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MD

Maryland 3 at Penn State 38

PSU
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:01 · Wade Lees punt for 35 yds, downed at the PnSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Pregame prior+20.5Home team on offense+8.0Score differential+2.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:53: Joseph Petrino 26 Yd Field Goal — MD win probability +1.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 1:58: Trace McSorley 20 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick) — PSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:06: Jake Pinegar 25 Yd Field Goal — PSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Rafael Checa kickoff for 54 yds — MD win probability +2.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:10: Ricky Slade 8 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick) — PSU win probability +6.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 10:23MD 4th & 10 at MD 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:29PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:53MD 4th & 6 at PSU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:56MD 4th & 4 at PSU 42, down 11
    Close callPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:36PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:01MD 4th & 11 at MD 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:06PSU 4th & 7 at MD 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:41MD 4th & 15 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:45MD 4th & 5 at MD 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:29MD 4th & 3 at MD 42, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:55MD 4th & 7 at PSU 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:22MD 4th & 8 at MD 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:04MD 4th & 13 at MD 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:39PSU 4th & 8 at PSU 10, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:24PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:58PSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:10PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:24PSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:13PSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:2182% → 82%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+34
82.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 34 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+35
82.0%
Miles Sanders run for 35 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
82.0%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the Mary 3Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.3%
Trace McSorley 3 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:4718% → 18%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
82.1%
Taivon Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+5
82.0%
Anthony McFarland run for 5 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
82.0%
Anthony McFarland run for 6 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-1
81.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Robert Windsor for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
81.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 5
OWN 43
-5
82.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
82.0%
Wade Lees punt for 48 yds, downed at the PnSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4982% → 82%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
82.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
82.0%
Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
81.9%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Miles SandersSimilar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 5
OWN 19
-3
81.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds , Taivon Jacobs returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 4:3118% → 20%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
81.8%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+1
81.7%
Jeshaun Jones run for 1 yd to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+48
81.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 48 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
81.0%
Jeshaun Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 16Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+6
81.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 6 yds to the PnSt 10Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-5
81.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 15Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+6
81.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Darryl Jones for 6 yds to the PnSt 9Similar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
80.0%
Joseph Petrino 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4680% → 83%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
80.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Ricky Slade for 12 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.3%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+20
80.2%
Ricky Slade run for 5 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (15 Yards) to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
80.7%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
80.6%
Ricky Slade run for 12 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
80.8%
Ricky Slade run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+8
80.5%
Tommy Stevens run for 8 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
82.8%
Trace McSorley 20 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:4918% → 17%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
82.3%
Anthony McFarland run for 7 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+7
82.0%
Javon Leake run for 7 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
82.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 8 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+7
81.7%
Javon Leake run for 7 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
82.2%
Javon Leake run for 8 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-2
82.2%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
82.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
82.9%
Wade Lees punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:2084% → 84%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
83.7%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the PnSt 3Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 13
OWN 3
+8
83.7%
Miles Sanders run for 8 yds to the PnSt 11Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+9
83.8%
Trace McSorley run for 9 yds to the PnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
83.9%
Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
84.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 7 yds to the PnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
84.2%
Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
84.3%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
84.8%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+1
84.2%
Blake Gillikin punt for 49 yds , Taivon Jacobs returns for 1 yd to the Mary 40 MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (7 Yards) to the Mary 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:2716% → 14%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
84.4%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+11
84.1%
DJ Turner run for 11 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
84.0%
Pigrome, Tyrrell pass incomplete, PENALTY PENNST illegal use of hands 15 yards to the MARYLAND36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MARYLAND.Similar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
83.8%
Jeshaun Jones run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+4
85.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 4 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+2
85.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
85.7%
Wade Lees punt for 35 yds, downed at the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 3:4885% → 89%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
85.3%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the PnSt 30Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
85.2%
Trace McSorley run for 9 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
85.4%
Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
86.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
85.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+10
85.3%
McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Dotson, Jahan, PENALTY MARYLAND holding 10 yards to the MARYLAND45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
86.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Daniel George for 17 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
86.7%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Tommy StevensSimilar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+21
86.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 21 yds to the Mary 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
86.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ HamlerSimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
86.8%
Miles Sanders run for no gain to the Mary 7Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
87.1%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Jahan DotsonSimilar
Q2 2:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
88.5%
Jake Pinegar 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:1413% → 11%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
87.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 13 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dontay DemusSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
87.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 17 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
85.9%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 13
OPP 48
-2
87.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Kevin Givens for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 15
50
0
88.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 15
50
0
88.8%
Wade Lees punt for 35 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 65 yds · 0:3489% → 91%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
88.9%
Journey Brown run for 8 yds to the PnSt 23Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
88.9%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+4
88.6%
Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
89.4%
Trace McSorley run for 7 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+8
90.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 8 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST down lat. to KJ Hamler for 38 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0513% → 12%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
87.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Kevin Givens for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-2
88.1%
Javon Leake run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+8
88.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 8 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
88.1%
Wade Lees punt for 46 yds, downed at the PnSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:2689% → 97%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
88.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 12Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+22
89.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 22 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
89.3%
Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+11
89.8%
Miles Sanders run for 11 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
90.0%
Ricky Slade run for 9 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+5
90.0%
Ricky Slade run for 5 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
90.5%
Ricky Slade run for 12 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
90.6%
Miles Sanders run for 7 yds to the Mary 16 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Tre Watson) to the Mary 8 for a 1ST down. Tre Watson ejected for Targeting. Similar
Q3 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.8%
Ricky Slade 8 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:274% → 4%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
95.9%
Javon Leake run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+8
96.3%
Javon Leake run for 8 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
96.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
96.2%
Wade Lees punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:0497% → 97%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
96.7%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-7
96.8%
Trace McSorley sacked by Durell Nchami for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 17Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+17
96.8%
Trace McSorley run for 17 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
97.0%
Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+32
97.2%
Miles Sanders run for 32 yds to the Mary 28 Miles Sanders fumbled, recovered by Mary Antwaine RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16MISSED FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:173% → 2%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
96.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Cam Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 24 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, forced by Cam Brown, recovered by Mary Javon Leake , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+13
97.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 13 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
97.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
97.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
50
0
97.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Avery Edwards for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 10
50
+6
97.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus for 6 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+27
97.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Darryl Jones for 27 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.4%
Javon Leake run for no gain to the PnSt 17Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-5
97.7%
DJ Turner run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 22Similar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+8
98.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 8 yds to the PnSt 14Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
98.3%
Joseph Petrino 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2598% → 100%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.4%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 22Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+22
98.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 22 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+38
98.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 38 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
98.8%
Journey Brown run for 5 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+8
98.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 8 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Pat Freiermuth 5 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Javon Leake run for 1 yd to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus for 9 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
99.9%
Javon Leake run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Javon Leake for 4 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Wade Lees punt for 33 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
99.9%
Ricky Slade run for 7 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 9 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Ricky Slade run for 2 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
99.9%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to KJ Hamler for 20 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 18 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Ricky Slade run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Ricky Slade 1 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+4
99.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+20
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dontay Demus for 20 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Ayron Monroe for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 13
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 13
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Wade Lees punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
100.0%
Johnathan Thomas run for no gain to the PnSt 8Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
100.0%
Johnathan Thomas run for 2 yds to the PnSt 10Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 8
OWN 10
-5
100.0%
PENN ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 5Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+5
100.0%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Joe Arcangelo for 5 yds to the PnSt 10Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Blake Gillikin punt for 31 yds, downed at the PnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
100.0%
Tyler DeSue run for 7 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-3
100.0%
Tyler DeSue run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:10
Ricky Slade 8 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)
+6.2
TD · Q1 1:58
Trace McSorley 20 Yd Run (Jake Pinegar Kick)
+2.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Rafael Checa kickoff for 54 yds
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com