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IOWA

Iowa 36 at Purdue 38

PUR
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:08 · Spencer Evans 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:11: David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 82 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +12.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:26: David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 3 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +14.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:29: Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +22.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:19: Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — IOWA win probability +20.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:08: Spencer Evans 25 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +50.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 2:11IOWA 4th & 10 at PUR 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:44PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:47IOWA 4th & 7 at PUR 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−4.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:53PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.6%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:33IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:21IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:33IOWA 4th & 2 at PUR 4, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−8.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:12IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 11, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−2.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:00PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 33, down 1
    Close callPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:30IOWA 4th & 19 at IOWA 19, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−12.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:58PUR 4th & 2 at IOWA 30, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.8 ptsWent for it · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.8%−3.8
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−18.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:08PUR 4th & 7 at IOWA 7, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−42.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−63.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:56PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:15IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:40PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:27PUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:17IOWA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:11PUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:33IOWA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    34.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:26PUR Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:29IOWA Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:19IOWA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    53.5%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:5156% → 58%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
56.3%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 15 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to D.J. KnoxSimilar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
56.3%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+12
56.3%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 12 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
56.6%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 7 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
56.8%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
56.8%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
56.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
58.0%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 36 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:3142% → 44%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
57.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 10 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
57.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 4 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+17
57.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 17 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
57.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 11 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
57.9%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
58.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+12
58.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 12 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
58.1%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+21
58.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nate Wieting for 21 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
58.3%
Noah Fant run for 3 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
58.5%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 3 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.6%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3057% → 62%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+57
56.6%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 57 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
58.0%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 4 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
58.1%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+10
57.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 10 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
58.3%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.4%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:1639% → 39%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
60.6%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 4 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
60.3%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kai Higgins) to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
60.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
59.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. HockensonSimilar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
60.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. HockensonSimilar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
60.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Noah FantSimilar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
61.0%
Colten Rastetter punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:1661% → 61%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
61.2%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+11
61.3%
David Blough run for 11 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
61.7%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
61.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-1
61.5%
David Blough sacked by A.J. Epenesa for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+38
60.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 59 yds , Kyle Groeneweg returns for 38 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:5140% → 42%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
60.2%
Toren Young run for 8 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
60.0%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
60.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
60.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+16
60.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 16 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
59.5%
Toren Young run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
59.6%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 1 yd to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
60.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
58.1%
Miguel Recinos 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 4:1459% → 71%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
59.4%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 7 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+4
59.6%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
59.6%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 11 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
60.1%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+10
59.7%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 10 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
60.8%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+2
60.8%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
62.9%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for no gain to the Prdue 45 lat. to Alexander Horvath for 1 yd to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+15
62.7%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Moore, Rondale, PENALTY IOWA roughing passer (Epenesa, A.J.) 15 yards to the IOWA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE.Similar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
63.6%
Jackson Anthrop run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+41
71.2%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 41 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4731% → 28%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.1%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
68.2%
Stanley, Nate pass complete to Kelly-Martin, Ivory for 6 yards to the IOWA38, PENALTY PURDUE holding (Mackey, Dedrick) 10 yards to the IOWA42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
68.2%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 1 yd to the Iowa 43Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
70.1%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
70.7%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
72.1%
Colten Rastetter punt for 36 yds, downed at the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:0171% → 71%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
70.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 2 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
71.5%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
71.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:5830% → 42%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
69.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 10 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
70.0%
Toren Young run for 11 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
69.1%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-2
69.3%
Toren Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+5
70.9%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derrick Barnes) to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+17
70.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 17 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
69.5%
Austin Kelly run for 1 yd to the Prdue 1Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.0%
Nate Stanley run for 1 yd for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
63.4%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:2240% → 36%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
60.5%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 1 yd to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-7
60.9%
Nate Stanley sacked by Jacob Thieneman for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 16
OWN 34
-5
63.9%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 21
OWN 29
+9
63.9%
Toren Young run for 9 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
64.1%
Colten Rastetter punt for 44 yds, downed at the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
1 play · 82 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
76.6%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 82 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:2724% → 38%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
76.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 4 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+65
76.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 65 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
72.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 2 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
73.2%
Stanley, Nate pass incomplete to Smith-Marsette, Ihmir, PENALTY IOWA illegal touching 0 yards to the PURDUE10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+6
74.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 6 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+4
62.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:5367% → 71%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.3%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
69.1%
D.J. Knox run for 11 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
69.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
68.9%
David Blough run for 6 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+8
70.0%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
71.0%
David Blough pass intercepted Jake Gervase return for no gain to the Iowa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1234% → 32%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
66.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 4Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+4
66.5%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 4 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+3
68.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 3 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+24
68.5%
Colten Rastetter punt for 31 yds , Rondale Moore returns for 24 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:4073% → 87%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
72.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
72.5%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 9 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+3
71.3%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Iowa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
72.9%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Iowa 2Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
73.1%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 3Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.4%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 3 yds for a TD, (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5315% → 39%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
84.0%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
84.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 13 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
83.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Kyle Groeneweg for 18 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
83.0%
Toren Young run for 3 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+12
83.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 12 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
81.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 13 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
82.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
82.6%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.8%
Austin Kelly run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.3%
Austin Kelly run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+21
73.3%
David Blough pass intercepted Amani Hooker return for 11 yds to the Prdue 25 IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Prdue 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:4840% → 61%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
59.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
60.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+17
61.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 17 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
59.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 4 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:0649% → 47%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
48.6%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 10 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.5%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
50.1%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 3 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
48.8%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
47.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kyle Groeneweg at the Iowa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 3:2357% → 56%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
43.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+7
42.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 7 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
40.3%
Sargent, Mekhi rush for 2 yards to the IOWA30, PENALTY IOWA holding 10 yards to the IOWA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+6
41.1%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 14
OWN 24
-10
41.5%
Stanley, Nate rush for 7 yards to the IOWA31, PENALTY IOWA holding (Sargent, Mekhi) 10 yards to the IOWA14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 24
OWN 14
+5
40.7%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 19
OWN 19
0
42.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 19
OWN 19
0
43.9%
Colten Rastetter punt for 31 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23FG
15 plays · 43 yds · 4:1654% → 93%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
50
+12
54.4%
Markell Jones run for 12 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
55.0%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
56.1%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
53.2%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+7
50.2%
David Blough run for 7 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
57.4%
Knox, D.J. rush for 5 yards to the IOWA18, PENALTY PURDUE holding (Hopkins, Brycen) 10 yards to the IOWA33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+2
56.2%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 2 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 18
OPP 31
+15
49.6%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Zico, Isaac, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Brents, Julius) 15 yards to the IOWA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+11
53.2%
D.J. Knox run for 11 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
53.7%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
53.7%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 7Similar
Q4 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
47.3%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Iowa 7Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
93.1%
Spencer Evans 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:08
Spencer Evans 25 yd FG GOOD
+50.3
TD · Q4 12:29
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)
-22.9
TD · Q4 10:19
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-20.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com