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KU

Kansas 40 at Oklahoma 55

OU
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:52: Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +5.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 5:39: Kyler Murray run for 11 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +4.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:50: Kennedy Brooks run for 13 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (1 Yards) to the Kans 2 (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:05: Pooka Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 9 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +4.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:44: Kyler Murray run for 75 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert PAT BLOCKED) — OU win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:57KU 4th & 10 at OU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:02KU 4th & 5 at OU 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:20KU 4th & 6 at OU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q3 7:39OU 4th & 3 at KU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 4:00KU 4th & 4 at KU 39, down 11
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q4 12:05KU 4th & 10 at KU 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  7. Q4 4:03KU 4th & 3 at KU 32, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 2:50KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:19OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:03OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:18OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:52KU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:39OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:50OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:05KU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:44OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:38KU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:25OU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:31KU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:572% → 3%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.8%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
97.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 9 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+13
97.6%
Dom Williams run for 13 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.5%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
97.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
97.4%
Peyton Bender run for no gain to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
97.4%
Kyle Thompson punt for 29 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2FUMBLE
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:4497% → 97%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
97.3%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+20
97.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 20 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
97.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 12 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
97.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+12
97.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 12 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
97.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 3 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+10
97.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Carson Meier for 10 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
96.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
96.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+9
96.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 9 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
96.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Kans 7 Kennedy Brooks fumbled, forced by Mike Lee, recovered by Kans Steven Sims Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 3:114% → 5%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
96.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+6
96.4%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
96.3%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+7
96.1%
Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
96.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 7 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+39
95.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 39 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
94.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 23 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:1695% → 96%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
95.1%
Murray, Kyler pass incomplete to Brown, Marquise, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+14
94.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 14 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+40
95.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 40 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
95.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+7
95.9%
Kyler Murray run for 7 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:125% → 6%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
95.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 12 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
95.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
94.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
94.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
94.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
94.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+14
94.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 14 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
93.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
93.8%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+6
93.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 6 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
93.6%
Gabriel Rui 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4694% → 95%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
93.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
94.1%
Kyler Murray run for 4 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
93.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 13 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
93.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
93.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 7 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+14
93.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 14 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
94.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Carson Meier for 20 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 25 yds · 4:436% → 7%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
94.1%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Clyde McCauley III) to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+7
94.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-15
94.5%
Bender, Peyton pass complete to Williams Jr., Pooka for 1 yard to the KANSAS37, PENALTY KANSAS personal foul (Frazier, Antione) 15 yards to the KANSAS22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 22
OWN 22
+9
94.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+25
94.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 25 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
93.7%
Peyton Bender run for no gain to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
93.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 4 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 6
OPP 40
-5
93.3%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+5
93.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
93.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Pooka Williams Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5593% → 96%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.4%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
93.2%
Murray, Kyler pass incomplete to Calcaterra, Grant, PENALTY KANSAS pass interference (Lee, Mike) 15 yards to the KANSAS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
93.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+10
93.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 10 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
93.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
93.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+5
92.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
93.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 13 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
92.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:064% → 4%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
95.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
95.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 19 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:5495% → 95%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
94.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
94.9%
Kyler Murray pass intercepted Shakial Taylor return for 10 yds to the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:036% → 13%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
93.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 13 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
93.5%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+8
93.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 8 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+5
93.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
92.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 10 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
92.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
87.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 4:5990% → 94%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
90.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
90.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 10 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
90.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 15 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
90.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 13 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
91.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
90.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+2
90.2%
Kyler Murray run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+5
89.1%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
90.4%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+14
90.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 14 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
90.0%
Kyler Murray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 11Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
89.8%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 5:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
93.9%
Kyler Murray run for 11 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:227% → 7%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
92.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 1 yd to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+5
92.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
92.8%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+34
93.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 46 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 34 yds to the Okla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:0294% → 98%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
94.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Carson Meier for 19 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
94.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
94.3%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+9
94.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 9 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
94.2%
Kyler Murray sacked by Isi Holani for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+7
94.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 7 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
98.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 13 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (1 Yards) to the Kans 2 (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:333% → 8%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
97.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+44
97.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 44 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
96.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
91.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 9 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:1594% → 98%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Carson MeierSimilar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
98.0%
Kyler Murray run for 75 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT TD
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:203% → 1%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
97.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
97.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.4%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.3%
Kyle Thompson punt blocked by Brayden Willis blocked by Brayden Willis Curtis Bolton return for 9 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:211% → 3%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 10 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
99.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 22 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
96.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 42 yds for a TD (Peyton Bender pass to Khalil Herbert for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0598% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.6%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
97.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 9 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+12
97.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 12 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
97.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 23 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
97.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+12
98.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 12 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Carson MeierSimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
98.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
99.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 11 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:441% → 3%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+13
99.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 13 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+24
99.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 24 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
97.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 25 yds for a TD Timeout OKLAHOMA, clock 02:31 (Carter Stanley pass to Caperton Humphrey for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22Uncategorized
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:2799% → 99%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.0%
Jeremiah Hall run for 6 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
99.1%
Jeremiah Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+5
99.3%
Jeremiah Hall run for 5 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.4%
Jeremiah Hall run for 8 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+13
99.4%
KANSAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joe Dineen Jr.) to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-1
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:52
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q4 14:05
Pooka Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 9 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q3 5:39
Kyler Murray run for 11 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com