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TEX

Texas 29 at Maryland 34

MD
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Northwest Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.6MD 31.1%Joseph Petrino 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q2 14:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:26 · Joseph Petrino 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior−27.1Home team on offense+4.2Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score differential+0.5Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:32: Jeshaun Jones pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 20 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +17.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:51: Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +10.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:14: Kyle Porter run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +19.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:25: Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 17 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK) — MD win probability +24.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:45: Joseph Petrino 18 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +20.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 11TEX made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:52TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:33MD 4th & 3 at MD 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:46TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18MD 4th & 4 at TEX 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:19TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:26MD 4th & 3 at TEX 16, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−3.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:19TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:57MD 4th & 3 at TEX 45, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    35.1%−2.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:02TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:51MD 4th & 5 at MD 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:20TEX 4th & 19 at MD 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−1.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 26, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:02MD 4th & 12 at TEX 39, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:53TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 33, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−3.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:47MD 4th & 1 at MD 36, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.9%−2.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:14MD 4th & 6 at TEX 34, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−1.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−2.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:18TEX 4th & 4 at midfield, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%−1.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:45MD 4th & 2 at TEX 2, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%−6.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−31.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:09MD 4th & 9 at TEX 46, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    77.6%−3.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:43MD 4th & 6 at TEX 45, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−2.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−1.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:29TEX 4th & 6 at MD 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−6.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−6.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:52MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:17TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:52MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:32MD Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:51TEX Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:17TEX Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:14TEX Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:25MD Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:0817% → 19%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
17.1%
Taivon Jacobs run for 13 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
17.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Ty Johnson for no gain to the Mary 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+23
17.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 23 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
17.1%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
17.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Ty Johnson for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+28
18.8%
Jeshaun Jones run for 28 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
18.6%
TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
18.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
18.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for no gain to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+10
18.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'J Humphrey, PENALTY UMD holding (Davis,RaVon) 10 yards to the UT30, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
18.6%
D'Shawn Jamison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+3
18.6%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
18.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin Duvernay, broken up by Tino EllisSimilar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+9
18.7%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 56 yds , Taivon Jacobs returns for 9 yds to the Mary 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
20.4%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
20.4%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+9
20.3%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 9 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+33
20.2%
Wade Lees punt for 43 yds , Brandon Jones returns for 33 yds to the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
1 play · 39 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
19.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 39 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:1920% → 22%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.1%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
20.1%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Ty Johnson, broken up by Kris BoydSimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+65
21.6%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 65 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
21.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the Texas 29Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
21.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
21.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Andrew Beck, broken up by Darnell Savage Jr.Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
22.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
23.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 7 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+3
23.3%
Brian Cobbs run for 3 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
23.1%
Anthony McFarland run for 4 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
23.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+17
23.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 17 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
23.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to DJ Turner for 2 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
23.6%
Taivon Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-1
23.4%
Anthony McFarland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
23.1%
Wade Lees punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
26.6%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+1
26.6%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+2
27.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
27.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Taivon Jacobs at the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 1:5929% → 31%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
29.1%
Hill,Kasim pass incomplete to Funk,Jake, PENALTY UT roughing passer (Charle Omenihu) 15 yards to the UT40, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
29.3%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
29.3%
Kasim Hill pass complete to DJ Turner for no gain to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+15
28.9%
Hill,Kasim pass incomplete to Jacobs,Taivon, PENALTY UT pass interference (Davante Davis) 15 yards to the UT23, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
29.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 1 yd to the Texas 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
30.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Avery EdwardsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 0
0
29.0%
Hill,Kasim rush for 12 yards to the UT10 (Gary Johnson), PENALTY UMD holding off-setting, PENALTY UT targeting off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+6
30.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to DJ Turner for 6 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q2 14:26
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
31.1%
Joseph Petrino 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
31.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
31.3%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 5
OWN 34
-4
31.3%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Keiron Howard for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+5
32.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt 23 yards to the UMD47, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UMD UK 5 yards to the UT35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+49
31.7%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 35 yds, downed at the MARYLAND 30 MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Mary 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
32.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for no gain to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+15
32.6%
Kasim Hill pass complete to DJ Turner for 15 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
33.0%
Kasim Hill pass complete to DJ Turner for no gain to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
32.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+13
32.4%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 13 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
33.8%
DJ Turner run for 7 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
34.0%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
33.4%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Lorenzo Harrison III, broken up by Kris BoydSimilar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
32.6%
Wade Lees punt for 40 yds, downed at the Texas 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
36.7%
Daniel Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 4Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+1
36.9%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Texas 5Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
37.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 10
OWN 5
0
38.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13TD
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
55.2%
Jeshaun Jones pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 20 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:3549% → 62%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
50.7%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
49.7%
Tre Watson run for 10 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
50.1%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+23
48.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 23 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
48.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 18 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
37.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.0%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
40.8%
Hill,Kasim pass complete to Johnson,Ty for 10 yards to the UMD36, PENALTY UMD holding (Jacobs,Taivon) 0 yards to the UMD26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
40.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 4 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
40.3%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-4
39.3%
Wade Lees punt for 46 yds , Brandon Jones returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
42.9%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (Andrew Beck) to the Texas 15Similar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+3
43.1%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+13
43.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 13 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
42.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 8 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
41.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
41.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 24 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
39.7%
D'Shawn Jamison run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+3
41.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 3 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 11
OPP 36
-3
41.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 14
OPP 39
-5
43.8%
TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 19
OPP 44
0
43.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 41 yds, downed at the Mary 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17SF
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0849% → 49%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
48.9%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Mary 3Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-1
50.6%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 11
OWN 2
0
48.5%
Jake Funk run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY Jake Funk fumbled, recovered by Mary Jake Funk for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 1:1053% → 63%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
50
-10
46.7%
Sam Ehlinger rush for 10 yards to the UMD40 (Watson,Tre;Aniebonam,Jesse), PENALTY UT holding 10 yards to the UT40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+17
49.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 17 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
46.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+15
46.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 15 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
44.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kyle Porter for 6 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+22
36.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 22 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
38.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
37.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 7 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+3
36.8%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
37.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
37.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 4 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
37.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 31
-5
39.2%
TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
39.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:0044% → 39%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
43.6%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Chigoziem Okonkwo for 6 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-5
43.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
43.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 8 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
43.1%
Kasim Hill run for 3 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
43.8%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
44.4%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
43.1%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 7
OPP 34
-5
40.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 12
OPP 39
0
39.3%
Wade Lees punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
42.0%
Daniel Young run for 9 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+5
41.4%
Daniel Young run for 5 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
41.8%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+9
42.0%
Daniel Young run for 9 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
40.9%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
41.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-2
42.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 33 Sam Ehlinger fumbled, recovered by Texas Tre WatsonSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
44.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Taivon Jacobs at the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
45.7%
DJ Turner run for 3 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
45.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+3
45.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Anthony McFarland for 3 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
44.8%
Kasim Hill run for no gain to the Mary 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:0559% → 78%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
41.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
41.4%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Mary 35Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+33
41.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 33 yds to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.1%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:4928% → 56%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.8%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
28.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jake Funk for 4 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Gerald Wilbon) to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
31.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Jeshaun Jones) to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+2
28.6%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+18
28.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Ty Johnson for 18 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-9
31.8%
Kasim Hill sacked by Kris Boyd for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 19
OPP 47
0
29.7%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Chigoziem OkonkwoSimilar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 19
OPP 47
+13
28.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Darryl Jones for 13 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+10
29.1%
Kasim Hill run for 10 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
34.6%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jeshaun JonesSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
32.4%
Kasim Hill run for 7 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+17
56.4%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 17 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0051% → 53%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
48.6%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
46.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+11
48.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 11 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
45.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 7 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
43.3%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-1
44.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 4
50
0
47.3%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 42 yds, downed at the Mary 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27FG
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:3454% → 81%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
53.8%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 12 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
55.3%
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+1
54.5%
Taivon Jacobs run for 1 yd to the Mary 19Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+15
52.8%
Hill,Kasim pass incomplete to Jones, Jeshaun, PENALTY UT pass interference (Kris Boyd) 15 yards to the UMD34, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
56.1%
Taivon Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
59.0%
Taivon Jacobs run for 1 yd to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+35
57.0%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 35 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
62.0%
Hill,Kasim pass incomplete to Barnes,Noah, PENALTY UT roughing passer (B.J. Foster) 12 yards to the UT13, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
62.0%
Ty Johnson run for 11 yds to the Texas 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.0%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 1Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
62.0%
Kasim Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
60.0%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Noah BarnesSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+18
80.5%
Joseph Petrino 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
65.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
64.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Tre Watson return for 5 yds to the Texas 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0084% → 80%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
84.0%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-2
83.8%
Taivon Jacobs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
82.3%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Taivon Jacobs, broken up by Charles OmenihuSimilar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
80.3%
Wade Lees punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 30FUMBLE
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0029% → 36%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
71.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 15 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
69.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+12
70.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 12 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
68.1%
Tre Watson run for 7 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
64.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tre Watson for 6 yds Tre Watson fumbled, forced by Tino Ellis, recovered by Mary Brett KulkaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0089% → 87%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
89.2%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
89.2%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
88.4%
Jake Funk run for no gain to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+27
87.0%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 33 , Brandon Jones returns for 27 yds to the Texas 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 32INT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:4328% → 31%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
72.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
50
0
66.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
50
-3
68.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kyle Porter for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+7
75.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kyle Porter for 7 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+13
72.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 13 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
64.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
64.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Kyle PorterSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
69.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Kasim Hill return for no gain to the Mary 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
93.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 10Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-1
92.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:25
Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 17 yds for a TD, (Joseph Petrino KICK)
+24
FG · Q4 6:45
Joseph Petrino 18 yd FG GOOD
+20.5
TD · Q3 4:14
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-19.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com