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KU

Kansas 17 at Kansas State 21

KSU
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:20 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:48: Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 9 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +16.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:57: Alex Barnes run for 2 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, ( Yards) declined (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +16.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:46: Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 65 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +24.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:46: Alex Delton run for 21 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +44.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:20: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 32 — KSU win probability +15.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 10 at KU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:56KSU 4th & 6 at KU 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:56KU 4th & 5 at KSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:12KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:10KU 4th & 1 at KU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:46KSU 4th & 3 at KU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:38KU 4th & 1 at KSU 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%−2.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−6.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:38KSU 4th & 17 at KSU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55KU 4th & 8 at KSU 27, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−6.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:49KSU 4th & 12 at KU 28, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.5%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    72.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−7.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:46KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.0%−4.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:14KU 4th & 4 at KSU 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−5.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:23KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 39, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:29KU 4th & 17 at KU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−10.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:02KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.4%−5.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:46KU 4th & 5 at KU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.7%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 11:59KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:48KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:57KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:46KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:46KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.9%
Peyton Bender sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
69.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
69.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
69.9%
Kyle Thompson punt for 27 yds, downed at the KanSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2MISSED FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:0070% → 70%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
69.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Zach Reuter for 12 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
69.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 4 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
69.8%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Zach ReuterSimilar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
69.8%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+53
69.6%
Andrew Hicks 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
69.3%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
69.2%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
69.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 6 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
69.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
69.2%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-1
69.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
69.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
68.8%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
68.7%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+2
68.6%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+61
68.5%
Devin Anctil punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 11 , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:5632% → 32%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
68.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+22
68.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Wyatt Hubert) to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Pooka Williams Jr., broken up by Da'Quan PattonSimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
68.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
67.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+5
68.4%
Thompson, Kyle punt 27 yards to the KS33, downed, PENALTY KS roughing the kicker (Parker, AJ) 5 yards to the KU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
67.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 32 yds, downed at the KanSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
68.4%
Alex Delton sacked by Bryce Torneden for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Bryce Torneden) to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+10
69.0%
Alex Barnes run for 10 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
68.9%
Devin Anctil punt for 39 yds, downed at the Kans 2Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
68.5%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
68.9%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
69.5%
Alex Delton pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 3 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
69.5%
Alex Delton run for 4 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
69.4%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7FG
21 plays · 94 yds · 9:4033% → 38%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
67.5%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+10
67.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 10 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
67.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 5 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+10
67.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 10 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
66.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
66.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+12
66.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Caperton Humphrey for 12 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
65.6%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
65.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 6 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
65.5%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+11
65.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 11 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
65.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
65.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
62.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+5
63.7%
Rui, Gabriel field goal attempt from 35 GOOD, clock 07:49, PENALTY KS roughing the kicker (Parker, AJ) 5 yards to the KS13, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
62.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the KanSt 9Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+5
62.7%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
63.5%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+21
61.6%
Gabriel Rui 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
62.4%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
62.1%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalvin Warmack for 7 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
61.5%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 18 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
64.4%
Dalvin Warmack run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 5
50
0
64.9%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Zach ReuterSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 5
50
-12
64.4%
Alex Delton sacked by Joe Dineen Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the KanSt 38 KANSAS ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Alex Delton) to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 17
OWN 38
0
61.4%
Devin Anctil punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9END OF HALF
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:2938% → 39%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
62.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 26 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
59.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+10
58.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
57.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
57.6%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 15
OPP 38
-7
58.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 45 Pooka Williams Jr. fumbled, forced by Justin Hughes,Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 22
OPP 45
-5
61.0%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (Peyton Bender) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 27
50
+10
61.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0047% → 44%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
52.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
52.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
54.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 8
OPP 27
-9
56.4%
Peyton Bender sacked by Chase Johnston for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 2:0459% → 72%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
58.6%
Alex Barnes run for 18 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
61.3%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+11
61.3%
Alex Barnes run for 11 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
62.4%
Alex Delton run for 6 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+24
72.4%
Alex Barnes run for 24 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1131% → 53%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
68.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+21
68.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 21 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
65.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
65.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+9
65.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 9 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
63.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 22 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
63.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 9Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
47.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 9 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4654% → 76%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.4%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
54.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Abdul Beecham) to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+20
54.1%
Alex Delton run for 20 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
57.6%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
57.6%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Blaise GammonSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+15
54.5%
Alex Delton pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 15 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
58.9%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+8
59.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 8 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
60.3%
Alex Delton run for 7 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+11
60.3%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the Kans 22 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (J.J. Holmes) to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
60.3%
Alex Delton run for 9 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
76.4%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, ( Yards) declined (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0076% → 71%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
76.4%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-10
76.4%
Delton, Alex rush for 8 yards to the KU18 (Dineen, Joe), PENALTY KS holding (Frantz, Scott) 10 yards to the KU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 20
OPP 36
-3
74.1%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 23
OPP 39
+11
72.7%
Alex Delton pass complete to Alex Barnes for 11 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 12
OPP 28
0
71.3%
Colby Moore pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 3:0331% → 55%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
69.2%
Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+65
45.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 65 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
50.0%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
53.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 8 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
53.5%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
54.8%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber, broken up by Shakial TaylorSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
53.6%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
52.0%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the KanSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
39.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
38.7%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
39.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
42.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
46.5%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+12
46.2%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 12 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
47.3%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
51.2%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-2
49.7%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
45.4%
Devin Anctil punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kans 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · -7 yds · 0:0064% → 60%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
36.2%
Herbert, Khalil rush for 74 yards to the KS8 (Parker, AJ), PENALTY KU holding (Clark, Malik) 9 yards to the KU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 19
OWN 9
-4
37.0%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Malik Clark) to the Kans 5Similar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 23
OWN 5
-2
37.0%
Williams, Pooka rush for 60 yards to the KS35, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KU holding (Fontana, Alex) 2 yards to the KU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 25
OWN 3
-2
37.0%
KANSAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-2 Yards) to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 27
OWN 1
+6
37.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 21
OWN 7
0
37.5%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 21
OWN 7
+4
39.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 17
OWN 11
0
40.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks III at the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:1642% → 89%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
41.7%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
40.2%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-1
42.2%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+3
39.8%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+28
44.3%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 28 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
88.6%
Alex Delton run for 21 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22FUMBLE
14 plays · 26 yds · 2:1325% → 21%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
75.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
75.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
74.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker, broken up by Lance RobinsonSimilar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+10
77.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 10 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
72.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 7 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+9
69.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 9 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
76.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 6 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
74.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson, broken up by AJ ParkerSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+6
76.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 6 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
78.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
79.5%
Peyton Bender run for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 34 Peyton Bender fumbled, recovered by KanSt Bronson Massie KANSAS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the KanSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:46
Alex Delton run for 21 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
+44.2
TD · Q4 14:46
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 65 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-24.1
TD · Q3 7:48
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 9 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-16.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com