
16.6%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+10
16.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 25 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Cody Ford) to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
17.2%
Kyler Murray run for 4 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
17.6%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+31
17.9%
Kyler Murray pass intercepted Vaughnte Dorsey return for 31 yds to the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:4419% → 23%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
18.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 6 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+5
19.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 5 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
19.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Okla 14Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
22.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 14 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4878% → 79%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
22.5%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+34
23.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 34 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
23.0%
Trey Sermon run for 14 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
23.3%
Kyler Murray run for 3 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
20.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:0822% → 28%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
22.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 12 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
22.9%
Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-15
23.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Donta Thompson) to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+14
23.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Seth Collins for 14 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+21
24.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 21 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
25.5%
Bowman, Alan rush for 2 yards to the OKLAHOMA36, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding (Thompson, Donta) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+11
25.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 11 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+11
26.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 11 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-6
27.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Seth Collins for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 32
+7
26.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 7 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
27.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+43
28.1%
Clayton Hatfield 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4672% → 77%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
28.3%
Kyler Murray run for 31 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
27.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 9 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+8
27.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
27.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 13 yds to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
27.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 2 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
23.2%
Kyler Murray run for 12 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4225% → 32%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
25.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 30 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
26.8%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
32.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 45 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 2:3768% → 74%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
31.7%
Kyler Murray run for 3 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
32.5%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+10
34.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 10 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
34.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 21 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
33.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 9 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+7
33.6%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+28
33.7%
Trey Sermon run for 28 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
26.4%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:0028% → 30%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
28.3%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Barnes, Robert) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
29.5%
Demarcus Felton run for 5 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
30.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
30.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
29.7%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 54 yds, downed at the Okla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 99 yds · 3:3169% → 78%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+8
31.0%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 2
OWN 9
+10
31.6%
Trey Sermon run for 10 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
31.4%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+46
32.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 46 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
29.1%
Murray, Kyler pass incomplete to Sermon, Trey, PENALTY TEXASTECH illegal use of hands (Washington Jr., Broderick) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
29.1%
Trey Sermon run for 12 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
29.7%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
22.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Carson Meier for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2625% → 40%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
24.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+12
26.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 12 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
27.1%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+9
27.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
28.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 6 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
28.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for no gain to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+32
28.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 32 yds to the Okla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
30.5%
Alan Bowman run for 3 yds to the Okla 2Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
30.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Parnell Motley) to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:5063% → 61%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
36.9%
Kyler Murray run for 14 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
35.5%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+18
36.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 18 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
33.7%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
34.2%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
34.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Myles TeaseSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
38.6%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Carson MeierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
38.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4565% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.1%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
35.3%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q3 14:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
36.7%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
38.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 34 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:4939% → 36%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
38.7%
Seth Collins pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-8
38.6%
Jett Duffey sacked by Neville Gallimore for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
36.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Ta'Zhawn HenrySimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 18
OWN 30
+9
35.9%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 48 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 9 yds to the Okla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:2164% → 76%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
36.2%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+10
36.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 10 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
35.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 13 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
23.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 46 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3627% → 26%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
26.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-14
27.3%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to Carter, KeSean, PENALTY TEXASTECH face mask (Stawarz, Paul) 14 yards to the TEXASTECH14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
26.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+16
25.8%
Jett Duffey run for 16 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
26.0%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 48 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 4:5674% → 71%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
26.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
26.2%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+15
27.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 15 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
25.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+30
25.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Carson Meier for 30 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
24.2%
Kyler Murray run for 2 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
23.1%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Carson MeierSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 8
OPP 0
-1
24.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 14 yds to the TexTc 7 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (CeeDee Lamb) to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
24.4%
Kyler Murray pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
24.5%
Kyler Murray pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-2
25.2%
Kyler Murray sacked by Vaughnte Dorsey and Broderick Washington Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 39Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 12
OPP 39
0
28.6%
Austin Seibert punt for 22 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1329% → 26%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
28.9%
Da'Leon Ward run for 2 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+5
28.9%
Jett Duffey run for 5 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
27.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Ja'Deion HighSimilar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
26.2%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 54 yds, downed at the Okla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 3:0374% → 71%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
25.9%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-10
25.8%
Murray, Kyler pass complete to Lamb, CeeDee for 28 yards to the TEXASTECH46, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Evans, Bobby) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 16
OWN 16
0
26.5%
Marquise Brown run for no gain to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 16
OWN 16
-5
27.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Cody Ford) to the Okla 11Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 21
OWN 11
+2
27.5%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 19
OWN 13
0
28.9%
Austin Seibert punt for 49 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:3430% → 39%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
30.1%
Ward, Da'Leon rush for no gain to the TEXASTECH38, PENALTY OKLAHOMA face mask (Bledsoe, Amani) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+40
33.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 40 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
35.5%
Jett Duffey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
35.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
39.3%
Clayton Hatfield 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4964% → 88%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
35.9%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
34.4%
Trey Sermon run for 10 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
33.2%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
34.1%
Kyler Murray run for 12 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
32.3%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+16
32.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 16 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
31.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 8 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+20
12.0%
Trey Sermon run for 20 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:0017% → 33%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
17.0%
Jett Duffey run for 19 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
19.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
18.3%
Da'Leon Ward run for 7 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+3
20.3%
Da'Leon Ward run for 3 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+31
21.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 31 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
22.2%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-1
22.6%
Jett Duffey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 14Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+5
20.2%
Jett Duffey run for 5 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+7
18.6%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to Wesley, Antoine (TEAM), PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Thompson, Donta) 7 yards to the OKLAHOMA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.Similar
Q4 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
22.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 7Similar
Q4 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
22.5%
Jett Duffey sacked by Amani Bledsoe for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 9Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
21.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 5 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
18.3%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 6:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Zach Austin for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Collins intercepted )Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
33.3%
Robert Barnes return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:0276% → 95%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
23.8%
Kyler Murray run for 16 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
21.1%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+9
20.4%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
19.5%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
18.0%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
17.6%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
4.7%
Trey Sermon run for 30 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27TD
11 plays · 54 yds · 1:386% → 23%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
6.2%
Jett Duffey run for 12 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
6.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 20 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
8.3%
Jett Duffey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+15
6.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 15 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
6.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
6.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 7 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.0%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the Okla 1Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.3%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout OKLAHOMA, clock 01:05 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:54
Jett Duffey pass complete to Zach Austin for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Collins intercepted )
+26.2
TD · Q4 11:54
Trey Sermon run for 20 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)
-19.2
TD · Q4 1:05
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout OKLAHOMA, clock 01:05 (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com