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ISU

Iowa State 10 at Texas 24

TEX
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:24 · Corey Dunn punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEXAS 30 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Texas 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Pregame prior+12.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:53: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 19 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +6.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:02: Cameron Dicker 22 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +3.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:20: Shane Buechele pass complete to Andrew Beck for 11 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST down — TEX win probability +3.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:36: Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 27 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:33: David Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +2.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:24ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:00ISU 4th & 10 at TEX 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    40.4%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:53TEX 4th & 8 at ISU 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−4.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:15ISU 4th & 18 at ISU 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:02TEX 4th & 1 at ISU 5, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%−2.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−7.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:43TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:25ISU 4th & 9 at TEX 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:40ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:22TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 32, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:29ISU 4th & 21 at ISU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:14TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:26ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:16TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 17, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ISU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 8:50TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:53TEX Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:36TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:33ISU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:3137% → 37%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
63.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
63.0%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
63.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 8 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
62.9%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
62.8%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-2
62.9%
Brock Purdy sacked by Anthony Wheeler for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 37Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+43
63.1%
Corey Dunn punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEXAS 30 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:3063% → 66%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
62.5%
Tre Watson run for 9 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 19
OPP 29
+35
62.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 35 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
63.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 2 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
63.5%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+13
63.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 13 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
63.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+14
63.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 14 yds to the IowSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
63.6%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 7Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
65.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:1535% → 37%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
64.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 5 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+13
64.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 13 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
64.5%
Johnnie Lang run for 14 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
64.2%
Brock Purdy run for 8 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
64.1%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+2
64.6%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
64.2%
Brock Purdy sacked by Caden Sterns for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+1
64.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+4
63.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 4 yds to the Texas 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:1264% → 64%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
63.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 7 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
64.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
64.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
64.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-7
64.1%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Jamahl Johnson and JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:3536% → 37%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
63.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
63.8%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+25
64.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 25 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
62.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 3 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+8
62.4%
Johnnie Lang run for 8 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
62.3%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
62.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Matthew EatonSimilar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
62.8%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
63.3%
Corey Dunn punt for 35 yds, downed at the Texas 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 5:0063% → 73%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
63.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+4
63.2%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+20
63.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 20 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
64.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 9 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+9
65.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 9 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
65.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+20
65.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 20 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
66.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 4 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
66.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
73.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 19 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7INT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5229% → 28%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
70.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 12Similar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 15
OWN 12
-1
71.3%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 11Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 16
OWN 11
0
71.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 16
OWN 11
0
72.3%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Chris Brown return for no gain to the IowSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:0274% → 74%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
73.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 10 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
74.1%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+10
73.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 10 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
74.4%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
74.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
74.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the IowSt 10Similar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
73.5%
Cameron Dicker 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:3227% → 24%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
72.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+10
73.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 10 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+24
74.4%
Kene Nwangwu run for 24 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
72.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-8
73.2%
Brock Purdy sacked by Breckyn Hager for a loss of 8 yards to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 18
OWN 45
0
75.3%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 18
OWN 45
0
76.2%
Corey Dunn punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10DOWNS
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:0575% → 81%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
75.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 2 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
75.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
76.2%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+39
76.9%
Tre Watson run for 39 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
79.5%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+7
79.5%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+8
79.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 8 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-11
79.9%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Lawrence White for a loss of 11 yards to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 21
OPP 25
+7
79.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 7 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 14
OPP 18
+13
78.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 13 yds to the IowSt 5 Sam Ehlinger fumbled, forced by Anthony Johnson, recovered by Texas Chris BrownSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+22
80.6%
Cameron Dicker 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 4:0582% → 84%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
82.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+6
82.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
82.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
83.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+14
83.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 14 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
84.3%
Shane Buechele sacked by Matt Leo for a loss of 10 yards to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+3
84.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 17
OWN 41
+8
84.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 8 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
83.6%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 44 yds, downed at the IowSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 6:1316% → 14%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
84.3%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+4
84.1%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
84.2%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 20 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 10Similar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 18
OWN 10
+1
84.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 11Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 17
OWN 11
+16
85.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 16 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+5
84.4%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+37
84.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 37 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
82.4%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+1
82.8%
Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+5
84.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for 5 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 4
OPP 25
-5
85.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+48
86.2%
Connor Assalley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:4489% → 98%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
89.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Andrew Beck for 11 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
89.9%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
90.1%
Tre Watson run for 8 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
92.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Tre Watson for 6 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+6
92.2%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
92.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
92.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 3 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+27
98.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 27 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:452% → 2%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
98.0%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 22Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
98.0%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
98.1%
Corey Dunn punt for 55 yds, downed at the Texas 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1398% → 99%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
98.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Texas 24Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
98.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Andrew Beck for 5 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+3
98.5%
Shane Buechele run for 3 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 12:22
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 42 yds, downed at the IowSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:432% → 1%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
98.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 9 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+8
98.4%
David Montgomery run for 8 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
98.5%
Brock Purdy sacked by Gary Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 38Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 15
OWN 38
-10
98.6%
Brock Purdy sacked by B.J. Foster for a loss of 10 yards to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 25
OWN 28
+4
98.7%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 21
OWN 32
+7
98.8%
Corey Dunn punt for 61 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 7 yds to the Texas 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 4:1099% → 99%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
98.7%
Shane Buechele run for 8 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+1
98.8%
Shane Buechele run for 1 yd to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
98.9%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.0%
Shane Buechele run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 24 Shane Buechele fumbled, recovered by Texas Shane BuecheleSimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
99.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 7 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:401% → 1%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
99.3%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 20 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.3%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.3%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Tarique Milton for 1 yd to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-3
99.3%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 12
OWN 41
+51
99.4%
Corey Dunn punt for 43 yds, downed at the TEXAS 16 TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the Texas 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0499% → 100%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.3%
Daniel Young run for 5 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
99.4%
Daniel Young run for no gain to the Texas 13Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+4
99.5%
Daniel Young run for 4 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+47
99.5%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 yds , Tarique Milton returns for 47 yds to the TEXAS 36 TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (-7 Yards) to the Texas 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:361% → 3%
Q4 2:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.4%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Texas 4Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.7%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.5%
Daniel Young run for no gain to the IowSt 43 Daniel Young fumbled, recovered by IowSt Willie HarveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · -20 yds · 0:122% → 2%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.6%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
97.6%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-20
97.7%
Kyle Kempt sacked by Joseph Ossai for a loss of 20 yards to the IowSt 23 Kyle Kempt fumbled, forced by Joseph Ossai, recovered by Texas Charles Omenihu , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:53
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 19 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q3 0:36
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 27 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+5.1
FG · Q2 0:02
Cameron Dicker 22 yd FG GOOD
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com