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NICH

Nicholls 26 at Kansas 23

KU
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGFGTDSAFETYTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
OT 0:00 · Chase Fourcade run for 4 yds for a TD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:50: Kendall Bussey run for 40 yds for a TD, (Lorran Fonseca KICK) — NICH win probability +20.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 4:26: Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Steven Sims Jr. pass to Mavin Saunders for Two-Point Conversion) — KU win probability +42.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 0:47: Lorran Fonseca 43 yd FG GOOD — NICH win probability +27.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Gabriel Rui 41 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +16.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Chase Fourcade run for 4 yds for a TD — NICH win probability +59.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10NICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:34NICH 4th & 2 at NICH 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:00KU 4th & 6 at NICH 37, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:56NICH 4th & 4 at NICH 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:14KU 4th & 2 at KU 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:06NICH 4th & 7 at KU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:06KU 4th & 8 at KU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:09NICH 4th & 6 at NICH 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:11KU 4th & 26 at KU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:55NICH 4th & 10 at NICH 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:26KU 4th & 6 at NICH 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    64.0%−2.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:08NICH 4th & 7 at KU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:47KU 4th & 10 at KU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−3.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:50KU 4th & 13 at KU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−2.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:16NICH 4th & 12 at NICH 37, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−4.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:56KU 4th & 14 at NICH 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    35.6%−1.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:49NICH 4th & 3 at NICH 28, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−1.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:48KU 4th & 16 at KU 39, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−3.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:47NICH 4th & 9 at KU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−14.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−22.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2NICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:29NICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:34KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:50NICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:26KU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.1 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    66.0%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
71.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
71.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
71.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 44 yds, downed at the NicSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:1829% → 32%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
70.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr.Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
70.9%
Dontrell Taylor run for 8 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+19
70.9%
Dontrell Taylor run for 19 yds to the NicSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
70.8%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Kendall Bussey for 10 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
70.8%
Kendall Bussey run for 10 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
70.8%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
70.8%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 6 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+10
70.8%
Kendall Bussey run for 10 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
68.4%
Dontrell Taylor run for 15 yds for a TD, (Lorran Fonseca KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:5569% → 70%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
68.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
68.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 8 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
69.1%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
69.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+14
68.9%
Peyton Bender run for 14 yds to the NicSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
69.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson, broken up by Darren EvansSimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
69.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 3 yds to the NicSt 44Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-5
69.3%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NicSt 49Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+15
69.0%
Peyton Bender run for 15 yds to the NicSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
69.5%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
69.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 8 yds to the NicSt 26Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+24
69.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 24 yds to the NicSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
69.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the NicSt 1Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.6%
Bender, Peyton pass incomplete to Fairs, Evan (Evans, Darren), PENALTY NICH pass interference (Evans, Darren) 0 yards to the NICH1, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
69.6%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 2Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
68.5%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Stefano Guarisco for 7 yds to the NicSt 42Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-3
67.9%
Chase Fourcade run for 2 yds to the NicSt 44 NICHOLLS ST Penalty, illegal forward pass (Chase Fourcade) to the NicSt 39Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-5
68.5%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, false start (Chase Fourcade) to the NicSt 34Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+9
69.1%
Kendall Bussey run for 9 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
68.7%
Winston Jones punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:4269% → 70%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
68.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+2
68.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Mavin Saunders for 2 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+9
68.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
68.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 10 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
68.9%
Dom Williams run for 23 yds to the NicSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
69.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
69.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the NicSt 37Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
69.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+54
69.7%
Gabriel Rui 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:0431% → 31%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.9%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 5 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
68.5%
Dontrell Taylor run for 3 yds to the NicSt 33Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
68.6%
Chase Fourcade run for 4 yds to the NicSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
68.4%
Dontrell Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 36Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+3
68.8%
Chase Fourcade run for 3 yds to the NicSt 39Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+4
68.5%
Chase Fourcade run for 4 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
68.9%
Winston Jones punt for 39 yds, downed at the Kans 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
69.1%
Miles Kendrick run for 4 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+8
69.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Evan Fairs for 8 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
69.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
69.6%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr. KANSAS Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+4
68.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Dom Williams for 4 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
68.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 8FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:3831% → 39%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
68.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the NicSt 21Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
68.8%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+55
69.6%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 55 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
65.0%
Chase Fourcade run for 10 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
65.0%
Fourcade, Chase pass complete to Jeanpiere, Damion for 2 yards to the KU12 (Defense, Hasan), PENALTY NICH ineligible downfield on pass (Houston, Eddie) 5 yards to the KU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+2
65.3%
Chase Fourcade run for 2 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+6
65.4%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to David Mosley for 6 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
65.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean DixonSimilar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
61.5%
Lorran Fonseca 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
65.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Mavin Saunders) to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
65.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 7 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-14
65.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the Kans 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kans Peyton BenderSimilar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+14
64.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 14 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+23
63.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NicSt 35 , Damion Jeanpiere Jr. returns for 23 yds to the NicSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr., broken up by Brian LipscombSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
61.4%
Dontrell Taylor run for 4 yds to the NicSt 39Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
60.8%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean Dixon, broken up by Shakial TaylorSimilar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
62.3%
Winston Jones punt for 40 yds, downed at the Kans 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+31
64.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 31 yds to the NicSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
67.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
67.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 10 yds to the NicSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
68.0%
Peyton Bender sacked by Sully Laiche for a loss of 7 yards to the NicSt 45Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 17
OPP 45
-9
66.4%
Peyton Bender sacked by Evan Veron for a loss of 9 yards to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 26
OWN 46
0
64.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 26
OWN 46
0
63.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
61.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
61.8%
Kendall Bussey run for a loss of 3 yards to the NicSt 20Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
62.3%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr., broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+3
63.4%
Kendall Bussey run for 3 yds to the NicSt 23Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+21
64.2%
Winston Jones punt for 48 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 21 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0068% → 65%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
50
+4
67.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 4 yds to the NicSt 46Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
68.2%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the NicSt 46Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
67.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Darren EvansSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+16
65.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Damion Jeanpiere Jr. at the NicSt 15 KANSAS Penalty, kick catching interference (DeAnte Ford) to the NicSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
61.0%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 5 yds to the NicSt 35Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
59.8%
Dontrell Taylor run for 2 yds to the NicSt 37Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+12
60.2%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 12 yds to the NicSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
58.2%
Dontrell Taylor run for no gain to the NicSt 49Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
58.8%
Chase Fourcade run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
58.5%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean DixonSimilar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
61.3%
Winston Jones punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
63.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+5
63.4%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
63.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-8
63.3%
Peyton Bender sacked by Evan Veron for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 13Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 18
OWN 13
+8
61.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 8 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
61.0%
Kyle Thompson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Damion Jeanpiere Jr. at the NicSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 17TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:4143% → 65%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
57.1%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the NicSt 44Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
56.8%
Chase Fourcade run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 2
50
+2
56.3%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
55.7%
Kendall Bussey run for 6 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
55.3%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+40
34.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 40 yds for a TD, (Lorran Fonseca KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
41.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
43.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 18 yds to the NicSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
45.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
44.9%
Peyton Bender run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 46 Peyton Bender fumbled, recovered by Kans Peyton BenderSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+7
40.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Stephon Robinson for 7 yds to the NicSt 47Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 8
OPP 47
-5
40.7%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (Kyle Thompson) to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
39.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 40 yds, downed at the NicSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 19SF
7 plays · -12 yds · 3:1264% → 60%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
35.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the NicSt 13Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+3
36.3%
Kendall Bussey run for 3 yds to the NicSt 16Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+7
37.1%
Kendall Bussey run for 7 yds to the NicSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
33.8%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
34.0%
Kendall Bussey run for no gain to the NicSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+6
35.1%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 6 yds to the NicSt 29Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
39.8%
TEAM run for no gain for a SAFETY TEAM fumbled, recovered by NicSt for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0042% → 47%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
42.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 23 yds to the NicSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
46.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the NicSt 36Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-11
46.7%
Peyton Bender sacked by Kevin Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the NicSt 39 Peyton Bender fumbled, recovered by NicSt Kenny Dotson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0066% → 61%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
33.6%
Kendall Bussey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 38Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-1
34.8%
Kendall Bussey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 37Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
37.4%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean DixonSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
38.8%
Winston Jones punt blocked by Stephon Robinson blocked by Stephon RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:5545% → 35%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
45.3%
Peyton Bender run for 1 yd to the NicSt 37Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
45.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
44.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 9
OPP 37
-5
36.6%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NicSt 42Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
34.8%
Donovan Gagen punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Damion Jeanpiere Jr. at the NicSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
31.4%
Kendall Bussey run for 5 yds to the NicSt 15Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+2
31.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the NicSt 17Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+4
32.8%
Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the NicSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
31.1%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean Dixon, broken up by Corione HarrisSimilar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
31.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 6 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+1
31.0%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the NicSt 28Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+5
33.4%
Winston Jones punt for 32 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 5 yds to the Kans 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0034% → 27%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
33.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
32.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-6
30.3%
Peyton Bender sacked by Sully Laiche for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
26.8%
Kyle Thompson punt for 47 yds , Damion Jeanpiere Jr. returns for no gain to the NicSt 10 Damion Jeanpiere Jr. fumbled, recovered by Kans Kyron JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:2338% → 79%
Q4 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
37.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the NicSt 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kans Khalil HerbertSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 22
+7
35.9%
Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the NicSt 15Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
78.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Steven Sims Jr. pass to Mavin Saunders for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 26FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 3:3932% → 55%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
67.8%
Chase Fourcade sacked by Kyron Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the NicSt 18Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+15
68.9%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Kendall Bussey for 1 yd to the NicSt 19 KANSAS Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (Joe Dineen Jr.) to the NicSt 33Similar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
65.7%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 25 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
60.3%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 4 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
59.3%
Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+7
59.4%
Kendall Bussey run for 7 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
57.2%
Kendall Bussey run for no gain to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
58.5%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Stefano Guarisco, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+1
61.0%
Dontrell Taylor run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
45.3%
Lorran Fonseca 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Stephon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-7
55.6%
Peyton Bender sacked by Laryon James for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28FG
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
64.7%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 26Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+5
64.5%
Bender, Peyton pass incomplete to Fairs, Evan, PENALTY NICH offside defense (Ollie, Ronald) 5 yards to the NICH21, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
64.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-3
62.4%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 3 yards to the NicSt 24Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
79.0%
Gabriel Rui 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 29TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.9%
Kendall Bussey run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
72.9%
Chase Fourcade run for 13 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
70.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the Kans 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
70.9%
Fourcade, Chase pass incomplete to Jeanpiere, Damion, PENALTY KU pass interference (Defense, Hasan) 5 yards to the KU5, 1ST DOWN NICH, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
70.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the Kans 4Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.8%
Chase Fourcade run for 4 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Chase Fourcade run for 4 yds for a TD
-59.1
TD · Q4 4:26
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Steven Sims Jr. pass to Mavin Saunders for Two-Point Conversion)
+42.7
FG · Q4 0:47
Lorran Fonseca 43 yd FG GOOD
-27.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com