Try the model
FAU

Florida Atlantic 14 at Oklahoma 63

OU
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:40 · Austin Seibert 53 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+29.1Home team on offense+21.7Score differential+13.8Blowout margin+4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2Garbage-time factor+6.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:40: Rodney Anderson run for 30 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:49: Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 65 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:04: Trey Sermon run for 17 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +3.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:07: Rodney Anderson run for 65 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — FAU win probability +0.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:17: Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 65 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3FAU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 23 at OU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:34FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:34FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:49FAU 4th & 11 at OU 37, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:07FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 38, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:40OU 4th & 6 at FAU 36, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:40FAU 4th & 18 at OU 44, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:17FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:29OU 4th & 13 at OU 21, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:16FAU 4th & 6 at OU 41, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:56FAU 4th & 4 at OU 18, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00OU 4th & 5 at OU 30, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:40OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:49OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:04OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:07OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:17OU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:16OU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:56OU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:55FAU Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:42OU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:13FAU Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 27 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
90.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 15 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
90.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 11 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
90.9%
SINGLETARY, D rush for 3 yards to the FAU49 (Haughton, K.), PENALTY FAU holding (ETIENNE, BJ) 10 yards to the FAU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+15
90.9%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to DURANTE, Jovon (Motley, Parnell), PENALTY OU roughing passer (Murray, Kenneth) 15 yards to the OU49, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.9%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
90.9%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+8
90.9%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
90.9%
Chris Robison run for 2 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
90.9%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-15
90.9%
ROBISON, Chris pass complete to WRIGHT, Willie for 17 yards to the OU16 (Murray, Kenneth), PENALTY FAU personal foul (BRYANT, Harriso) 15 yards to the OU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 23
OPP 48
0
90.9%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 23
OPP 48
0
90.9%
Sebastian Riella punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:0890% → 90%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
89.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+11
89.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 11 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
89.9%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+16
89.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 16 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
90.0%
Kyler Murray run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+15
90.0%
Kyler Murray run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
90.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 30 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT TD
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0610% → 9%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
89.8%
Gerald Hearns run for no gain to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
89.9%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
91.0%
Sebastian Riella punt blocked by Lee Morris blocked by Lee Morris Curtis Bolton return for no gain for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.9%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
90.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
90.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 1 yd to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
90.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, delay of game (Sebastian Riella) to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+12
91.0%
Sebastian Riella punt for 50 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 12 yds to the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
92.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 65 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.6%
Jovon Durante run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+26
92.6%
Devin Singletary run for 26 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.4%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
92.5%
Devin Singletary run for 10 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-8
92.2%
ROBISON, Chris pass complete to WRIGHT, Willie for 8 yards to the OU28 (Radley-Hiles, B), PENALTY FAU holding (PATTERSON, R) 8 yards to the OU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 18
OPP 44
+6
92.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 6 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+1
92.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to DeAndre McNeal for 1 yd to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
92.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to DeAndre McNealSimilar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
92.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Devin SingletarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:1493% → 97%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
93.3%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+8
93.5%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
93.5%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+29
93.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 29 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
96.7%
Trey Sermon run for 17 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:044% → 4%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.5%
Chris Robison run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Sebastian Riella punt for 37 yds for a 1ST down , CeeDee Lamb returns for no gain to the Okla 27 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 1:2297% → 96%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
96.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
96.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 4 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+65
96.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 65 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
97.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
97.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to DeSean Holmes for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-1
97.2%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
97.4%
Sebastian Riella punt for 38 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:4097% → 98%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
96.5%
Kyler Murray sacked by Korel Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+12
96.4%
Kyler Murray run for 12 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+8
96.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Drake Stoops for 8 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
96.5%
Trey Sermon run for 22 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
96.6%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-2
96.5%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
96.5%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+53
98.1%
Austin Seibert 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon Durante, broken up by Brendan Radley-HilesSimilar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+28
98.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 28 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
98.1%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 14
OPP 40
0
98.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+1
98.3%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 13
OPP 39
-5
98.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 18
OPP 44
0
98.3%
Sebastian Riella punt for 34 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 1:3298% → 99%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
98.4%
Marcelias Sutton run for 4 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+8
98.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 8 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.4%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+10
98.4%
Marcelias Sutton run for 10 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
98.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 3 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+65
98.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 65 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-6
98.9%
Jovon Durante run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 31 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+4
99.0%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+6
98.9%
Sebastian Riella punt for 47 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 6 yds to the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:1999% → 99%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.1%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-5
99.1%
Kendall, Austin pass complete to Willis, Brayden for 11 yards to the OU37 (ROSE, Ocie), PENALTY OU ineligible downfield on pass (Humphrey, Creed) 5 yards to the OU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 13
OWN 21
-7
99.1%
Austin Kendall sacked by Azeez Al-Shaair for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 20
OWN 14
+7
99.1%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 13
OWN 21
0
99.2%
Austin Seibert punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FlAtl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16END OF HALF
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:151% → 1%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+17
99.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 17 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
99.1%
Chris Robison sacked by Neville Gallimore for a loss of 10 yards to the FlAtl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4499% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+27
99.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 27 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
99.4%
Austin Kendall sacked by Ernest Bagner for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+7
99.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 7 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+16
99.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 16 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.4%
Marcelias Sutton run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+22
99.6%
Marcelias Sutton run for 22 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
99.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 11 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
99.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 14 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.7%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-1
99.6%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 6
OPP 41
-2
99.6%
Chris Robison sacked by Mark Jackson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:26100% → 100%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.7%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+10
99.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 10 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
99.7%
T.J. Pledger run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
99.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to A.D. Miller for 12 yds to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Nick Basquine for 2 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
99.7%
T.J. Pledger run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+3
99.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to A.D. Miller for 6 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:010% → 0%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.8%
Willie Wright run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+13
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 13 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 19 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 8 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 2
OPP 16
-2
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+13
99.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Devin Singletary for 13 yds to the Okla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
T.J. Pledger run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+36
99.8%
Austin Seibert punt for 36 yds , Dante Cousart returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+20
99.9%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Willie Wright for 20 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+32
99.9%
Rafe Peavey pass intercepted Robert Barnes return for 32 yds to the Okla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Drake Stoops for 8 yds to the 50 yard line OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 12
OWN 40
+12
99.9%
Austin Kendall run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-2
99.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+41
99.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 41 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:290% → 0%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to DeAndre McNealSimilar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for 4 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for no gain to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for no gain to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-2
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 12
OPP 46
+15
99.9%
JOHNSON, D pass incomplete to PATTERSON, R (Broiles, Justin), PENALTY OU pass interference (Broiles, Justin) 15 yards to the OU31, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.9%
Gerald Hearns run for 2 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+11
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Ronald Patterson for 11 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for 2 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
99.9%
Dante Cousart run for 1 yd to the Okla 15Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+8
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for 8 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q4 4:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 7 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Mykel Jones for 4 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+33
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Mykel Jones for 33 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-1
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 12
OPP 31
-1
99.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:04
Trey Sermon run for 17 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q1 4:49
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 65 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 13:07
Rodney Anderson run for 65 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com