Try the model
TTU

Texas Tech 6 at Kansas State 21

KSU
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDSAFETYFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:38 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:33: Blake Lynch 20 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 0:43: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +11.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q3 9:13: D. Panazzolo punt blocked by B. Monty for a SAFETY,blocked by Brock Monty for a SAFETY,for a SAFETY — KSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:27: Blake Lynch 34 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 10:23: Blake Lynch 41 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:55TTU 4th & 4 at KSU 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.1%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:55KSU 4th & 2 at TTU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:26TTU 4th & 6 at KSU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:20KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 42, down 6
    Close callPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 16, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:33KSU 4th & 3 at TTU 3, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−6.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:28TTU 4th & 18 at KSU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:34KSU 4th & 20 at KSU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−2.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:30TTU 4th & 6 at KSU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    60.2%−1.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00KSU 4th & 1 at TTU 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.7%−2.0
    88% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−8.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:27KSU 4th & 7 at TTU 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−11.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:23KSU 4th & 7 at TTU 24, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−6.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:16TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 40, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:01KSU 4th & 3 at TTU 43, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−1.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:39KSU 4th & 5 at TTU 5, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−4.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:28TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 13, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:43KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:0563% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
37.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 4 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
37.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 2 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+19
37.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 19 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
37.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 15 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
37.0%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
37.0%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+5
37.0%
Da'Leon Ward run for 5 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
37.8%
Clayton Hatfield 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 46 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
37.9%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Joseph Wallace for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+4
37.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+17
37.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 17 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
38.0%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+8
38.2%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
38.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 7 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
38.2%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+1
38.2%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
38.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 9 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-1
38.3%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
38.2%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+1
38.0%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexTc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:1161% → 63%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
39.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 3 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+9
39.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
38.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 6 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-2
38.8%
Da'Leon Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+13
39.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 13 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
38.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 8 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+6
38.3%
Da'Leon Ward run for 6 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
38.3%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+2
38.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 2 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
38.7%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
37.5%
Clayton Hatfield 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
38.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
39.5%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
39.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
38.1%
Devin Anctil punt for 37 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the TexTc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-9
38.0%
Jett Duffey sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 12
+9
38.2%
Tre King run for 9 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
38.6%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Ja'Deion High, broken up by Denzel GoolsbySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 21
-5
39.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 16Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 16
+6
39.0%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 44 yds , Phillip Brooks III returns for 6 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:5440% → 42%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+33
39.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 18 yds to the KANSASST 36 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
41.1%
Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
41.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles, broken up by Desmon SmithSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+14
40.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 14 yds to the TexTc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
41.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
41.1%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexTc 2Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
40.0%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 3Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
42.2%
Blake Lynch 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
40.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for 2 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+9
40.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 9 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
40.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for 8 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+5
39.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 5 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
39.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 7 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+9
38.7%
Da'Leon Ward run for 9 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
39.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Antoine Wesley for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 13
OPP 39
0
39.3%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 13
OPP 39
-5
40.2%
Jett Duffey sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 18
OPP 44
0
41.4%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
40.5%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-8
40.4%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Kolin Hill for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 18
OWN 12
-2
39.3%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
38.9%
Devin Anctil punt for 37 yds, fair catch by De'Quan Bowman at the KanSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
38.0%
Demarcus Felton run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
38.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Seth Collins for 7 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-3
38.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 43 Ta'Zhawn Henry fumbled, forced by Reggie Walker, recovered by TexTc Ta'Zhawn HenrySimilar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 6
OPP 43
-9
39.9%
N/A sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:2144% → 57%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
44.3%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
44.5%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+16
44.0%
Alex Barnes run for 16 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
45.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Blaise Gammon for 9 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+6
45.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 6 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
45.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
52.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, delay of game (Jett Duffey) to the TexTc 3Similar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 12
OWN 3
-2
52.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 14
OWN 1
+2
53.0%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 64 yds · 0:0053% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
53.3%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
54.8%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
54.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Blaise Gammon for 15 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
56.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 11 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
56.3%
Isaiah Zuber run for 17 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
56.9%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+5
56.9%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
55.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 10Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 10
-1
54.3%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13SF
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4443% → 38%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
57.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the TexTc 12Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
57.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Antoine WesleySimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
59.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 9
OWN 12
0
62.5%
D. Panazzolo punt blocked by B. Monty for a SAFETY,blocked by Brock Monty for a SAFETY,for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14INT
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:0063% → 66%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
63.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for 4 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
64.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+10
62.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for 10 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
65.5%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+15
65.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 15 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
65.8%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+17
66.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 17 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
66.2%
Skylar Thompson pass intercepted, touchback. Adrian Frye return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0038% → 39%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
62.1%
Jett Duffey run for 6 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
61.2%
Jett Duffey sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 20 Jett Duffey fumbled, recovered by KanSt Justin Hughes , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3569% → 76%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
69.3%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-15
70.3%
Thompson, S. pass complete to Schoen, Dalton for 17 yards to the TTU0, clock 04:14, PENALTY KS personal foul (Barnes, Alex) 15 yards to the TTU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 22
OPP 32
0
68.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Zach ReuterSimilar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 22
OPP 32
+15
67.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 15 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
75.8%
Blake Lynch 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17INT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
73.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 8 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+1
71.9%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+1
72.2%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
72.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 26 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
70.6%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the KanSt 17Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+4
70.6%
Jett Duffey run for 4 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
72.2%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted AJ Parker return for no gain to the KanSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:4478% → 91%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
78.4%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+7
78.6%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-7
79.1%
Skylar Thompson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 11
+11
78.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 11 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+27
77.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 27 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
80.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 10 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
81.2%
Alex Barnes run for 14 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
81.4%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+2
81.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
80.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber, broken up by Douglas Coleman IIISimilar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
90.6%
Blake Lynch 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
89.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 11 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
88.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for 3 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
88.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Ja'Deion HighSimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-1
88.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Da'Leon Ward for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
90.0%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 31 yds, downed at the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4492% → 94%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
92.1%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
92.1%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+15
91.9%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Silmon, Justin, PENALTY TTU roughing passer (Washington, B.) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
50
+3
92.6%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+4
92.6%
Justin Silmon run for 4 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
94.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
94.3%
Devin Anctil punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
92.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 16 TEAM fumbled, recovered by KanSt Chase JohnstonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22FG
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:0595% → 98%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
95.2%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+6
95.2%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
95.2%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 5Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.5%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the TexTc 5Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
97.1%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
98.0%
Blake Lynch 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.0%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Antoine Wesley, broken up by Da'Quan PattonSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
99.0%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Da'Leon WardSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.1%
McLane Carter run for 5 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
99.0%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to T.J. Vasher, broken up by Bronson MassieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
98.5%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+6
98.5%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
98.4%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
98.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:43
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
+11.1
FG · Q4 10:23
Blake Lynch 41 yd FG GOOD
+10.2
FG · Q3 3:27
Blake Lynch 34 yd FG GOOD
+8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com