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MICH

Michigan 39 at Ohio State 62

OSU
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:08 · Drue Chrisman punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense+0.6Score differential−0.1Pregame prior−6.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:18: Johnnie Dixon 31 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:47: Nico Collins 23 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +9.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:41: Chris Evans 9 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MICH win probability +18.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:41: Sevyn Banks 33 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Blake Haubeil Kick) — OSU win probability +11.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:11: Nico Collins 12 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MICH win probability +10.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:26MICH 4th & 9 at MICH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:22MICH 4th & 2 at OSU 21, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:32OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51MICH 4th & 6 at OSU 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:08OSU 4th & 21 at OSU 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:07MICH 4th & 7 at OSU 47, down 1
    Close callPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:12MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 45, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00OSU 4th & 1 at MICH 1, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.0%−4.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−13.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:12OSU 4th & 11 at OSU 41, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−2.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:10MICH 4th & 9 at MICH 21, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:25OSU 4th & 2 at MICH 2, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.7%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−13.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:41MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 36, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 11:29OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:08OSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:18OSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:47MICH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:41MICH Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    49.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:41OSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:10OSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:11MICH Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:55OSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:35MICH Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:59OSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 5:26OSU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 3:16MICH Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2959% → 58%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
41.4%
Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 2
OWN 32
-7
41.7%
Shea Patterson sacked by Malik Harrison for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
41.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+23
42.0%
Will Hart punt for 55 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 23 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 1:4642% → 44%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
42.1%
Dwayne Haskins run for 9 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
42.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
42.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 16 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
42.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Demetrius Knox) to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+11
42.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Demario McCall for 11 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
43.1%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+24
44.2%
Chris Olave 24 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:5356% → 54%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
43.8%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
44.0%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 39Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
44.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 15 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
44.5%
Ben Mason run for 3 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
44.9%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+11
45.6%
Chris Evans run for 11 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
45.3%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
45.4%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+5
46.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 5 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
45.6%
Jake Moody 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:4346% → 45%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
45.7%
Haskins, Dwayne pass incomplete to Campbell, Parris, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Farrell, Luke) 10 yards to the OHIOST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
45.7%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
45.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
45.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Mike WeberSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
45.3%
Drue Chrisman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:3454% → 54%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
46.3%
Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mich 36Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
46.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 8 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
46.1%
Ben Mason run for 3 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
46.1%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Arnette, Damon) 15 yards to the OHIOST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
46.1%
Chris Evans run for 8 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 2
OPP 30
-5
45.4%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+8
46.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 8 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
45.5%
Shea Patterson run for 8 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+2
45.6%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
45.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Karan Higdon for 1 yd to the OhSt 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
46.1%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
46.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach GentrySimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
46.2%
Jake Moody 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:3447% → 46%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.1%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 1 yd to the OhSt 26Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-7
47.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 34 OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Malcolm Pridgeon) to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
46.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-5
46.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Terry McLaurin) to the OhSt 14Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
46.0%
Drue Chrisman punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4755% → 52%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
50
-6
45.3%
Shea Patterson sacked by Robert Landers for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 44Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+3
47.0%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+11
47.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 11 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-5
47.3%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Michael Onwenu) to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
48.2%
Will Hart punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:5449% → 60%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Mike WeberSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
49.4%
Dwayne Haskins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+6
49.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Luke Farrell for 6 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
50.1%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+12
49.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 12 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
51.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+27
51.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 27 yds to the Mich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
53.6%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
60.0%
Chris Olave 24 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4941% → 39%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
59.4%
Karan Higdon run for 15 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
58.7%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
58.6%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
59.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
61.4%
Will Hart punt for 34 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:4860% → 76%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
60.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 22Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-8
60.8%
Dwayne Haskins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 29 OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the OhSt 14Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+15
59.9%
Haskins, Dwayne pass incomplete to Olave, Chris, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Watson, Brandon) 15 yards to the OHIOST29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
61.1%
Dwayne Haskins run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+33
60.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 33 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
64.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
65.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 3 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+4
65.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
75.8%
Johnnie Dixon 31 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 2:1927% → 39%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
72.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 11 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
72.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 7 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+7
71.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 7 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
72.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
72.9%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 47Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+15
73.7%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Black, Tarik, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Arnette, Damon) 15 yards to the OHIOST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
71.0%
Shea Patterson run for 15 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
69.8%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
60.6%
Nico Collins 23 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
47.5%
Chris Evans 9 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13END OF HALF
13 plays · 74 yds · 0:3655% → 56%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.6%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
56.4%
Haskins, Dwayne pass incomplete to Victor, Binjimen, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Watson, Brandon) 10 yards to the OHIOST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
56.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Mike WeberSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
55.9%
Haskins, Dwayne pass incomplete to Dixon, Johnnie, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Long, David) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
57.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Mich 36Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+33
58.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Demario McCall for 33 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
58.1%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Mike Weber for 1 yd to the Mich 2Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
57.8%
Tate Martell run for 1 yd to the Mich 1Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
56.4%
Blake Haubeil 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:4359% → 58%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.0%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+18
57.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 18 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
61.7%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
61.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
59.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
58.1%
Drue Chrisman punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5543% → 40%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick EubanksSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
57.8%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 21Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
59.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Karan HigdonSimilar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+6
60.2%
Will Hart punt for 43 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 6 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:3762% → 71%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
62.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+9
62.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
63.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
63.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+31
64.3%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 31 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.4%
Tate Martell run for no gain to the Mich 5Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
65.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Mich 2Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
64.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the Mich 2Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
71.2%
Blake Haubeil 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17PUNT TD
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:3730% → 15%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
69.8%
Karan Higdon run for 14 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
69.6%
Chris Evans run for no gain to the Mich 22Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-3
71.9%
Shea Patterson sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 19Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+15
73.6%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to McCurry, Jake, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Wade, Shaun) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
71.2%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
71.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 1 yd to the Mich 36Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
73.7%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach GentrySimilar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+33
85.3%
Sevyn Banks 33 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4515% → 14%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
84.7%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 18Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
85.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach GentrySimilar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+4
86.2%
Shea Patterson pass intercepted Jordan Fuller return for 4 yds to the Mich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:2890% → 97%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+20
90.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 20 yds to the Mich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.5%
Mike Weber 2 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:514% → 13%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.9%
Tru Wilson run for 4 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
95.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 20 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
96.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 13 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
96.8%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Sheffield, Kendall) 15 yards to the OHIOST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
96.3%
Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 22Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+7
96.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 7 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
97.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 3 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.2%
Tru Wilson run for no gain to the OhSt 12Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
87.0%
Nico Collins 12 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
98.1%
Parris Campbell 78 Yd Run (Blake Haubeil Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 4:002% → 8%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
98.1%
Shea Patterson run for 6 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+6
98.1%
Chris Evans run for 6 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico CollinsSimilar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+24
98.3%
Karan Higdon run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
50
+11
98.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 11 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-6
98.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 4 yds to the OhSt 35 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake McCurry) to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 16
OPP 45
+15
98.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jordan Fuller) to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+11
98.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 11 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
98.2%
Patterson, Shea rush for loss of 5 yards to the OHIOST24, PENALTY OHIOST personal foul (Cooper, Jonathon) 15 yards to the OHIOST9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q4 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
98.3%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Chris Evans for 8 yds to the OhSt 1Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.9%
Ben Mason run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2895% → 99%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
94.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Luke Farrell for 10 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
94.8%
Dwayne Haskins run for 11 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+41
95.5%
Mike Weber run for 29 yds to the OHIOST 25 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Tyree Kinnel) to the Mich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
95.6%
Mike Weber run for 8 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+4
95.8%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Mich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:141% → 1%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+64
99.3%
Joe Milton pass intercepted Brendon White return for 49 yds to the Mich 4, OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Fuller) to the Mich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:4499% → 100%
Q4 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+1
99.4%
Dwayne Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 18Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+2
99.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Mich 16Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 26TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:020% → 1%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Tru Wilson run for 9 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Joe Milton pass complete to Sean McKeon for 2 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+43
100.0%
Joe Milton pass complete to Nico Collins for 43 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
100.0%
Tru Wilson run for 12 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Joe Milton run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.6%
Dwayne Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+14
99.6%
Mike Weber run for 14 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+23
99.7%
Mike Weber run for 23 yds to the Mich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.7%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Mich 7Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 10Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:41
Chris Evans 9 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-18.5
TD · Q3 4:41
Sevyn Banks 33 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Blake Haubeil Kick)
+11.6
TD · Q2 3:18
Johnnie Dixon 31 Yd pass from Dwayne Haskins (Blake Haubeil Kick)
+10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com