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NEB

Nebraska 28 at Iowa 31

IOWA
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2018 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:30 · Colten Rastetter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Stanley Morgan Jr. at the Neb 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+16.5Home team on offense+1.3Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:45: Mekhi Sargent run for 15 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +8.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:13: Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 5 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +7.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:57: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 28 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK) — NEB win probability +11.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:22: Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout NEBRASKA, clock 03:22 (Adrian Martinez pass to Kade Warner for Two-Point Conversion) — NEB win probability +41.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Miguel Recinos 41 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +29.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q2 11:30NEB 4th & 3 at IOWA 10, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−3.9
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:30IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:54NEB 4th & 23 at NEB 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:06IOWA 4th & 3 at NEB 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    70.8%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00NEB 4th & 3 at IOWA 29, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 13, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:13NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 14, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:10IOWA 4th & 2 at NEB 3, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−7.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:09NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 9, down 15
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:09NEB 4th & 1 at midfield, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.2%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00NEB 4th & 2 at IOWA 39, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−1.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:57IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 26, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−3.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:57NEB 4th & 2 at IOWA 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%−4.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:54IOWA 4th & 9 at NEB 19, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−6.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:42IOWA 4th & 8 at NEB 37, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.0%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%
    40% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−8.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:37IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:55NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:21IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:45IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:13IOWA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:57NEB Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:22NEB Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    30.6%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:2374% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
73.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for no gain to the Iowa 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
73.5%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+25
73.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 25 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
73.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+10
73.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Kyle Groeneweg for 10 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
73.5%
Toren Young run for 7 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+3
73.5%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
73.5%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
73.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+6
73.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
74.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 15 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 3:4226% → 30%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
73.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 11 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
73.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Maurice WashingtonSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
73.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+11
73.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
73.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
73.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Bryan Reimers for 5 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
73.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
73.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 18 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
73.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
73.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+17
73.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 17 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 4 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 6:3472% → 76%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
71.5%
Toren Young run for 11 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
71.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
71.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 8 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+7
71.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 7 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
72.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 12 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
72.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+13
72.4%
Toren Young run for 13 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
72.6%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+9
72.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 9 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
72.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 9 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+4
72.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
72.1%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
75.9%
Toren Young run for 4 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5126% → 30%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kade Warner, broken up by Matt NelsonSimilar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
74.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 16 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
73.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 7 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+35
73.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 35 yds to the Iowa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
72.4%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-3
72.4%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+7
73.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
70.4%
Barret Pickering 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
71.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
71.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 4 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-1
70.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
70.2%
Colten Rastetter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Stanley Morgan Jr. at the Neb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
69.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 20 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
69.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Devine Ozigbo, broken up by Michael OjemudiaSimilar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-9
69.0%
Adrian Martinez sacked by A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 19
OPP 49
-4
70.6%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 23
OWN 47
0
71.5%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kyle Groeneweg at the Iowa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
16 plays · 85 yds · 7:1672% → 83%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
71.6%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 0
0
71.7%
Toren Young run for no gain to the Iowa 18 NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+10
70.8%
Nate Stanley run for 10 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
71.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+14
71.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 14 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
73.1%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
73.1%
Toren Young run for 8 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
73.5%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
73.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
73.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+6
72.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 6 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
74.1%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+4
74.1%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
74.1%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+15
82.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 15 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 0:4519% → 22%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
80.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 22 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
79.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 6 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
78.1%
Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+8
78.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 8 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
80.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
80.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 2 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
80.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for no gain to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+5
82.5%
IOWA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+46
77.7%
Barret Pickering 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
78.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-5
79.0%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 3
+10
79.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 10 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
80.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kyle Groeneweg at the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:5682% → 90%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
81.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+5
81.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
81.9%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
81.8%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+21
81.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 21 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
82.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+9
82.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 9 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 5 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
87.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Jack StollSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
87.6%
Maurice Washington run for 2 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
87.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony NelsonSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+7
88.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 34 yds , Kyle Groeneweg returns for 7 yds to the Neb 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
90.3%
Toren Young run for 19 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
90.3%
Toren Young run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+3
90.3%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+7
89.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 7 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
90.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+1
90.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
89.9%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+1
89.3%
Colten Rastetter pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 1 yd to the Neb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
14 plays · 98 yds · 5:1210% → 20%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
90.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+3
90.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
90.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by A.J. EpenesaSimilar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 3
OWN 9
+15
90.8%
Luke Gifford punt for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Amani Hooker) to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
89.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 12 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
88.8%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
88.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
88.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 1
50
+3
88.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
88.7%
Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+4
91.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 4 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+11
91.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
79.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 28 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
87.0%
Toren Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
86.7%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Mekhi SargentSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
85.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nick Easley, broken up by Tyrin FergusonSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+1
84.9%
Colten Rastetter punt for 38 yds , Stanley Morgan Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Neb 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0016% → 18%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
84.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 5 yds to the Neb 42 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+8
85.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
83.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 8 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
82.7%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+8
84.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+4
82.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+6
83.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
81.9%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Michael Ojemudia return for 9 yds to the Iowa 29 NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:3390% → 89%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
89.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 32 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
89.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Neb 19Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
89.9%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
90.0%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
88.7%
Miguel Recinos 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:3213% → 59%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
87.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 18 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
84.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
82.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Michael OjemudiaSimilar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
83.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 5 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+5
83.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 5 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
82.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Maurice WashingtonSimilar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
83.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 14 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
80.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+3
80.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
80.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
80.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 2 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
82.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 3 yds to the Iowa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout NEBRASKA, clock 03:22 (Adrian Martinez pass to Kade Warner for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 3:2260% → 96%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
59.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
62.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+16
61.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 16 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
63.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
63.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+3
60.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 8
OPP 37
+10
57.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 10 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
66.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+41
95.6%
Miguel Recinos 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:22
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout NEBRASKA, clock 03:22 (Adrian Martinez pass to Kade Warner for Two-Point Conversion)
-41.1
FG · Q4 0:00
Miguel Recinos 41 yd FG GOOD
+29
TD · Q4 13:57
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Maurice Washington for 28 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com