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TEX

Texas 19 at Kansas State 14

KSU
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:55 · Ryan Bujcevski punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Duke Shelley at the KanSt 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior−5.0Home team on offense−13.5Score differential−4.4Garbage-time factor−5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:13: Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds for a TD (Nick McLellan KICK) — KSU win probability +6.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:57: Skylar Thompson pass incomplete — KSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:55: Alex Barnes run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick McLellan KICK) — KSU win probability +16.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:55: Keaontay Ingram run for 12 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down — TEX win probability +6.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:20: Timeout TEXAS, clock 02:20 — TEX win probability +9.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00TEX 4th & 20 at TEX 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:25KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:19KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:15TEX 4th & 10 at KSU 11, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−6.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:05KSU 4th & 7 at TEX 45, down 19
    Close callPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:54TEX 4th & 23 at TEX 7, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:02KSU 4th & 2 at TEX 2, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.2%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:22TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 48, up 12
    Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:33KSU 4th & 8 at TEX 48, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:57TEX 4th & 7 at KSU 30, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00KSU 4th & 7 at TEX 17, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−6.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:55KSU 4th & 1 at TEX 1, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−3.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−11.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:55TEX 4th & 7 at KSU 47, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:31KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 20, down 5
    Close callPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TEX made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:03TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:13KSU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:55KSU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 37 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
22.3%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+3
22.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 3 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+13
22.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 13 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
22.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
22.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 4 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
22.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
22.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 8 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+6
22.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 6 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
22.3%
Lil'Jordan Humphrey pass incomplete, broken up by Kendall AdamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-10
22.3%
Tre Watson rush for 3 yards to the KS38 (Massie, Bronson), PENALTY UT illegal block (Andrew Beck) 10 yards to the UT49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 49
0
22.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 49
0
22.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 49
0
22.3%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
9 plays · 28 yds · 5:1125% → 24%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
24.5%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 8Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+5
24.5%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+8
24.3%
Alex Delton run for 8 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
24.5%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+8
24.5%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
24.6%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+4
24.5%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-1
24.5%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+90
24.0%
Andrew Hicks punt for 55 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 90 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
24.3%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+18
24.2%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 3 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Kris Boyd) to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
24.6%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
24.5%
Delton, Alex pass incomplete to Zuber, Isaiah, PENALTY UT offside (Ta'Quon Graham) 5 yards to the KS43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
25.0%
Alex Delton run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
24.8%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
24.4%
Andrew Hicks punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 4:1175% → 80%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
24.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 7 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+2
24.4%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+1
24.6%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
24.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 6 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
24.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 3 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+21
24.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 21 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
23.7%
Tre Watson run for 11 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
23.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 12 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
23.6%
Tre Watson pass complete to Sam Ehlinger for 21 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
23.6%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
19.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 4 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5SF
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:0021% → 19%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
20.7%
Alex Delton sacked by Charles Omenihu for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 15
OWN 4
+4
20.7%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 4 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 11
OWN 8
-8
19.1%
Alex Delton sacked by Charles Omenihu for a loss of 8 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:3682% → 87%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
18.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 8 yds to the Texas 44 TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 17
OWN 29
+7
18.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 7 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
18.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+14
18.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 14 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
17.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 11 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
17.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
17.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 13 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
17.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+7
17.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 7 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
17.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Andrew BeckSimilar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
17.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Sam Ehlinger for 3 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-3
17.6%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
13.2%
Cameron Dicker 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
15.8%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+9
15.7%
Alex Delton run for 9 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
15.9%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+15
16.3%
Delton, Alex pass incomplete to Reuter, Zach, PENALTY UT DPI (Davante Davis) 15 yards to the UT48, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
16.9%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
16.8%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
16.7%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber, broken up by Kris BoydSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
16.6%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:3588% → 89%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
11.8%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-14
11.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to D'Shawn Jamison for a loss of 14 yards to the Texas 9Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 21
OWN 9
-7
11.4%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 7 Sam Ehlinger fumbled, recovered by Texas Sam Ehlinger , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 23
OWN 7
+5
11.1%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 35 yds , Duke Shelley returns for 5 yds to the Texas 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 2:4216% → 13%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
15.6%
Alex Delton run for 9 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Defensive holding (Anthony Wheeler) to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
16.3%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 7 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+1
16.3%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+4
16.0%
Alex Delton run for 4 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
16.3%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
16.3%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the Texas 2Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
14.5%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the Texas 2Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
13.1%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 3:4213% → 20%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
12.7%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
12.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+13
12.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 13 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
13.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 6 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
13.8%
Alex Barnes run for 10 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
14.1%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Zuber, Isaiah, PENALTY UT DPI (Kris Boyd) 15 yards to the UT34, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
14.4%
Alex Barnes run for 12 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
14.6%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Reuter, Zach (Davante Davis), PENALTY UT offside (Ta'Quon Graham) 5 yards to the UT17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+8
14.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 8 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
14.6%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
14.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q3 11:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
20.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds for a TD (Nick McLellan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:5182% → 83%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
18.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 16 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
16.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 1 yd to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
17.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+5
16.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 5 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
17.3%
TEAM punt, downed at the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0019% → 20%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
18.8%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+10
19.6%
Alex Barnes run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
50
-8
20.0%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Breckyn Hager for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 42 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanSt Blaise Gammon , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 18
OWN 42
0
18.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 18
OWN 42
+10
19.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 10 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
20.4%
Andrew Hicks punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:4685% → 88%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
15.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 5 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+5
15.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 5 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
15.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 12 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
14.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
13.6%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
13.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
13.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 20 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
13.0%
Daniel Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+4
13.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
13.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
11.7%
Cameron Dicker 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:0218% → 35%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
17.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
16.8%
Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+13
16.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 13 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
17.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
17.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+17
16.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 17 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
18.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+19
18.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 19 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
21.0%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
21.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 0
0
15.4%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Zuber, Isaiah, PENALTY UT holding off-setting, PENALTY KS pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
19.2%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+10
17.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 10 yds to the Texas 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
21.0%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the Texas 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
21.0%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
19.3%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the Texas 1Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.4%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick McLellan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
26.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 12 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
24.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 6 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
23.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
50
+5
21.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 5 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-2
21.5%
Daniel Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
22.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
25.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Duke Shelley at the KanSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4128% → 23%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
28.4%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
28.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
23.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen, broken up by Breckyn HagerSimilar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
22.6%
Andrew Hicks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17Uncategorized
12 plays · 36 yds · 4:0081% → 93%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
19.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+5
19.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 5 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-4
19.5%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (Keaontay Ingram) to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+12
20.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 12 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
17.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+7
17.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
17.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
7.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+12
7.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 12 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
7.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 12
OPP 22
-2
7.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:55
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick McLellan KICK)
+16.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:20
Timeout TEXAS, clock 02:20
-9.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com