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Baylor 14 at West Virginia 58

WVU
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2018 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.6WVU 86.1%Evan Staley 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 13 · Q2 13:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:21 · Evan Staley 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense+7.0Pregame prior+23.9Score differential+3.9Blowout margin−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Garbage-time factor+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 13:21: Evan Staley 47 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +3.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:23: Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 25 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +5.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:40: Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 65 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +4.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:09: Will Grier run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:52: Josh Fleeks run for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Martin KICK) — BAY win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8BAY made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:22BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35WVU 4th & 3 at BAY 27, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50WVU 4th & 8 at BAY 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:53WVU 4th & 8 at BAY 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:32BAY 4th & 13 at BAY 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:21WVU 4th & 25 at BAY 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:25BAY 4th & 20 at BAY 15, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:32WVU 4th & 3 at BAY 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    86.8%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:13BAY 4th & 13 at BAY 22, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:57BAY 4th & 5 at BAY 48, down 34
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:37BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 49, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:20WVU 4th & 10 at BAY 27, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:32BAY 4th & 13 at WVU 20, down 44
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:14WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 30, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:50BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 22, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:26WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 44, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:52BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 35, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BAY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:10WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:23WVU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:40WVU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:11WVU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:09WVU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:52BAY Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:34WVU Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:23BAY Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:53WVU Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3782% → 82%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.8%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
81.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 13 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
81.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 53 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2818% → 18%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
81.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
81.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
81.8%
Drew Galitz punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 4:2782% → 82%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
81.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+11
81.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 11 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
81.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+12
81.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 12 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
81.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
82.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
82.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
82.1%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jordan Williams) to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
82.2%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
82.2%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 7 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
82.1%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the Bayl 27Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
81.9%
Evan Staley 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:4818% → 19%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
81.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 12 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
81.4%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
81.1%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Keith Washington return for 1 yd to the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:2582% → 82%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
82.1%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 17 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
82.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
82.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 13 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
82.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
82.2%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
82.1%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
81.9%
Evan Staley 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by James LynchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:2219% → 19%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
81.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
81.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the Bayl 24Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+22
81.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Marques Jones for 22 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+52
81.3%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Toyous Avery Jr. return for 42 yds to the WESTVIR 12 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Bayl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FG
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:0782% → 82%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
82.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 23 yds to the Bayl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
82.4%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the Bayl 10Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
82.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the Bayl 8Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q1 2:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
82.2%
Evan Staley 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0718% → 17%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
82.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 14 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
81.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
81.7%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 42Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-6
81.9%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Jovanni Stewart for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 36Similar
Q1 0:32
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
82.6%
Drew Galitz punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:5382% → 86%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
82.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 9 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+5
82.7%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 5 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+42
82.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 42 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
83.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the Bayl 15Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
83.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Dominique MaidenSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-15
82.5%
Will Grier sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 15 yards to the Bayl 30Similar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 25
OPP 30
+47
86.1%
Evan Staley 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3815% → 14%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.0%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 24Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
85.3%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 23Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-8
85.6%
Charlie Brewer sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 15Similar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
85.7%
Drew Galitz punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:3988% → 93%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
87.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for 8 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
87.7%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
87.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-2
87.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 39Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+7
87.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 7 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+7
87.4%
Will Grier run for 7 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
93.0%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 25 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:558% → 7%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.3%
John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
92.3%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Ezekiel Rose for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 22Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
92.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
92.6%
Drew Galitz punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:2393% → 97%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
92.8%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+65
97.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 65 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
96.9%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Shea Campbell return for 2 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:0897% → 98%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.3%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
97.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 33 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:522% → 2%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.7%
Jalan McClendon run for 9 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
97.5%
Jalan McClendon run for 9 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
98.3%
Jalan McClendon run for no gain to the Bayl 43Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+5
98.4%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 5 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
98.5%
Drew Galitz punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:0998% → 99%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+79
98.2%
Tevin Bush run for 79 yds to the Bayl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Will Grier run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:171% → 1%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
98.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for 14 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
98.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the WESTVIR 45 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 45Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 14
OWN 45
0
98.8%
Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+4
99.0%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 4 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
99.0%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for no gain to the Bayl 49Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+26
99.2%
Drew Galitz punt for 41 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WESTVIR 10 BAYLOR Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Jairon McVea) to the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1599% → 99%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 14:20
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
99.1%
Evan Staley 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:411% → 1%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.1%
Jalan McClendon run for 9 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
99.0%
JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.1%
Jalan McClendon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Hakeem Bailey) to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.2%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
99.2%
Jalan McClendon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+14
99.2%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 14 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
99.4%
Jalan McClendon run for 8 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+7
99.4%
JaMycal Hasty run for 7 yds to the WVirg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Josh Fleeks run for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 9 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+4
99.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+20
99.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 20 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-15
99.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Matt Jones) to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 25
OWN 49
+1
99.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 24
50
+31
99.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 31 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the Bayl 15Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+13
99.6%
Leddie Brown run for 10 yds to the Bayl 5 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Williams) to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:530% → 0%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 8 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-4
99.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 29Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
99.7%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 9 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.7%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Chris Platt for 15 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.7%
Jalan McClendon run for 7 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+17
99.7%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 17 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-6
99.8%
Josh Fleeks run for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 16
OPP 29
+11
99.8%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+17
99.8%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Denzel Mims for 17 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Jalan McClendon run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:08100% → 100%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
99.8%
Jack Allison pass complete to David Sills V for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 36Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+36
99.8%
Jack Allison pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 36 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:580% → 0%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 15 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
99.9%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Chris Platt for 23 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
99.9%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to John Lovett for 18 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
Jalan McClendon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-5
99.9%
John Lovett run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 20 John Lovett fumbled, recovered by Bayl Jalan McClendonSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 13
OPP 20
-6
99.9%
Jalan McClendon sacked by Exree Loe for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Jack Allison pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 2 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (Billy Kinney) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Pooh Stricklin at the Bayl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Jalan McClendon sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 19 yards to the Bayl 1 Jalan McClendon fumbled, recovered by Bayl Trestan Ebner , return for 2 yds to the Bayl 3Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 27
OWN 3
+12
99.9%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Denzel Mims for 12 yds to the Bayl 15Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 7 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Drew Galitz punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Druw Bowen at the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Jack Allison pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 7 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-1
99.9%
Jack Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 44 Jack Allison fumbled, recovered by WVirg Jack AllisonSimilar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 50 yds, downed at the Bayl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
100.0%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 4Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 12
OWN 4
+23
100.0%
Trestan Ebner run for 23 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Josh FleeksSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Bayl 27Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 8 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Drew Galitz punt for 38 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for 3 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30Uncategorized
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Lorenzo Dorr run for 1 yd to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Lorenzo Dorr run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:23
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 25 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 6:40
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 65 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
+4.3
FG · Q2 13:21
Evan Staley 47 yd FG GOOD
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com