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OKST

Oklahoma State 12 at Kansas State 31

KSU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:33 · Zach Sinor punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior−3.7Home team on offense+17.8Score differential+7.6Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:44: Alex Barnes run for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK) — KSU win probability +18.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:41: Alex Barnes run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK) — KSU win probability +17.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:23: Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 14:23 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — OKST win probability +21.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 9:41: Alex Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK) — KSU win probability +25.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:35: Alex Barnes run for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK) — KSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6OKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:11KSU 4th & 5 at OKST 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.8%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:11OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:38KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:10OKST 4th & 24 at KSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:28KSU 4th & 4 at OKST 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    33.8%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:32KSU 4th & 7 at OKST 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:22KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:23OKST 4th & 5 at KSU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:23KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:18OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:56OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:39OKST 4th & 27 at OKST 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−3.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:41OKST 4th & 5 at KSU 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    22.7%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:33OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 46, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:29OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 27, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q3 8:44KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:41KSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:23OKST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:41KSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:35KSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:4928% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
27.8%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+29
27.8%
Alex Barnes run for 29 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
27.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
27.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 5 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
27.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+51
28.8%
Andrew Hicks 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
28.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 7 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
28.5%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
28.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 2 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
28.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
28.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
28.7%
TEAM punt, downed at the KanSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
29.4%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+1
29.4%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 23Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+2
29.3%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 1
OWN 25
-5
29.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Duke Shelley) to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+7
29.1%
Devin Anctil punt for 55 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 7 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4FG
13 plays · 36 yds · 4:3170% → 68%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
30.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 14 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
29.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+9
30.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 9 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+11
29.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for 11 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
29.6%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+12
29.5%
J.D. King run for 12 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
29.5%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
29.5%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 12
-15
30.8%
Cornelius, T. pass complete to Wolf, Landon for 12 yards to the KS0, clock 05:55, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Wallace, Tylan) 15 yards to the KS27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 19
OPP 27
-5
31.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 24
OPP 32
0
31.5%
Taylor Cornelius run for no gain to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 24
OPP 32
+48
31.9%
Matt Ammendola 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 6:3231% → 36%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
31.2%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+14
31.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 14 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
32.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+1
32.4%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+7
32.0%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
32.4%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
32.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+5
33.3%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+4
32.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
34.0%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+7
34.7%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-5
34.0%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 14Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
36.2%
Andrew Hicks 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6INT
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:1566% → 67%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
34.4%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+7
34.4%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+26
35.2%
Taylor Cornelius run for 26 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
33.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 9 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
32.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted, touchback. Duke Shelley return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
37.3%
Dalvin Warmack run for 6 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-2
37.5%
Dalvin Warmack run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
36.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
36.0%
Devin Anctil punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:3265% → 67%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
34.9%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+45
34.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 45 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
33.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 6 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.0%
J.D. King run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
33.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 5Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
32.8%
Matt Ammendola 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
34.2%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
34.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
33.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
32.9%
Devin Anctil punt for 41 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 7 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
33.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
33.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+5
34.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to J.D. King for 5 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+4
34.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 21 , Isaiah Zuber returns for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11END OF HALF
18 plays · 49 yds · 4:5735% → 37%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
34.6%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
34.8%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+6
32.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for 6 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
33.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
33.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Harris for no gain to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+10
32.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+5
33.4%
Thompson, S. rush for no gain to the KS37, out-of-bounds (Owens, Jarrell), PENALTY OSU offside (Brailford, J.) 5 yards to the KS42, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
35.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
34.1%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+10
35.0%
Alex Barnes run for 10 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
36.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
36.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+18
36.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalvin Warmack for 18 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
38.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
38.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalvin WarmackSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-11
36.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Jarrick Bernard for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
34.1%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
34.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
34.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron Johnson, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+1
36.0%
Zach Sinor punt for 35 yds , Isaiah Zuber returns for 1 yd to the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:5937% → 60%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
36.6%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
38.2%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+10
37.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
39.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 23 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-15
41.2%
Barnes, Alex rush for 10 yards to the OSU21, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KS personal foul (Mitchell, Tyler) 15 yards to the OSU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 25
OPP 46
+11
38.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 11 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+15
39.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 15 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
41.2%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+8
41.2%
Dalvin Warmack run for 8 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
60.0%
Alex Barnes run for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
54.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Kyle BallSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+19
54.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 19 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
53.3%
Taylor Cornelius run for 22 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
49.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
49.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-10
50.0%
Hill, Justice rush for 11 yards to the KS34 (Parker, AJ), PENALTY OSU holding (Richards, Shane) 10 yards to the OSU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 17
OWN 45
-10
54.1%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Kyle Ball for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 27
OWN 35
0
56.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:3459% → 80%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
59.1%
Dalvin Warmack run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-1
60.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+11
57.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 11 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+28
61.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for 28 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
62.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 19 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.2%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.9%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1822% → 47%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
77.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 36 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
73.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
73.8%
Taylor Cornelius run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+7
75.8%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+11
76.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 11 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
72.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+8
72.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 8 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
72.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to J.D. King for 5 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
74.1%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.6%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 14:23 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4264% → 92%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
63.9%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Zuber, Isaiah, PENALTY OSU holding (Edison-McGruder) 10 yards to the KS38, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
66.2%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+24
67.5%
Alex Barnes run for 24 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
68.8%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+5
68.8%
Dalvin Warmack run for 5 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
68.8%
Dalvin Warmack run for 6 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 4
OPP 15
-6
68.8%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Cole Walterscheid for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 21Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+13
67.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 13 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.3%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
87.6%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
87.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Jelani WoodsSimilar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+4
87.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 4 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
87.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
87.0%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
87.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
88.6%
Zach Sinor punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:3292% → 99%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.1%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+17
92.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for 17 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
93.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for 2 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+12
92.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Blaise Gammon for 12 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
93.1%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
93.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah HarrisSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+15
92.7%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, personal foul (Larry Williams) to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
93.1%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+10
93.1%
Alex Barnes run for 10 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
93.1%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the OKSt 3Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20INT
13 plays · 31 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
97.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+13
97.9%
Taylor Cornelius run for 13 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
97.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 9 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
97.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
97.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 3 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
97.6%
Taylor Cornelius run for no gain to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-9
97.6%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 19
OWN 43
+15
97.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Reggie Walker) to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+30
97.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted Duke Shelley return for 30 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
99.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:41
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK)
+25.1
TD · Q4 14:23
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout KANSAS ST, clock 14:23 (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-21.6
TD · Q3 8:44
Alex Barnes run for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Hicks KICK)
+18.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com