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OKST

Oklahoma State 48 at Kansas 28

KU
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-3.9KU 4.8%Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 34 - HOME 14 · Q3 7:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:25 · Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−34.0Pregame prior−15.7Score differential−16.0Garbage-time factor−6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:55: Pooka Williams Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +7.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:34: Justice Hill run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +7.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:04: Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 31 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +10.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:22: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +4.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:19: Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 22 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +7.4 pts (now 9%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 6:49KU 4th & 7 at OKST 35, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.5%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:49OKST 4th & 1 at KU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−0.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:34KU 4th & 11 at KU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:05OKST 4th & 16 at KU 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:05KU 4th & 10 at KU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:40OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:24KU 4th & 7 at KU 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:35OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:34KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:25OKST 4th & 2 at KU 12, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−5.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:25KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:37OKST 4th & 11 at KU 49, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:04KU 4th & 3 at OKST 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:04OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 48, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:50KU 4th & 6 at KU 10, down 13
    Close callPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:38KU 4th & 9 at KU 26, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:21OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:07OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:54KU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:34OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:55KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:34OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:04KU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:22OKST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:19KU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:38OKST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3985% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.5%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
15.5%
King, J.D. rush for loss of 1 yard to the OSU27 (Wise, Daniel), PENALTY KU substitution infraction (Hampton, Quan) 5 yards to the OSU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
15.5%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
15.5%
Justice Hill run for 11 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
15.5%
Justice Hill run for 12 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
15.5%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
15.5%
J.D. King run for no gain to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-10
15.5%
Hill, Justice rush for 4 yards to the KU29 (Jeremiah McCullough), PENALTY OSU holding (Carter, Logan) 10 yards to the KU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+21
15.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 21 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
15.5%
Justice Hill run for 11 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
16.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:3217% → 18%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
16.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
16.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
16.8%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+23
16.8%
Steven Sims Jr. run for 23 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
17.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+2
17.0%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
17.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+52
17.8%
Gabriel Rui 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:4283% → 85%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
17.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
17.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 10 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
17.1%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
17.1%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+3
17.1%
Taylor Cornelius run for 3 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
17.3%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
15.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 42 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:1316% → 21%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
15.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 21 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
16.3%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-7
16.3%
Carter Stanley sacked by Justin Phillips for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+5
15.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 14
OPP 48
+15
15.8%
Thompson, Kyle punt 23 yards to the OSU25, out-of-bounds, PENALTY OSU roughing the kicker (Bernard,Jarrick) 15 yards to the OSU33, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
16.5%
Carter Stanley run for 11 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
16.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
20.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 20 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 1:1181% → 85%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
19.3%
Justice Hill run for 13 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
19.1%
Justice Hill run for 15 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
18.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+64
15.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 64 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.9%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.9%
Carter Stanley run for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
16.0%
Carter Stanley sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
15.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Landon Wolf at the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:2486% → 88%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
14.4%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+15
14.4%
Justice Hill run for 15 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
14.4%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+11
14.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 11 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+27
14.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 27 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
14.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.4%
Taylor Cornelius run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
14.5%
Cornelius, Taylor pass incomplete to Woods, Jelani, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Woods, Jelani) 15 yards to the KU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
14.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for no gain to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
12.3%
Matt Ammendola 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
13.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 10 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
14.0%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
13.8%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
13.7%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
13.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
11.7%
Cornelius, Taylor pass incomplete to Carter, Logan, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Carter, Logan) 15 yards to the OSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 25
OWN 22
0
12.0%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 25
OWN 22
+16
12.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 16 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+4
11.7%
Taylor Cornelius run for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
12.0%
Zach Sinor punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:2313% → 13%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
13.1%
Williams, Pooka rush for 9 yards to the KU25 (Harper, Devin), PENALTY KU holding (Feder, Kevin) 8 yards to the KU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+6
13.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
13.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II, broken up by Jordan BrailfordSimilar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+5
12.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+10
12.9%
Kyle Thompson punt for 46 yds , Landon Wolf returns for 10 yds to the OKSt 29 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:3889% → 89%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
11.2%
Cornelius, Taylor pass complete to Wallace, Tylan for 13 yards to the OSU48 (Harris, Corione), PENALTY OSU holding (Woods, Jelani) 10 yards to the OSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 20
OWN 25
0
11.3%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+1
11.0%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+11
11.2%
Justice Hill run for 11 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
10.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
12.3%
Carter Stanley sacked by Mike Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0512% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
12.1%
Carter Stanley run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
12.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
12.1%
Stanley, Carter pass complete to Sims, Steven for 7 yards to the KU37 (Green, A.J.), PENALTY OSU holding (Mwaniki, Thabo) 10 yards to the KU40, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
19.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2181% → 90%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.9%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+56
18.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 56 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
17.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jelani Woods for 5 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
9.8%
Justice Hill run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
11.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
11.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
11.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 45 yds, downed at the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:0390% → 95%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
10.3%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
10.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+17
10.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 17 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+39
9.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 39 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
9.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 7 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+2
9.2%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 1
OPP 11
-1
8.7%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 12Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
4.8%
Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
7.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
7.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
7.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
7.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
3.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted Elmore Hempstead Jr. return for 21 yds to the Kans 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
6.7%
Carter Stanley run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 4
50
+5
6.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
6.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+5
7.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
7.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Takulve Williams for 2 yds Takulve Williams fumbled, forced by Justin Phillips, recovered by OKSt Justin PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
2.7%
Justice Hill run for 20 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
2.4%
J.D. King run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 12
50
0
2.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Elmore Hempstead Jr.Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 12
50
+1
2.5%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
2.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:524% → 15%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
3.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
4.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
4.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+18
4.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 18 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
4.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
4.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
3.8%
Carter Stanley sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+4
3.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 4 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-15
3.7%
Stanley, Carter pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter for 8 yards to the OSU29 (Bernard,Jarrick), PENALTY KU personal foul (Clark, Malik) 15 yards to the KU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 48
+21
3.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 21 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+31
14.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 31 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
8.5%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
8.5%
Cornelius, Taylor pass incomplete to Johnson,Braydon, PENALTY KU pass interference (Defense, Hasan) 15 yards to the OSU41, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
7.9%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
7.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 1 yd to the OKSt 48 to Braydon Johnson for 1 yd to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
8.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
8.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 46 yds, downed at the Kans 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
11.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+1
11.0%
Carter Stanley run for 1 yd to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 6
OWN 10
0
10.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete KANSAS Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 6
OWN 10
+19
10.8%
Kyle Thompson punt for 46 yds , Tylan Wallace returns for 19 yds to the Kans 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:5795% → 99%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
5.4%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+10
5.4%
Taylor Cornelius run for 10 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
5.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 10 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
5.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
1.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:551% → 9%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
1.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
1.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+22
1.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Quan Hampton for 22 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
1.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 11 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
1.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
1.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Pooka Williams Jr., broken up by Devin HarperSimilar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+22
8.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 22 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 1:4197% → 100%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
2.8%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
2.8%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+21
1.9%
Justice Hill run for 21 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
1.8%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
0.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 13 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.8%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
0.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
0.7%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-6
0.7%
Carter Stanley sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
0.3%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 15
OPP 25
-5
0.3%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:04
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 31 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q3 12:34
Justice Hill run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-7.8
TD · Q4 4:19
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 22 yds for a TD (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com