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MD

Maryland 45 at Bowling Green 14

BGSU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:43 · Grant Tinnerman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior−28.2Home team on offense+3.2Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:33: Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 3 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 28%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:13: Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 29 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:31: Kasim Hill pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 22 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +13.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:55: Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 9 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +11.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:52: Ty Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +10.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00MD 4th & 2 at MD 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:13BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:58MD 4th & 19 at BGSU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    77.7%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MD 4th & 6 at BGSU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:43BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:02BGSU 4th & 18 at BGSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:27MD 4th & 22 at MD 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−3.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:32BGSU 4th & 23 at BGSU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−4.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:25BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−3.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:48BGSU 4th & 19 at BGSU 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−2.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:46BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 6, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:06BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 0:33BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:34MD Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:13BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:31MD Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55MD Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:52MD Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:57MD Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:12MD Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
15.2%
Ty Johnson run for 17 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
15.2%
Kasim Hill run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
-1
15.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Ty Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+14
15.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to DJ Turner for 14 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
15.2%
Wade Lees punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
16.6%
Jarret Doege sacked by Isaiah Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 18
OWN 9
+2
16.6%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 16
OWN 11
0
16.5%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 16
OWN 11
-3
16.4%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 49 yds , Taivon Jacobs returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:0183% → 82%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
17.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+3
17.1%
Kasim Hill run for 3 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+38
17.2%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 38 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
16.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 11 MARYLAND Penalty, illegal block (Brendan Moore) to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 4
OPP 21
-15
17.6%
Harrison, L. rush for 21 yards to the BGSU0, clock 08:58, PENALTY UMD personal foul (Moore, Brendan) 15 yards to the BGSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 19
OPP 36
+2
17.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 2 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 17
OPP 34
-5
17.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 22
OPP 39
+3
17.9%
Anthony McFarland run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 19
OPP 36
0
18.1%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 19
OPP 36
0
18.2%
Wade Lees punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4TD
15 plays · 89 yds · 6:4119% → 28%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
19.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 1 yd to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+16
19.0%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (Byron Cowart) to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
19.1%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+22
19.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 22 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
19.6%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+14
19.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 14 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
19.6%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
19.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryson Denley for 9 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
19.5%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
19.7%
Andrew Clair run for 16 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
19.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Deric Phouthavong, broken up by Marcus LewisSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
19.7%
DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete to MORRIS, Quintin, PENALTY UMD holding (Ellis, Tino) 4 yards to the UMD5, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
19.7%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the Mary 5Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
19.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Dorian Hendrix for 2 yds to the Mary 3Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
27.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 3 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:2773% → 73%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
26.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
26.9%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+19
27.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 19 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
25.9%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
25.9%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
26.1%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
27.0%
Wade Lees punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
29.7%
CLAIR, Andrew rush for 3 yards to the BGSU10 (Tanyi, Mbi), PENALTY BGSU holding (SANDERS, Brian) 3 yards to the BGSU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+11
29.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 11 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+7
29.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
29.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
29.8%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+3
29.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
28.7%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
32.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
30.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 49 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Kyle JuniorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0036% → 33%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
35.7%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
35.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-8
34.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Isaiah Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 18
OWN 43
0
32.7%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 34 yds, downed at the Mary 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:5464% → 75%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
35.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 18Similar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+6
35.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 6 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+11
36.2%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 11 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
35.2%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 5 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+14
34.1%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
33.5%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
33.2%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+30
33.3%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 30 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
32.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 5 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 1:1332% → 47%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
31.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+1
31.2%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+15
31.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 15 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
34.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, illegal participation (5 Yards) to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+20
35.2%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
47.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 29 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 1:1055% → 63%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
45.0%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon Jacobs, broken up by Robert Jackson Jr.Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
45.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 12 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
43.2%
Ty Johnson run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+6
40.9%
Ty Johnson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
41.1%
Hill, Kasim pass incomplete to Jacobs, Taivon, PENALTY BGSU pass interference (GREGORY, Montre) 15 yards to the BGSU23, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
39.7%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
40.5%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+40
37.1%
Joseph Petrino 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
39.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jarret Doege) to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
38.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for no gain to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
38.5%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+5
37.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
37.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
36.7%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
39.1%
Anthony McFarland run for 16 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-8
36.6%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 38Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 18
OWN 38
-15
39.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (Lorenzo Harrison III) to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 33
OWN 23
+11
40.1%
Anthony McFarland run for 11 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 22
OWN 34
0
41.1%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 22
OWN 34
0
41.5%
Wade Lees punt for 43 yds , Marcus Milton returns for no gain to the BwGrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
41.6%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
41.3%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+10
40.0%
Andrew Clair run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
41.9%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-9
41.7%
Jarret Doege sacked by Jesse Aniebonam for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 19
OWN 25
-5
39.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (Jamari Bozeman) to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 24
OWN 20
+1
39.8%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 23
OWN 21
0
39.2%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:4155% → 71%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
45.3%
Anthony McFarland run for 4 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
43.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Anthony McFarland for 7 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
42.9%
Anthony McFarland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+11
42.3%
Jeshaun Jones run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+32
42.2%
Ty Johnson run for 32 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
40.6%
Johnson, Ty rush for 5 yards to the BGSU1 (GREGORY, Montre), PENALTY UMD holding (Demus, Dontay) 10 yards to the BGSU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+9
41.0%
Ty Johnson run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
40.6%
MARYLAND Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Johnny Jordan) to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 22
0
42.4%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon Jacobs, broken up by Jerry McBride IIISimilar
Q3 4:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 22
+22
28.6%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 22 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
32.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 7 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-8
34.6%
Jarret Doege sacked by Byron Cowart for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 21 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, intentional grounding (Jarret Doege) to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+7
30.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 7 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 4
OWN 28
-5
30.1%
TINNERMAN, G. punt 48 yards to the UMD24, Jacobs, Taivon return to the UMD24 (JACKSON, Robert), PENALTY BGSU illegal shift 5 yards to the BGSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 9
OWN 23
-5
29.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, sideline interference (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
29.6%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 50 yds, downed at the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:3870% → 85%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
30.1%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 14 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
28.4%
Ty Johnson run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+11
27.5%
Anthony McFarland run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
26.8%
Ty Johnson run for 21 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
26.4%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
14.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 9 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
17.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 16 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-9
19.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Brett Kulka and Antoine Brooks Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 19
OWN 42
0
17.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 19
OWN 42
0
16.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Deric Phouthavong, broken up by Tre WatsonSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 19
OWN 42
+36
15.3%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 41 yds, downed at the BOWLGREEN 17 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, sideline interference (-5 Yards) to the Mary 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:3282% → 96%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+46
17.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Anthony McFarland for 46 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
15.1%
Ty Johnson run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+12
15.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
15.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
15.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
15.7%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the BwGrn 1 Tayon Fleet-Davis fumbled, forced by Brandon Harris, recovered by Mary Kasim HillSimilar
Q4 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.2%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-11
4.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete BOWLING GREEN Penalty, intentional grounding (Jarret Doege) to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 21
OWN 1
+5
4.5%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 16
OWN 6
0
4.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for no gain to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 16
OWN 6
0
4.4%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 26 yds, downed at the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:2396% → 99%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
4.0%
Anthony McFarland run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
4.0%
Anthony McFarland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+9
4.0%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
3.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.0%
Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
1.0%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-4
1.0%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Ayinde Eley return for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:1499% → 100%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
0.7%
Javon Leake run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
0.7%
Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+36
0.1%
Javon Leake run for 36 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Charles Lamar run for no gain to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.1%
Charles Lamar run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Charles Lamar run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
0.1%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 36 yds, downed at the Mary 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:31
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 22 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q4 14:55
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 9 yds for a TD (Joseph Petrino KICK)
-11.7
TD · Q2 1:13
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 29 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)
+10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com