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PSU

Penn State 7 at Michigan 42

MICH
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:15 · Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mich 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:12: Shea Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +1.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:52: Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 23 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +4.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. SACK · Q2 0:29: Shea Patterson sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 15 — MICH win probability +2.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:56: Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 7 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +4.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:09: Tommy Stevens pass intercepted for a TD Brandon Watson return for 62 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 6PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:12PSU 4th & 24 at PSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:47PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:56MICH 4th & 2 at PSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:06PSU 4th & 5 at MICH 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:10MICH 4th & 4 at PSU 31, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:38MICH 4th & 2 at PSU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    80.0%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:10MICH 4th & 12 at PSU 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:54PSU 4th & 17 at MICH 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:10MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 29, up 14
    Close callPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:37PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 26, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:26MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 45, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:01PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:17PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:16PSU 4th & 2 at MICH 34, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6PSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:12MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:52MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:56MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:09MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:49MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:44MICH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:59PSU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:3320% → 20%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
80.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
50
0
79.9%
Miles Sanders run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
50
-6
79.7%
Trace McSorley sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 44Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 16
OWN 44
-8
79.6%
Trace McSorley sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 36Similar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 24
OWN 36
0
79.6%
Blake Gillikin punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:3880% → 81%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
79.5%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+10
79.4%
Karan Higdon run for 10 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+50
79.4%
Karan Higdon run for 50 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
79.6%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the PnSt 11Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
79.5%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the PnSt 8Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
79.3%
Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
79.3%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the PnSt 1Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.9%
Shea Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2520% → 20%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
80.1%
PENN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 20Similar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
80.2%
Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
80.1%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Brandon PolkSimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
80.3%
Trace McSorley run for 10 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
80.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:4480% → 80%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
80.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 11 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
80.7%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 41Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
80.6%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+8
80.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 8 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
80.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Karan HigdonSimilar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
80.9%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+3
80.5%
Ben Mason run for 3 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
80.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Zach GentrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3921% → 21%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
79.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 10 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
78.9%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
78.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
78.9%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
79.4%
Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, downed at the Mich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:4080% → 80%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
79.6%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 8Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+8
79.5%
Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+47
79.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 47 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
80.6%
Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
80.8%
Shea Patterson run for no gain to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
80.4%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+9
79.8%
Quinn Nordin 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nick Scott Garrett Taylor return for 9 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0221% → 22%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
79.2%
McSorley, Trace pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
50
-2
78.3%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 48 Trace McSorley fumbled, recovered by Mich Chase WinovichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8TD
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:4881% → 86%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
80.7%
Ben Mason run for 2 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+6
80.7%
Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
80.4%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
80.8%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
80.8%
Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+5
79.7%
PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the PnSt 29Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
79.8%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the PnSt 29Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+3
79.2%
Ben Mason run for 3 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
80.8%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+1
80.8%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the PnSt 23Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+23
85.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 23 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4186% → 86%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
86.0%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 22Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+3
86.0%
Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-7
85.4%
Trace McSorley sacked by Josh Uche for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 18Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 15
OWN 18
+28
85.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 48 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 28 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:2087% → 87%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
86.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 6 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
86.5%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 4
OPP 32
-3
86.2%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 7
OPP 35
-5
87.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 40Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
86.8%
Will Hart punt for 30 yds, downed at the PnSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:1214% → 14%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
85.7%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
85.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 9 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
86.1%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
85.9%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 22Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+19
86.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 19 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
85.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 20 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.9%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
84.2%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-7
85.1%
Trace McSorley sacked by Jordan Glasgow for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 46Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
86.2%
Blake Gillikin punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:2889% → 89%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
88.6%
Shea Patterson sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 15Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-2
88.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4088% → 87%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
87.8%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 24Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
87.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 5 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
87.7%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+1
87.3%
Will Hart punt for 45 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 27 PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the PnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2913% → 12%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
87.5%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
87.9%
Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the PnSt 21Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+5
88.2%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
88.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5189% → 89%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
88.9%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 37Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
89.0%
Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
89.3%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 45Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
89.0%
Will Hart punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5612% → 11%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
88.4%
Miles Sanders run for 1 yd to the PnSt 21Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
88.6%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
88.8%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+84
89.1%
Blake Gillikin punt for 74 yds for a touchback MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 6:4190% → 99%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
90.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 1 yd to the Mich 11Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
90.5%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 14Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+11
90.1%
Shea Patterson run for 11 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.9%
Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
91.1%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
91.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 7 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+19
90.5%
Karan Higdon run for 19 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
91.3%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
93.5%
Chris Evans run for no gain to the PnSt 35Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+24
93.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 24 yds to the PnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
94.1%
Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 7Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
98.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 7 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18INT TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:262% → 0%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
97.8%
Tommy Stevens run for 18 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+62
99.8%
Tommy Stevens pass intercepted for a TD Brandon Watson return for 62 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
Tommy Stevens run for 2 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.8%
Tommy Stevens run for 1 yd to the PnSt 31Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+26
99.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 48 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 26 yds to the Mich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Karan Higdon for 5 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
99.8%
Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
99.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mich 49Similar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+32
99.8%
Chris Evans run for 32 yds to the PnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
99.8%
Shea Patterson run for 13 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Ben Mason run for 2 yds to the PnSt 4Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
99.9%
Trace McSorley pass intercepted David Long return for 15 yds to the PnSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the PnSt 8Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+7
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:230% → 0%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Miles Sanders run for no gain to the PnSt 25Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 16 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Journey Brown for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 1
50
+8
99.9%
Journey Brown run for 8 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
99.9%
Tommy Stevens sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 18
50
+4
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 41Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 7 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+19
99.9%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 19 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 3 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+4
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the Mich 8Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24Uncategorized
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:52
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 23 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q3 0:56
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 7 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+4.7
SACK · Q2 0:29
Shea Patterson sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 15
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com