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WVU

West Virginia 14 at Iowa State 30

ISU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:05 · Billy Kinney punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior−13.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:24: Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +4.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:21: Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 19 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +8.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:58: Connor Assalley 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kenny Bigelow Jr. Derrek Pitts Jr. return for 72 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +12.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:45: David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 25 — ISU win probability +8.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:17: Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 32 yds for a TD (Brock Purdy pass to Matthew Eaton for Two-Point Conversion) — ISU win probability +16.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:05WVU 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:48ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:38WVU 4th & 20 at WVU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:38ISU 4th & 1 at WVU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:17WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:25WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:00WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 22, down 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:58ISU 4th & 9 at WVU 22, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−6.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:19ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 42, up 6
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:28WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:06ISU 4th & 7 at WVU 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−6.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:21WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:22ISU 4th & 11 at WVU 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 32, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:28ISU 4th & 19 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−1.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:47WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:24ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:13ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:21ISU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:17ISU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    88.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4564% → 63%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+19
36.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 19 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
36.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
36.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 5 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-6
36.4%
Will Grier sacked by Spencer Benton for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 8
50
0
36.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0237% → 37%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
37.0%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
37.1%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
37.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Matthew EatonSimilar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+14
37.1%
Corey Dunn punt for 65 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 14 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0063% → 62%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
37.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 16 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
37.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
37.3%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 4 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-16
37.5%
Will Grier sacked by Greg Eisworth for a loss of 16 yards to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
38.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
38.5%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Dravon Askew-Henry return for 3 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:3563% → 65%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
37.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 26 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
37.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+1
37.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 18Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
35.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 18 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:1036% → 41%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
36.0%
Brock Purdy run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
50
+1
36.8%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+8
36.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 8 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
36.9%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+37
36.5%
David Montgomery run for 37 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
41.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4860% → 59%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
39.6%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 17Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+1
39.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+3
40.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 3 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
40.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 32 yds, downed at the IowSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:4842% → 47%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
42.0%
David Montgomery run for 24 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
42.7%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 31 Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by IowSt Brock PurdySimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+11
42.8%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
42.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
43.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 17 yds to the WVirg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.3%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3755% → 53%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
45.0%
Will Grier run for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-12
44.6%
Will Grier sacked by Braxton Lewis for a loss of 12 yards to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 22
OWN 24
0
45.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 22
OWN 24
+9
46.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 9 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+21
47.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds , Tarique Milton returns for 21 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:3749% → 60%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
49.3%
Kene Nwangwu run for 12 yds to the IOWAST 47 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 8
OWN 43
+1
49.6%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+18
50.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 18 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
50.6%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+25
50.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 12 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
51.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 4 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-10
51.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 16
OPP 19
0
52.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Landen AkersSimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 16
OPP 19
+19
60.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 19 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1742% → 39%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-10
58.0%
Will Grier sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 3Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 20
OWN 3
+9
59.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 9 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+10
60.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 10 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
61.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:5263% → 57%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
63.0%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+12
62.5%
David Montgomery run for 12 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
64.4%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-5
64.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+1
64.3%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+38
64.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 38 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
68.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for no gain to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
68.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 1 yd to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
68.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+72
56.8%
Connor Assalley 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kenny Bigelow Jr. Derrek Pitts Jr. return for 72 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1657% → 59%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
57.0%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
58.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 6 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
58.4%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
58.8%
Corey Dunn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:4042% → 40%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
58.1%
Will Grier run for 15 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
57.2%
Will Grier sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+1
58.3%
Will Grier run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
59.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
59.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
59.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:4459% → 61%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
58.6%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
58.8%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
58.4%
Brock Purdy run for 8 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
60.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 11 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
62.3%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+23
61.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 23 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
63.4%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
64.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
62.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
60.7%
Connor Assalley 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:3943% → 40%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
56.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 10 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
55.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
56.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
57.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings Jr.Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
60.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
15 plays · 43 yds · 5:5361% → 65%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
61.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 15 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
62.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
61.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 11 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
64.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+2
62.3%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+15
62.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
66.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Kene Nwangwu for 11 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
67.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 25
OWN 45
-1
65.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 44Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 26
OWN 44
+8
64.8%
Brock Purdy run for 8 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 18
OPP 48
-5
63.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 23
OWN 47
-5
64.5%
IOWA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 42Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 28
OWN 42
+17
64.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 17 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
64.6%
Corey Dunn punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings Jr. at the WVirg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1238% → 36%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
61.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+5
61.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
62.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 20
OWN 13
-3
62.6%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 23
OWN 10
+21
63.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 21 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
62.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
63.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 49 yds, downed at the IowSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:2872% → 95%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
71.8%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+1
72.3%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+19
71.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 19 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
77.6%
David Montgomery run for 21 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
79.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+32
95.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 32 yds for a TD (Brock Purdy pass to Matthew Eaton for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:0612% → 11%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
87.6%
Will Grier sacked by Marcel Spears Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
89.4%
Will Grier pass intercepted D'Andre Payne return for no gain to the IowSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 3:1996% → 97%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
96.0%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-2
96.1%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+15
96.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Keith Washington) to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
96.6%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
96.7%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-15
96.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 17
OPP 48
-2
96.7%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 19
50
0
96.6%
Corey Dunn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23SF
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:088% → 4%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
92.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 11 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
92.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 12
OWN 17
-7
93.1%
Will Grier sacked by Mike Rose for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 10Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 19
OWN 10
-5
93.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 5Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 24
OWN 5
-5
95.6%
Will Grier sacked by Spencer Benton for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24Uncategorized
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:4198% → 99%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
98.2%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+10
98.5%
David Montgomery run for 10 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
98.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
98.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-1 Yards) to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 11
OPP 40
-7
98.8%
David Montgomery run for 8 yds to the IowSt 40 IOWA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 18
OWN 45
+4
99.0%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+2
99.0%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:17
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 32 yds for a TD (Brock Purdy pass to Matthew Eaton for Two-Point Conversion)
+16
TD · Q2 2:58
Connor Assalley 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kenny Bigelow Jr. Derrek Pitts Jr. return for 72 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)
-12
TD · Q2 9:21
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 19 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com