Try the model
TCU

TCU 26 at Kansas 27

KU
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · Liam Jones kickoff for 13 yds , La'Kendrick Van Zandt return for 2 yds to the Kans 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:17: Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 7 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +17.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:36: Michael Collins run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +14.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:28: Gabriel Rui 34 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +8.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:38: Michael Collins run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +24.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:13: Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +39.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:18TCU 4th & 1 at KU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    75.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:44KU 4th & 1 at KU 10, up 7
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:49TCU 4th & 8 at KU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:44KU 4th & 9 at KU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:03TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:16KU 4th & 14 at TCU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:25KU 4th & 24 at KU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:28KU 4th & 7 at TCU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−11.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:58KU 4th & 7 at TCU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−13.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:24KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:47TCU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:17KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:36TCU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:38TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:13KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3621% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
21.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 13 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
21.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
21.0%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+5
21.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 5 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
21.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 8 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
22.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
22.7%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
22.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
22.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+11
22.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 11 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2DOWNS
15 plays · 84 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
25.4%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+23
25.4%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 8 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
25.1%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+6
25.0%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
24.9%
Darius Anderson run for 14 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
24.7%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-1
24.6%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+16
25.0%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 16 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
24.6%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 8 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+2
24.6%
Michael Collins run for 2 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
24.6%
Michael Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
24.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
24.9%
Michael Collins run for 6 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
25.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
30.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 2Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
30.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 3Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 8
OWN 3
-1
30.2%
Herbert, Khalil rush for 9 yards to the KU12 (Scott, Vernon), PENALTY KU holding (Clark, Malik) 1 yards to the KU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+8
30.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
30.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:1268% → 69%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
31.7%
Darius Anderson run for 7 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+13
31.3%
Darius Anderson run for 13 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
30.8%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 6 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+11
30.6%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 11 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
30.6%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
30.6%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Kyron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
31.4%
Michael Collins pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for no gain to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
30.9%
Jonathan Song 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
32.0%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-2
31.8%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+3
31.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
30.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 49 yds, downed at the TCU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
32.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+13
31.7%
Michael Collins pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
31.1%
Taye Barber run for 1 yd to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
31.3%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jarrison StewartSimilar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
31.9%
Michael Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
33.0%
Adam Nunez punt for 26 yds, downed at the Kans 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 0:3935% → 35%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
35.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+3
35.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Takulve Williams for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+9
35.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
36.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+20
35.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 20 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
38.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
38.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-5
37.3%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
36.1%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
35.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 2:1462% → 72%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+21
37.7%
Michael Collins pass complete to Tevailance Hunt for 21 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
36.8%
Darius Anderson run for 7 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
35.6%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+6
36.4%
Michael Collins pass complete to Cole Novak for 6 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
35.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+56
27.6%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 56 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:1333% → 29%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
32.9%
Peyton Bender run for 3 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-7
32.8%
Peyton Bender sacked by Ben Banogu for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 14
50
-10
29.6%
Peyton Bender sacked by Ben Banogu for a loss of 10 yards to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 24
OWN 40
0
29.0%
Kyle Thompson punt for 46 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for no gain to the TCU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:1071% → 71%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
29.4%
Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 1
OWN 23
0
28.4%
Michael Collins run for no gain to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+9
29.3%
Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
28.4%
Michael Collins run for 9 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+6
28.6%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 6 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
28.8%
Michael Collins pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 25 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.6%
Darius Anderson run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
30.7%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Ni'Jeel MeekingSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
31.6%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Taye Barber, broken up by Corione HarrisSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+3
32.6%
Andrew David punt for 54 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:4232% → 54%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
32.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
33.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
31.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 4 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
32.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
34.9%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+31
32.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 31 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
36.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+22
36.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 15 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Vernon Scott) to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
36.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 13:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
36.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
54.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 7 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 3:3650% → 71%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
49.6%
TCU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 14Similar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+8
49.9%
Michael Collins pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 8 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
49.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+11
50.4%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
48.4%
Collins, M. pass incomplete to Austin, Jaelan, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Austin, Jaelan) 15 yards to the TCU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+5
49.9%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+17
50.3%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 17 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+10
46.5%
Michael Collins pass complete to Taye Barber for 10 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+40
45.3%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 40 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
43.7%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Daniel Wise) to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.9%
Michael Collins run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:0835% → 48%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
35.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 20 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
38.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
37.0%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+34
35.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 34 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
41.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
41.4%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the TCU 17Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
39.4%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Pooka Williams Jr., broken up by Ridwan IssahakuSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
47.5%
Gabriel Rui 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
42.2%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 3 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+2
42.3%
Michael Collins pass intercepted Keith Loneker Jr. return for 2 yds to the TCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4453% → 57%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
52.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
52.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 1 yd to the TCU 10Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-5
50.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the TCU 5 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Steven Sims Jr.) to the TCU 15Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+5
50.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q4 14:58
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
56.5%
Gabriel Rui 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2045% → 76%
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
55.2%
Michael Collins sacked by Isi Holani for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 18Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
56.0%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+19
57.7%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 19 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
53.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+7
50.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
49.8%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+26
53.9%
Michael Collins run for 11 yds to the KANSAS 42 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
47.7%
Michael Collins pass complete to Taye Barber for 24 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
47.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the Kans 3Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
47.7%
Michael Collins pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q4 10:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.7%
Michael Collins run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:1933% → 75%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
33.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+1
33.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+8
31.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 8 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
33.7%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+27
33.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 27 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
38.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-2
38.4%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 40Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+12
35.2%
Peyton Bender run for 12 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
74.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19FUMBLE
10 plays · 63 yds · 0:0037% → 46%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
63.0%
Michael Collins run for 2 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+17
62.5%
Michael Collins pass complete to Taye Barber for 17 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
57.7%
Darius Anderson run for 12 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
57.1%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+15
56.6%
Michael Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 15 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
54.4%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+5
58.4%
Michael Collins run for 5 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+11
57.7%
Michael Collins pass complete to Taye Barber for 11 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
54.4%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Kans 7 Darius Anderson fumbled, recovered by Kans KeyShaun SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20SF
12 plays · -7 yds · 1:1088% → 93%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
88.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+10
89.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 10 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
90.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+1
90.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-1
90.5%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 8
OWN 21
-5
89.6%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 16Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 13
OWN 16
-16
92.5%
Peyton Bender run for a loss of 16 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:13
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+39.6
TD · Q4 10:38
Michael Collins run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)
-24
TD · Q3 9:17
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 7 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com