Try the model
TEM

Temple 35 at Maryland 14

MD
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · SECU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:37 · Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Marcus Lewis
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factor
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+18.2Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:33: Todd Centeio pass complete to Freddie Johnson for 36 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +2.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:38: Freddie Booth-Lloyd run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK) — TEM win probability +4.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:23: Anthony Russo pass intercepted for a TD Darnell Savage Jr. return for 23 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 8 (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +6.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:23: MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 8 — MD win probability +14.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:46: Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the Temp 30 — TEM win probability +16.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 10TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MD 4th & 13 at MD 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:38TEM 4th & 3 at MD 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:17MD 4th & 18 at MD 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:02TEM 4th & 21 at TEM 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:33MD 4th & 6 at TEM 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:33TEM 4th & 8 at MD 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:28MD 4th & 6 at MD 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:08TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:00MD 4th & 6 at MD 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:38TEM 4th & 1 at MD 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−7.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:31MD 4th & 2 at TEM 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:02MD 4th & 13 at MD 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:37TEM 4th & 13 at MD 29, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%−2.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−6.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:06MD 4th & 10 at MD 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00TEM 4th & 6 at MD 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    38.3%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−2.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:54MD 4th & 12 at TEM 26, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.8 ptsWent for it · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%−2.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    66.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−9.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:21TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−3.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:27TEM 4th & 7 at MD 46, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−5.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%−1.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:04MD 4th & 16 at MD 49, tied
    Numbers favored punt by 7.0 ptsWent for it · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%−7.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:36TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.6
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:33TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:38TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:23MD Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
88.2%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-5
88.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Avery Edwards) to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
88.2%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
88.2%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon Jacobs, broken up by Benny WallsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
88.2%
Wade Lees punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
87.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
87.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
87.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
87.8%
Connor Bowler punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-7
87.4%
Kasim Hill sacked by Michael Dogbe and Jimmy Hogan for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 13Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+4
87.4%
Kasim Hill pass complete to DJ Turner for 4 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 13
OWN 17
-5
87.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Mary 12Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 18
OWN 12
+2
87.3%
Wade Lees punt for 54 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 2 yds to the Temp 14 TEMPLE Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
86.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
86.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Antoine Brooks Jr.Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-9
86.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for a loss of 9 yards to the Temp 10Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
86.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 52 yds, downed at the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
86.4%
Anthony McFarland run for 14 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
86.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 6 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-9
86.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Zach Mesday for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 49Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+7
86.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 7 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
86.3%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Delvon Randall at the Temp 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6TD
10 plays · 95 yds · 3:0615% → 19%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
85.3%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 6Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+6
85.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 6 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+6
85.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Freddie Johnson for 6 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
85.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+44
85.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Freddie Johnson for 44 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
84.7%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
84.7%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
84.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+36
81.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Freddie Johnson for 36 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
81.4%
Kasim Hill sacked by Shaun Bradley for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 13
OWN 21
-5
81.4%
Kasim Hill sacked by Michael Dogbe for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 16 Kasim Hill fumbled, recovered by Mary Brendan Moore , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 18
OWN 16
+12
81.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 12 yds to the Mary 28 MARYLAND Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
81.0%
Wade Lees punt for 30 yds, downed at the Temp 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1821% → 21%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
79.2%
Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+3
79.1%
Isaiah Wright run for 3 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
79.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Tino EllisSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+45
78.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 45 yds , Taivon Jacobs returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
78.2%
Anthony McFarland run for 2 yds to the Mary 12Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-3
78.2%
Chigoziem Okonkwo run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 9Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+5
77.8%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Mary 14Similar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
77.6%
Wade Lees punt for 62 yds, downed at the Temp 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:0023% → 35%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
76.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 7 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+2
76.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+5
76.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
75.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 11 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
75.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-6
75.5%
Jeremy Jennings run for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+40
76.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 40 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
75.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 12 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
75.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 6:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.1%
Freddie Booth-Lloyd run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0064% → 66%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
64.1%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
63.9%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to DJ Turner, broken up by Jyquis ThomasSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+27
63.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to DJ Turner for 27 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
66.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to DJ Turner for 3 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
66.3%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
66.1%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Chigoziem Okonkwo, broken up by Delvon RandallSimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
66.0%
Wade Lees punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12INT TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3638% → 32%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
61.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+23
68.0%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted for a TD Darnell Savage Jr. return for 23 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 8 (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
82.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:1624% → 31%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
76.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+12
76.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 12 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
74.9%
Isaiah Wright pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
75.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+6
76.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 9
50
+25
75.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 25 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
69.9%
Rob Ritrovato run for 9 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
69.9%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
69.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+10
69.9%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 10 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
69.9%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.0%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
76.4%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5026% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
73.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 13 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
72.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
71.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
50
+3
71.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
70.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 47 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
76.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-5
76.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Brendan Moore) to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-1
75.5%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 13
OWN 27
0
74.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Karamo Dioubate for 0 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
74.0%
Wade Lees punt for 47 yds, downed at the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
71.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 9 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+3
69.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
70.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
50
+4
68.3%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
68.3%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
68.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+15
70.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (RaVon Davis) to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
67.1%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+1
68.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 13
OPP 29
0
70.0%
Rob Ritrovato run for no gain to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 13
OPP 29
0
72.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Marcus LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
72.7%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jahrvis Davenport, broken up by Linwood CrumpSimilar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
72.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for no gain to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
70.7%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
70.2%
Wade Lees punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 4:0333% → 37%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
67.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Chris Myarick for 23 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
63.4%
Rob Ritrovato run for 5 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
63.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+7
64.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 7 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
62.1%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
62.2%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
63.9%
Rob Ritrovato run for no gain to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+2
63.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 2 yds to the Mary 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
69.8%
Anthony McFarland run for 20 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
72.8%
Anthony McFarland run for 16 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
74.8%
Anthony McFarland run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
74.9%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Darryl Jones for 6 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
74.9%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-3
74.8%
Kasim Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 14
OPP 28
0
71.0%
Kasim Hill sacked by Michael Dogbe for 0 yards to the Temp 26 Kasim Hill fumbled, recovered by Mary Ellis McKennie , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 12
OPP 26
0
68.9%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon Jacobs, broken up by Rock Ya-SinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:3338% → 42%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
62.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+3
59.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for 3 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
60.8%
Rob Ritrovato run for 3 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
59.0%
Rob Ritrovato run for 3 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
58.7%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+27
58.5%
Connor Bowler punt blocked by Jesse Aniebonam blocked by Jesse Aniebonam Jesse Aniebonam return for 27 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4644% → 46%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
56.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 8 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
54.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
53.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-5
53.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+3
56.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
53.6%
Connor Bowler punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24INT TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:1060% → 65%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
60.0%
Kasim Hill pass complete to DJ Turner for 4 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, roughing passer (Quincy Roche) to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
62.8%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+34
62.2%
Anthony McFarland run for 34 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
68.0%
Anthony McFarland run for 5 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
68.0%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+78
65.4%
Kasim Hill pass intercepted for a TD Shaun Bradley return for 78 yds for a TD (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25INT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0060% → 67%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
59.7%
Anthony McFarland run for 13 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
63.0%
Anthony McFarland run for no gain to the Temp 40 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
65.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-6
65.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by William Kwenkeu for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 16
OWN 49
0
58.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 16
OWN 49
+19
57.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 19 yds to the MARYLAND 32 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
67.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted Linwood Crump return for no gain to the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1050% → 48%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
50.5%
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
50.8%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+3
51.4%
Rob Ritrovato run for 3 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
52.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Taivon Jacobs at the Mary 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:0059% → 61%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
58.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 8 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+10
61.4%
Ty Johnson run for 10 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-61.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:46
Rob Ritrovato run for 1 yd to the Temp 30
-16.8
TD · Q2 3:23
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 8
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com