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2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:42 · Billy Kinney punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior+7.9Home team on offense+35.2Score differential+26.7Blowout margin+10.8Garbage-time factor+11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:31: David Sills V 1 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +4.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:02: David Sills V 1 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +4.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:51: Blake Lynch 25 Yd Field Goal — KSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:34: Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the WVirg 30 — WVU win probability +2.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:01: Tevin Bush 62 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3KSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 9:26KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:21KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:23KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:12WVU 4th & 3 at KSU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    83.8%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:06KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:57WVU 4th & 8 at KSU 34, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:02KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.7%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:57KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:51KSU 4th & 8 at WVU 8, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:08KSU 4th & 24 at WVU 40, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:42WVU 4th & 23 at WVU 27, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:49KSU 4th & 19 at WVU 34, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:28KSU 4th & 8 at WVU 40, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:46WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:31WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:02WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:01WVU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:39WVU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:1087% → 87%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
87.1%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
87.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 7 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+12
86.9%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 12 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
86.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+12
86.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 12 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.6%
Will Grier pass intercepted AJ Parker return for no gain to the KanSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:0014% → 14%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
86.4%
Alex Barnes run for 9 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+2
86.3%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
86.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+3
85.9%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+1
85.7%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
85.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:4186% → 85%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
85.8%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
85.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 5
50
+15
85.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 15 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
85.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 7 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
85.4%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the KanSt 28 Leddie Brown fumbled, recovered by KanSt Jordan MittieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:0715% → 16%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
84.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
84.2%
Dalvin Warmack run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+2
84.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 11
OWN 42
-1
84.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
84.3%
Andrew Hicks punt for 55 yds, downed at the WVirg 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 96 yds · 0:2384% → 86%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+14
84.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 14 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
86.2%
Marcus Simms 82 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1614% → 14%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
86.0%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 7Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+7
86.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 7 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
86.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+25
86.2%
Andrew Hicks punt for 62 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 25 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5787% → 86%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
86.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
86.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
86.3%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
86.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Duke Shelley at the KanSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:3614% → 14%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
85.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 2 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+17
85.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 17 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
85.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Blaise Gammon for 9 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+2
84.8%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
85.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+14
85.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 14 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
85.0%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
85.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
85.6%
Andrew Hicks punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:5885% → 85%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
85.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
85.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+10
85.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 10 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
85.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
85.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 5 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+7
85.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 7 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
86.0%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+9
86.0%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
86.0%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
86.5%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 4
OPP 30
-4
86.1%
Will Grier sacked by Jordan Mittie for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+51
85.3%
Evan Staley 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4815% → 15%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
84.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 9 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
83.8%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
84.4%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-4
85.3%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:2586% → 91%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.4%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
86.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 14 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
86.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+16
86.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 16 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.9%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.6%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.8%
David Sills V 1 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2210% → 9%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
90.1%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
90.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
90.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
90.7%
Andrew Hicks punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 0:4591% → 97%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
90.8%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 12 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
91.1%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 8 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+11
91.3%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 11 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
91.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 17 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+23
91.4%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 23 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
91.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
David Sills V 1 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:055% → 8%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
95.3%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+9
95.2%
Alex Barnes run for 9 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.3%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+40
95.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 40 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
94.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+4
95.1%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+7
95.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 7 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
92.3%
Blake Lynch 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:3395% → 99%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
95.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
95.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Martell Pettaway for 1 yd to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+7
95.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 7 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
98.7%
Tevin Bush 62 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.1%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the KanSt 17 Justin Silmon fumbled, recovered by WVirg Reese DonahueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:0399% → 100%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.8%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+7
98.8%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+9
98.7%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
David Sills V 1 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
14 plays · 47 yds · 5:250% → 0%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
99.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 8Similar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+16
99.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 16 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.5%
Alex Barnes run for 9 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 1
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+6
99.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+35
99.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 35 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 6 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 4
OPP 20
-8
99.5%
Skylar Thompson sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 12
OPP 28
-5
99.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 17
OPP 33
-2
99.8%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 19
OPP 35
-5
99.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 24
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
99.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Will Grier pass intercepted Johnathan Durham return for no gain to the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21FG
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
99.8%
Alex Delton run for 18 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.8%
Alex Delton run for 6 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
99.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 5 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
99.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 14:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
-1
99.9%
Alex Delton sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 13:48
4TH & 0
OPP 21
+38
99.8%
Blake Lynch 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 2 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
99.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 20
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 20
OWN 30
-10
99.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 30
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 25
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 23
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23MISSED FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
99.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+16
99.9%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 16 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
99.9%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 23 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the WVirg 24Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-1
99.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-9
99.9%
Alex Delton sacked by Jeffery Pooler Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 19
OPP 34
+50
99.9%
Blake Lynch 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+18
99.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 18 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Jack Allison pass intercepted Jahron McPherson return for 4 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:370% → 0%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
99.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the KanSt 9Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+14
100.0%
Alex Delton run for 14 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+8
100.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 8 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
100.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 15 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
100.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Alex Barnes for 8 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Alex Delton run for 4 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
100.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Zach Reuter for 7 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-5
99.9%
Alex Delton sacked by Adam Hensley for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:31
David Sills V 1 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)
+4.3
TD · Q2 0:02
David Sills V 1 Yd pass from Will Grier (Evan Staley Kick)
+4.2
FG · Q3 10:51
Blake Lynch 25 Yd Field Goal
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com