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BAY

Baylor 33 at Oklahoma 66

OU
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-3OU 94.5%Connor Martin 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 28 · Q2 0:03
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:03 · Connor Martin 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior+25.0Home team on offense+13.9Score differential+5.3Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.5Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:36: Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +4.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:22: Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK) — BAY win probability +4.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:37: Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 86 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:06: Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK) — BAY win probability +5.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:09: Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 50 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +4.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4BAY made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:44OU 4th & 9 at OU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:20BAY 4th & 22 at BAY 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:33OU 4th & 4 at OU 29, up 8
    Close callPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:09BAY 4th & 16 at BAY 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:35BAY 4th & 2 at OU 49, down 15
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:12BAY 4th & 1 at OU 41, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:11BAY 4th & 10 at OU 40, down 22
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:37OU 4th & 8 at OU 22, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03BAY 4th & 6 at OU 15, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:59BAY 4th & 22 at BAY 25, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:45BAY 4th & 10 at OU 22, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:29BAY 4th & 1 at OU 20, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:29BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 36, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:20OU 4th & 3 at BAY 9, up 30
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:16BAY 4th & 6 at OU 26, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9BAY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:58OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:38OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:42BAY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    9.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:51OU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:36OU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:22BAY Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:37OU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:06BAY Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:09OU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:01OU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:08OU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 5:12BAY Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 4:59OU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:0892% → 91%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.7%
Austin Kendall run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
91.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 24Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
91.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
91.6%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
91.5%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
91.4%
Austin Seibert punt for 50 yds , Chris Platt returns for no gain to the Bayl 10 Chris Platt fumbled, recovered by Okla Curtis BoltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:2391% → 92%
Q1 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
91.4%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd to the Bayl 9Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
91.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 2:259% → 9%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 9 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-10
91.3%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 24Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
91.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 7 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-10
91.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 21Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-8
91.2%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 13Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
91.2%
Drew Galitz punt for 44 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:3091% → 92%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
91.2%
Kyler Murray run for 3 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
91.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 9 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
91.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 7 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+8
91.1%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
91.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 30 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:348% → 11%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 2 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
91.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
91.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
91.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 8 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
91.4%
JaMycal Hasty run for 4 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
50
+18
91.4%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
91.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Marques Jones for 8 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
91.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
91.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+10
90.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (10 Yards) to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
91.1%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-5
91.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Christoph Henle) to the Okla 13Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+13
89.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 13 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:5790% → 89%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
90.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 13Similar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+10
89.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 10 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
89.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+4
89.5%
Kyler Murray run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
89.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Chris Platt at the Bayl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:1610% → 10%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
89.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Bayl 21Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
89.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 13 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
89.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
89.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the Bayl 35Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-7
89.8%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Ronnie Perkins and Neville Gallimore for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 28Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 16
OWN 28
0
90.0%
Drew Galitz punt for 38 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:0689% → 92%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
89.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 9 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
89.7%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
89.6%
Kyler Murray sacked by Greg Roberts for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+22
88.9%
Kyler Murray run for 22 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
92.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:559% → 9%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.2%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Denzel Mims for 9 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
91.0%
John Lovett run for 9 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
91.1%
John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 44Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
91.1%
Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+7
91.2%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Denzel Mims for 7 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
91.0%
Drew Galitz punt for 32 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 1:4792% → 96%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
92.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
91.8%
Kyler Murray pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+11
91.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Myles Tease for 11 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+40
91.9%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 40 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
92.2%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+24
96.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11PUNT
15 plays · 35 yds · 3:204% → 4%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Marques Jones for 14 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
95.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
50
0
95.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 10
50
+5
95.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
95.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+1
95.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for no gain to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
95.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
95.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
95.9%
Drew Galitz punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2397% → 97%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.0%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
96.9%
Kyler Murray sacked by Greg Roberts for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 15Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+7
97.1%
Kyler Murray run for 7 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
97.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13END OF HALF
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:294% → 6%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
96.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+13
96.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 13 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
96.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 11 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
95.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 8 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+6
95.6%
Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-5
97.1%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Johncarlo Valentin) to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+5
97.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 5 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
94.5%
Connor Martin 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:336% → 11%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 14 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
93.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+9
93.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for 9 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
93.5%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
93.8%
John Lovett run for 6 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
94.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 7 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+5
93.5%
John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
93.7%
John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+15
93.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 15 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
93.7%
John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Okla 2Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
93.8%
John Lovett run for no gain to the Okla 2 John Lovett fumbled, recovered by BaylSimilar
Q3 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.1%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 89 yds · 0:3491% → 97%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
91.2%
T.J. Pledger run for 3 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
91.4%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+86
96.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 86 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:185% → 11%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
95.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 21 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
94.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 9 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+14
94.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 14 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
94.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
94.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 6 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+22
94.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 22 yds to the Okla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
94.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4592% → 97%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
91.9%
Kyler Murray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
91.4%
Kyler Murray run for 13 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.1%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to A.D. MillerSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
92.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 11 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
92.6%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 7
50
+50
97.4%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 50 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:064% → 4%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
95.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 12 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
95.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 5 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-10
95.7%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 32Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
96.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Trestan EbnerSimilar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 15
OWN 32
-7
96.1%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Drew Galitz punt for 40 yds, downed at the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:4298% → 100%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
97.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 11 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
97.7%
Kyler Murray run for 12 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
97.9%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Bayl 42Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-10
98.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+51
98.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Trey Sermon for 51 yds to the OKLAHOMA 1 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) ( Yards) to the Bayl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Kyler Murray 1 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 3:090% → 1%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
99.8%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Mark Jackson Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 17Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+5
99.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+30
99.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 15 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
99.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 14 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Josh Fleeks run for no gain to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+12
99.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 12 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
99.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal HastySimilar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
98.9%
Connor Martin 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 6 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.5%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
99.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 7 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+29
99.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Brayden Willis for 29 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:450% → 1%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 26 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 46Similar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 9 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+12
99.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for 12 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal HastySimilar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 5 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 4 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
99.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 49 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24FUMBLE
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 7 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh FleeksSimilar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 4 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 10
OWN 36
-5
100.0%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Caleb Kelly for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 31 Charlie Brewer fumbled, recovered by OklaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
100.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Bayl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
100.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Bayl 14Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 16Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+7
100.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Bayl 9Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
100.0%
Austin Seibert 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
100.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 45 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
100.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Abram Smith for 3 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Abram SmithSimilar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+1
100.0%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 6
OPP 26
-5
100.0%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Caleb Kelly for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:06
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)
-5.4
TD · Q3 9:37
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 86 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q3 10:22
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com