Try the model
KU

Kansas 31 at Central Michigan 7

CMU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:49 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:11: Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 31 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +8.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:13: Pooka Williams Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +14.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:58: Pooka Williams Jr. run for 41 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +10.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:09: Tony Poljan pass complete to Jamil Sabbagh for 31 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK) — CMU win probability +8.3 pts (now 22%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:44: Tony Poljan pass intercepted for a TD Shakial Taylor return for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +12.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 6 at KU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:03CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:13KU 4th & 12 at KU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:35CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:37KU 4th & 21 at KU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:38CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 5 at KU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:00CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:32KU 4th & 2 at KU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:31CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:11CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:10KU 4th & 10 at CMU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:05KU 4th & 7 at CMU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−7.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:05CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:09KU 4th & 1 at CMU 45, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−5.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%−3.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:44CMU 4th & 8 at KU 43, down 21
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:23KU 4th & 4 at CMU 47, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:52KU 4th & 7 at CMU 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:28KU 4th & 19 at CMU 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 5:11KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:13KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:58KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:09CMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:44KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
46.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
46.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
46.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
46.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
46.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete KANSAS Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
46.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
47.0%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
47.0%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Brandon Childress for 9 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
47.0%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
47.1%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
47.1%
Tony Poljan run for no gain to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+15
47.0%
Jack Sheldon punt for 35 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 15 yds to the CENTMICH 44 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Kans 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
47.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 8 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
47.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 3 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
47.2%
Bender, Peyton pass incomplete, PENALTY KU holding (Wallace, Dwayne) 10 yards to the KU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+7
47.6%
Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+1
47.5%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
47.6%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
47.8%
Kyle Thompson punt for 56 yds , Jamil Sabbagh returns for no gain to the CMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
48.0%
Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 3
OWN 13
-5
48.0%
Tony Poljan run for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 8Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+5
47.6%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 5 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
47.4%
Jack Sheldon punt for 49 yds, downed at the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
47.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
47.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
47.6%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
47.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Caperton Humphrey for 2 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-5
47.4%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+3
48.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-11
48.0%
Peyton Bender sacked by Sean Adesanya for a loss of 11 yards to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 21
OWN 38
0
48.9%
Kyle Thompson punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
49.7%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
49.7%
Tony Poljan pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 5 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
49.9%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Keegan Cossou for no gain to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
49.0%
Jack Sheldon punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kans 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
48.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+3
48.1%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
48.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
48.9%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+8
49.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 8 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
49.4%
Kyle Thompson punt for 31 yds, downed at the CMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
50.6%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Jamil SabbaghSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
50.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 8 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
51.2%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 40Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
50.3%
Jack Sheldon punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
49.3%
Kerr Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 21Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
49.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
49.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
48.9%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
49.4%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+10
50.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Takulve Williams for 10 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
49.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
51.5%
Tony Poljan run for 1 yd to the CMich 19Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+6
51.4%
Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 3
OWN 25
-7
50.8%
Tony Poljan sacked by Keith Loneker Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 18Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+10
49.7%
Jack Sheldon punt for 43 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 10 yds to the Kans 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:1954% → 63%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
46.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Luke Idoni) to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
45.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
45.5%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+31
37.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 31 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
40.1%
GWILLY, K. rush for 4 yards to the CMU30 (Lee, Mike), PENALTY CMU holding (CARR, Shakir) 10 yards to the CMU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+4
39.6%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Brandon Childress for 4 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+6
39.6%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 6 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+6
38.8%
Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+43
39.1%
Jack Sheldon punt for 43 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 2:4263% → 66%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
36.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 16 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
35.0%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+15
35.1%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 15 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
34.6%
Kendrick, Miles rush for 5 yards to the CMU38 (BRISSON-FAST, N;FOUNTAIN, Malik), PENALTY KU holding (Clark, Malik) 5 yards to the CMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+3
35.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-5
35.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 17
50
+7
36.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
34.4%
Kyle Thompson punt for 40 yds, downed at the CMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
37.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Brandon Childress for 16 yds Brandon Childress fumbled, forced by Shakial Taylor, recovered by Kans Bryce TornedenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4267% → 65%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
33.0%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
33.0%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
33.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson, broken up by Trevor ApseySimilar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
35.1%
Gabriel Rui 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
37.4%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Brandon ChildressSimilar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
37.3%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for no gain to the CMich 21Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-11
36.0%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cameron Cole) to the CMich 10Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 21
OWN 10
+10
36.0%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Jamil Sabbagh for 10 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
35.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5166% → 82%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
34.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 20 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
32.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
32.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
32.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
32.4%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
32.5%
Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+4
32.9%
Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
18.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
Q3 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
18.3%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18INT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
24.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+2
23.1%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
23.5%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Jonathan WardSimilar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+1
23.0%
Tony Poljan pass intercepted Joe Dineen Jr. return for 1 yd to the Kans 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:3282% → 92%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
18.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 11 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
8.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 41 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4911% → 22%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 1 yd to the CMich 26Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
11.4%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Damon Terry for 17 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
12.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+15
12.5%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 15 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
13.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for no gain to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
12.9%
Tony Poljan run for 10 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
14.1%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+31
22.4%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Jamil Sabbagh for 31 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
16.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
16.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 3 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
16.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Takulve WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
16.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
16.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
15.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+4
15.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 4 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+4
15.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 4 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
16.9%
Kyle Thompson punt for 36 yds , Jamil Sabbagh returns for no gain to the CMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22INT TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:3216% → 5%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
16.0%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 15 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
16.5%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
16.7%
Tony Poljan pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 3 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+7
16.5%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 7 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
17.3%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Jonathan WardSimilar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
16.8%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+55
4.6%
Tony Poljan pass intercepted for a TD Shakial Taylor return for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23PUNT
13 plays · 34 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
4.5%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
4.5%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Cameron ColeSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+12
4.5%
Tony Poljan run for 12 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
4.6%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Cameron ColeSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
4.5%
Tony Poljan run for 10 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
4.7%
Tony Poljan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
4.7%
Tony Poljan run for 10 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
4.9%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 7 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
5.2%
Tony Poljan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
5.2%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Brandon ChildressSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 3
OPP 38
-5
5.0%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (Derek Smith) to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
4.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
2.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 22 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
2.4%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
2.4%
Miles Kendrick run for 3 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+2
2.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
2.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 32 yds, downed at the CMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
2.6%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Brandon ChildressSimilar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
2.5%
Tony Poljan pass intercepted Ricky Thomas return for no gain to the CMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:2498% → 99%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
1.6%
Herbert, Khalil rush for 4 yards to the CMU39 (ADESANYA, Sean), PENALTY KU holding (Robinson, Jalan) 10 yards to the KU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+13
1.6%
Miles Kendrick run for 13 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
1.6%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
1.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
1.0%
Donovan Gagen punt for 33 yds , Jonathan Ward returns for no gain to the CMich 7 Jonathan Ward fumbled, recovered by Kans Denzel FeasterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27FG
5 plays · -12 yds · 2:1499% → 99%
Q4 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the CMich 7Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
0.9%
KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the CMich 17Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+1
0.9%
Miles Kendrick run for 1 yd to the CMich 16Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
-3
0.9%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 19Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+36
0.6%
Gabriel Rui 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 28INT
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
1.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 6 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+18
1.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 18 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
1.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Brandon Childress for 6 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+15
1.2%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 15 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
1.4%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 3 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
1.4%
Tony Poljan pass intercepted Jeremiah McCullough return for 1 yd to the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.5%
Deron Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
0.5%
Deron Thompson run for 15 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.4%
Deron Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+11
0.4%
Deron Thompson run for 11 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 14
OWN 48
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:13
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-14.4
TD · Q4 14:44
Tony Poljan pass intercepted for a TD Shakial Taylor return for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-12.2
TD · Q3 8:58
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 41 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com