Try the model
WMU

Western Michigan 3 at Michigan 49

MICH
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Michigan Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:35 · Jon Wassink run for no gain to the WMich 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+36.1Home team on offense+16.4Score differential+14.3Blowout margin+5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Garbage-time factor+4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:05: Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 17 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — WMU win probability +0.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:11: Karan Higdon run for 67 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +0.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:52: Chris Evans run for 27 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +1.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:35: Chris Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:55: Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 44 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK) — MICH win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 14:20MICH 4th & 11 at MICH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:19WMU 4th & 9 at MICH 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:05WMU 4th & 7 at MICH 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%
    64% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 9 at MICH 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:02MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:35WMU 4th & 1 at MICH 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:55WMU 4th & 16 at MICH 37, down 35
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:17MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 39, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:28WMU 4th & 1 at MICH 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:44WMU 4th & 13 at MICH 19, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    77% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:21WMU 4th & 6 at MICH 39, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:03MICH 4th & 24 at MICH 39, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:30WMU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:30WMU 4th & 5 at MICH 44, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:51WMU 4th & 1 at MICH 31, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:34WMU 4th & 10 at MICH 18, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:05MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:11MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:52MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:35MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:55MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:21MICH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:51MICH Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:4096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
95.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 10 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
95.6%
MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+2
95.6%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+2
95.6%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
95.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for no gain to the Mich 37Similar
Q1 14:20
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+9
95.6%
Will Hart punt for 51 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 9 yds to the WMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+25
95.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 25 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
95.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
95.1%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
95.1%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
95.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 3:4795% → 95%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
94.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Ambry Thomas for 5 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+9
94.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 9 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
94.9%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
94.9%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+43
94.9%
Karan Higdon run for 43 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
94.9%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 17Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+17
94.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 17 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
94.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 7 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+2
94.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
94.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden ReedSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
94.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
94.4%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 7
OPP 26
0
94.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
95.2%
Karan Higdon run for 67 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
94.6%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
94.6%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+10
94.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 10 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
94.7%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
94.8%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+7
94.8%
Jon Wassink pass intercepted Noah Furbush return for 7 yds to the WMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:3995% → 96%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
95.0%
Karan Higdon run for 19 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+27
96.4%
Chris Evans run for 27 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:524% → 4%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
96.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+8
96.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
96.2%
Jon Wassink run for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+2
96.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+9
96.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 9 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
96.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-1
96.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
96.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+10
96.3%
TEAM punt blocked by Khaleke Hudson blocked by Khaleke Hudson Joe Hewlett return for 10 yds to the WMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2797% → 98%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
96.9%
Karan Higdon run for 9 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 1
OWN 15
0
96.7%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+1
96.7%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
96.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 12 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 2
OWN 2
+2
98.0%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
97.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Lavert Hill) to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
98.0%
Jon Wassink run for a loss of 10 yards to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 20
OPP 25
+15
98.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Khaleke Hudson) to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
98.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 9 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
97.9%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
97.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
98.0%
Jon Wassink run for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:0799% → 99%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
98.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+44
98.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 44 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
98.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
98.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+10
98.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 10 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
98.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Noah Furbush) to the WMich 48Similar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 5
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jayden Reed, broken up by Tyree KinnelSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
98.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-7
98.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 11
OPP 42
-5
99.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 16
OPP 37
0
99.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for no gain to the Mich 14 Donovan Peoples-Jones fumbled, recovered by Mich Donovan Peoples-JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.1%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 16Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+4
99.1%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+14
99.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 14 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.1%
Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 33Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+6
99.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Sean McKeon for 6 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeonSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+10
99.1%
Will Hart punt for 58 yds , Tyron Arnett returns for 10 yds to the WMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:321% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
99.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Odell Miller for 4 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 3 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
99.4%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to LeVante BellamySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+6
99.4%
Jon Wassink run for 6 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
99.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:39100% → 100%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+18
99.7%
Chris Evans run for 18 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
99.6%
Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Tru Wilson for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+40
99.7%
Quinn Nordin 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
99.6%
Jon Wassink sacked by Rashan Gary for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 19Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 13
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake HarrisSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 13
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 13
OPP 19
0
99.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for no gain to the Mich 49Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+27
99.7%
Chris Evans run for 27 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 9
OWN 9
+3
99.7%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+1
99.7%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the WMich 5Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 5
OWN 5
+5
99.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 5 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Jon Wassink run for 3 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 8 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 2
OPP 43
-1
99.8%
Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-3
99.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Chase Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 39Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Oliver MartinSimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+16
99.9%
Shea Patterson run for 16 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Tru Wilson run for 2 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-16
99.9%
Shea Patterson sacked by Alex Grace for a loss of 16 yards to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 24
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 24
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Will Hart punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 36 yds · 2:440% → 0%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 10 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Josh Uche) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
50
0
99.9%
Jon Wassink run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 1
50
+1
99.9%
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
100.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 5 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
99.9%
Tru Wilson run for 13 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.9%
Tru Wilson run for 9 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey sacked by Will McCabe for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Tru Wilson run for 8 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey run for 10 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
99.9%
Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Jake McCurry for 18 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 6:170% → 0%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
100.0%
Chase Brown run for 15 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+14
100.0%
Chase Brown run for 14 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
100.0%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the Mich 39Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+8
100.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 8 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
100.0%
Davon Tucker run for no gain to the Mich 31Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
100.0%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+10
100.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding (Ambry Thomas) to the Mich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
100.0%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Mich 17Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
100.0%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 9
OPP 17
-1
100.0%
Jon Wassink sacked by Jordan Anthony for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 18Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 10
OPP 18
-5
100.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 23Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+5
100.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Ambry Thomas) to the Mich 18Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
100.0%
Josh Grant 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
100.0%
Tru Wilson run for 17 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Tru Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
100.0%
O'Maury Samuels run for 4 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Berkley Edwards run for no gain to the Mich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:52
Chris Evans run for 27 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q2 9:35
Chris Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q1 4:11
Karan Higdon run for 67 yds for a TD (Quinn Nordin KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com