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TEX

Texas 24 at Kansas 17

KU
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2018 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:16 · Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for no gain to the Kans 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior−7.0Home team on offense−37.4Score differential−19.1Garbage-time factor−11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:40: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +8.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:02: Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +6.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:44: Pooka Williams Jr. run for 57 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +7.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:37: Gabriel Rui 45 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +6.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:36: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 49 — TEX win probability +6.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 7 at KU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35KU 4th & 15 at KU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:33TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 27 at KU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:45TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:17KU 4th & 25 at KU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:49KU 4th & 7 at KU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:25TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:35KU 4th & 4 at KU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:39KU 4th & 3 at TEX 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    13.0%−1.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:57TEX 4th & 12 at KU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−5.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:57KU 4th & 7 at KU 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:16TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:37KU 4th & 16 at TEX 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:35TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:40TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:02TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:44KU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:27KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
13.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+6
13.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
13.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
13.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 60 yds, downed at the Texas 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
11 plays · 98 yds · 5:0886% → 85%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
14.1%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Texas 3Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+15
14.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 15 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
14.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 5 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+10
14.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 10 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
14.1%
D'Shawn Jamison run for 8 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+22
14.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 22 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
14.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 3 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
14.0%
Tre Watson run for 8 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
14.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
14.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+26
14.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 26 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
15.2%
Williams, Pooka rush for 2 yards to the KU27 (Caden Sterns), PENALTY KU personal foul (Wallace, Dwayne) 12 yards to the KU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+6
15.2%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
15.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
15.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Pooka Williams Jr.Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
15.0%
Kyle Thompson punt for 76 yds, downed at the Texas 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
15.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+3
15.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+4
15.9%
Daniel Young run for 4 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
15.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 2 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+2
15.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+9
15.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 9 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
15.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-1
15.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
15.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey, broken up by Joe Dineen Jr.Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
15.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 1:3117% → 17%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
17.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+11
17.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 11 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
17.9%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Texas 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
18.4%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson, broken up by Kris BoydSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+13
17.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 13 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
18.9%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
18.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-15
18.5%
KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 46
-6
17.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 27
OWN 48
0
17.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
18.1%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+10
18.1%
Tre Watson run for 10 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
17.9%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+10
17.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 10 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
17.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin Johnson, broken up by Corione HarrisSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
17.7%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
18.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
18.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
18.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
19.1%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
19.3%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
19.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 16
OWN 27
-5
18.8%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 21
OWN 22
-11
18.3%
Bender, Peyton pass complete to Charlot, Daylon for 20 yards to the KU42 (Davante Davis), PENALTY KU pass interference (Johnson, Kerr) 11 yards to the KU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 32
OWN 11
+7
18.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 25
OWN 18
0
18.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 37 yds , Brandon Jones returns for no gain to the Kans 40 Brandon Jones fumbled, forced by Emmanuel Moore, recovered by Texas Jerrod Heard KANSAS Penalty, targeting (Emmanuel Moore) to the Kans 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
17.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+15
17.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin Johnson, PENALTY KU pass interference (Taylor, Shakial) 15 yards to the KU22, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
17.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
17.5%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+4
17.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Najee Stevens-McKenzie return for 4 yds to the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
19.8%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+12
19.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 12 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
20.1%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
21.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
21.0%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
21.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Davante DavisSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
20.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
20.5%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
19.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 25 yds, downed at the Texas 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1681% → 80%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
18.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 1 yd to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
18.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-1
19.6%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+13
19.7%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 13 yds to the Kans 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
20.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
19.1%
D'Shawn Jamison run for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
18.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
18.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 10 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
17.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
17.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-9
17.9%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
20.1%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 37 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for no gain to the Kans 43 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Hasan Defense) to the Kans 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
20.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 7 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 3
OWN 17
0
20.7%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the Kans 17Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 3
OWN 17
-1
19.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 16Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
19.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 36 yds, downed at the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:5982% → 90%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
18.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to D'Shawn Jamison for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
18.3%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
18.3%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
18.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 5 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+31
18.1%
Tre Watson run for 31 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
9.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 3:0112% → 12%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
12.1%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
12.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
12.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Caden SternsSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+15
12.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 15 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
13.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
14.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Malcolm RoachSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
14.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
12.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:3391% → 98%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
8.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
8.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
8.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-9
8.5%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Brian Lipscomb for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 44 Sam Ehlinger fumbled, recovered by Texas Elijah Rodriguez , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 17
OWN 44
+20
9.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 20 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
8.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
8.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey, PENALTY KU holding (Defense, Hasan) 10 yards to the KU26, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
8.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 19 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
8.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
8.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Andrew BeckSimilar
Q3 1:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:183% → 10%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
3.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
3.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
3.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 12 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
2.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+57
10.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 57 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
8.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
8.3%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
8.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Shakial Taylor return for 3 yds to the Texas 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
11.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+65
11.3%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Jeffrey McCulloch return for 65 yds to the Kans 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20FG
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:4194% → 95%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
5.7%
Tre Watson run for 10 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
5.4%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
5.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-5
5.5%
TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (Sam Ehlinger) to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 13
OPP 18
+1
5.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+34
4.7%
Cameron Dicker 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
4.8%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
5.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
4.8%
Bender, Peyton rush for 3 yards to the KU41 (Joseph Ossai), PENALTY UT offside defense (Joseph Ossai) 5 yards to the KU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-5
5.3%
Peyton Bender sacked by Charles Omenihu for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
4.8%
Kyle Thompson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
4.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+2
4.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+4
4.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 4 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
4.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for no gain to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:314% → 8%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
3.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 4 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
3.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 38
-5
4.1%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Malik Clark) to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+18
3.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 18 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
4.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Daylon Charlot, broken up by B.J. FosterSimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
4.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
4.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
4.5%
Peyton Bender sacked by Jeffrey McCulloch for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 35 Peyton Bender fumbled, recovered by Kans Hakeem Adeniji , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
4.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 4 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+31
8.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 31 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 1:447% → 10%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
6.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 13 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
7.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 8 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-5
7.9%
Bender, Peyton pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker, PENALTY KU ineligible downfield on pass (Clark, Malik) 5 yards to the UT41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+5
7.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+15
8.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Texas 36 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (B.J. Foster) to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
9.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
8.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-6
7.8%
Peyton Bender sacked by Anthony Cook for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+45
9.8%
Gabriel Rui 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25Uncategorized
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-2
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-2
5.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:40
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q4 14:44
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 57 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+7.5
FG · Q4 1:37
Gabriel Rui 45 yd FG GOOD
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com