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UTSA

UTSA 17 at Kansas State 41

KSU
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:12 · Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 9 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+10.9Home team on offense+35.0Score differential+30.1Garbage-time factor+9.3Blowout margin+15.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:00: Cordale Grundy pass complete to Halen Steward for 2 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +1.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:59: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 42 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +3.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:43: Blake Lynch 42 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:20: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 23 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:15: Skylar Thompson run for 27 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:44UTSA 4th & 18 at UTSA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00KSU 4th & 8 at UTSA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:07UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:52UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 40, down 10
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:43KSU 4th & 13 at UTSA 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UTSA 4th & 1 at KSU 28, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−1.0
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:09UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 27, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:44UTSA 4th & 14 at KSU 29, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00UTSA 4th & 2 at KSU 41, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:18KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 44, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:12UTSA 4th & 7 at KSU 37, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:16UTSA 4th & 2 at KSU 20, down 34
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:41KSU 4th & 17 at KSU 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:48KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:00UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:59KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20KSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:15KSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:31KSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:35UTSA Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:1293% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
93.0%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Zuber, Isaiah, PENALTY UTSA offside (CARTER-MCLIN, J) 5 yards to the KS27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 27
+5
93.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 5 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
93.0%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
93.0%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+37
93.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 37 yds to the KANSASST 23 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
93.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for 12 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
93.0%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+8
93.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 8 yds to the TexSA 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+5
93.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 5 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
93.0%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 3Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.5%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
92.3%
Cordale Grundy run for 5 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
92.3%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+11
92.4%
Cordale Grundy run for 11 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.3%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
92.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-9
92.3%
Cordale Grundy sacked by Kyle Ball for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 35 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, intentional grounding (Cordale Grundy) to the TexSA 35Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
92.4%
Yannis Routsas punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.1%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-13
92.2%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Andrew Martel for a loss of 13 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
92.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 6 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+11
91.9%
Andrew Hicks punt for 35 yds , Greg Campbell Jr. returns for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:589% → 10%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
50
+14
91.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 14 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
91.5%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 7 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+11
91.4%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 11 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
91.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
91.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.4%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the KanSt 2Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.6%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Halen Steward for 2 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 4:5190% → 89%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
90.1%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the KanSt 16Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
90.1%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+15
89.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 15 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
90.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
90.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+7
90.1%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
90.4%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 42 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanSt Skylar ThompsonSimilar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+30
90.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for 30 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
90.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for 4 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+6
90.6%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Reuter, Zach, PENALTY UTSA DPI (MCGHEE, T.) 6 yards to the UTSA18, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
90.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
90.6%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
90.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
89.1%
Blake Lynch 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 2:5311% → 11%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
89.1%
Cordale Grundy run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 11Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+6
89.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+24
89.3%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 24 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
88.5%
Greg Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
88.5%
Cordale Grundy run for no gain to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-5
88.7%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, delay of game (Cordale Grundy) to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+6
89.1%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to B.J. Daniels for 6 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
89.2%
Yannis Routsas punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Zuber at the KanSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:1988% → 91%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
87.8%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+2
87.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+12
87.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 12 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
87.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+14
88.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Blaise Gammon for 14 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
88.2%
Alex Barnes run for 10 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
91.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 42 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
91.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
91.0%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
90.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
90.9%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
90.7%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+1
90.7%
D.J. Gillins run for 1 yd to the TexSA 40Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+39
91.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 46 yds , Isaiah Zuber returns for 39 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3791% → 93%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
91.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 14 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
91.5%
Dalvin Warmack run for 3 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+8
91.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 8 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
91.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 8 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-8
91.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 12 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Abdul Beecham) to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-3
91.4%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 25Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 13
OPP 25
0
90.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Alex BarnesSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
93.2%
Blake Lynch 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.3%
D.J. Gillins run for 5 yds to the TexSA 34 D.J. Gillins fumbled, forced by Joe Davies, recovered by KanSt Kendall Adams , return for 1 yd to the TexSA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:1494% → 98%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
94.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 11 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
97.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 23 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
96.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 16 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
96.7%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
96.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
50
+2
96.5%
Cordale Grundy run for 2 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
96.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 11 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
96.5%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+6
96.4%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
96.5%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
-7
96.4%
Cordale Grundy run for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:3198% → 100%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.7%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+24
97.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 24 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
97.8%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+27
99.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 27 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+1
99.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 27Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+44
99.5%
Yannis Routsas punt for 44 yds , Duke Shelley returns for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-8
99.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Josiah Tauaefa for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 25 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by TexSA Jarrod Carter-McLin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-2
99.6%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
99.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 9
OPP 24
-5
99.5%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, delay of game (Yannis Routsas) to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+46
99.6%
Jared Sackett 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.8%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-2
99.8%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+72
99.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 72 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 3:240% → 0%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 7 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 5 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 8 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 8 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for no gain to the TexSA 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
99.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Carter McCarthy for 3 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
99.9%
GRUNDY, Cordale pass incomplete to JOHNSON JR., K., PENALTY UTSA holding (SHARP, Gavin) 10 yards to the UTSA41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+16
99.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 16 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
99.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
99.9%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-2
99.9%
Alex Delton sacked by Darryl Godfrey for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Alex Delton run for 8 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 13:18
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Greg Campbell Jr. at the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:560% → 0%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 6 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+26
99.9%
Cordale Grundy run for 26 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the KanSt 39Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+9
99.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 9 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Blaze MoorheadSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+6
99.9%
Cordale Grundy run for 6 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
99.9%
Jared Sackett 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
99.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the KanSt 7Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+4
99.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for 4 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 5
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the KanSt 10 Alex Delton fumbled, forced by Jaylon Haynes, recovered by TexSA Brenndan JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.4%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.6%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+10
99.6%
Justin Silmon run for 10 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.6%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-11
99.7%
Silmon, Justin rush for 9 yards to the UTSA44, out-of-bounds (JACKSON, L.), PENALTY KS holding (Jones, Matt) 11 yards to the KS36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 18
OWN 36
+2
99.6%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 16
OWN 38
-1
99.7%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 17
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Greg Campbell Jr. at the TexSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Blaze Moorhead, broken up by Logan StoddardSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Blaze MoorheadSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+19
99.8%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 19 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Blaze MoorheadSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Kirk Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+12
99.8%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 12 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
D.J. Gillins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg, broken up by Ross ElderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:20
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 23 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q2 6:59
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 42 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
+3.1
FG · Q2 0:43
Blake Lynch 42 yd FG GOOD
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com