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WIS

Wisconsin 28 at Iowa 17

IOWA
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:31 · Colten Rastetter punt for 31 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense−3.1Pregame prior−7.1Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score differential−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:15: Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 20 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +16.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:12: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +14.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:37: Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 1 yd for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK) — IOWA win probability +18.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:57: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 17 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +57.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:38: Alec Ingold run for 4 yds to the Iowa 33 — WIS win probability +13.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WIS 4th & 4 at IOWA 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:29IOWA 4th & 1 at WIS 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:31IOWA 4th & 9 at WIS 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:03WIS 4th & 2 at IOWA 46, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%−2.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:15WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:31WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:12IOWA 4th & 6 at WIS 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−9.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:12WIS 4th & 17 at IOWA 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00WIS 4th & 3 at IOWA 44, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%−4.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:25IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 19, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:29WIS 4th & 3 at IOWA 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:34IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 14:31WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:15IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:12WIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:37IOWA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:57WIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.8
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:22WIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
40.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
40.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
40.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 9 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+6
40.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
40.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
40.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
40.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
40.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Kyle Groeneweg at the Iowa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 80 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
42.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 9 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
42.1%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for no gain to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
41.9%
Brady Ross run for 3 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
42.1%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+24
42.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 24 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
42.6%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+8
42.6%
Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Easley,Nick, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Harrell, Deron) 8 yards to the WIS34, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
42.7%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 20 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
42.7%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-2
42.7%
Toren Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 12Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+7
42.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for 7 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
42.3%
Nate Stanley run for no gain to the Wisc 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 5:1056% → 64%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
43.7%
Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+6
43.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
43.5%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
43.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 7 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
43.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
43.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+17
43.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 17 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
42.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
42.3%
Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+33
42.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Alec Ingold for 33 yds to the Iowa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
36.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 6 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
38.3%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 19 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
39.6%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for no gain to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+13
39.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 13 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
40.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
40.1%
Kyle Groeneweg run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 14:31
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-3
39.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 14:31
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
38.2%
Colten Rastetter punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:4662% → 65%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
37.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+12
37.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
37.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for no gain to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+17
37.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
35.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+7
36.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 7 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
34.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor, broken up by Amani HookerSimilar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+12
35.4%
Anthony Lotti punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 23 , Kyle Groeneweg returns for 12 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:2736% → 52%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
36.1%
Stanley,Nate pass incomplete to Smith,Brandon, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Hicks, Faion) 10 yards to the IOWA33, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
36.4%
Toren Young run for 6 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
38.0%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette, broken up by Scott NelsonSimilar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-5
37.0%
IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+46
35.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 46 yds to the IOWA 20 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
51.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 20 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
45.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 5 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-3
44.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
46.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+23
46.9%
Anthony Lotti punt for 44 yds , Kyle Groeneweg returns for 23 yds to the Wisc 45 Kyle Groeneweg fumbled, forced by D'Cota Dixon, recovered by Wisc D'Cota DixonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 54%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
43.1%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 5
50
+1
42.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-10
43.0%
[SG], Hornibrook, A. pass complete to Groshek, G. for 4 yards to the IOWA45, out-of-bounds (Welch,Kristian), PENALTY WIS holding (Deiter, Michael) 10 yards to the WIS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+7
45.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 7 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
45.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kyle Groeneweg at the Iowa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+18
48.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 18 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
49.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette, broken up by Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
49.1%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 8 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:4850% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.9%
Nate Stanley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
50.0%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 1 yd to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
48.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 12 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
51.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
52.6%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+45
51.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to T.J. Hockenson for 45 yds to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
53.9%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
53.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 4 yds to the Wisc 2Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
52.7%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 6Similar
Q3 10:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
57.4%
Miguel Recinos 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.0%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
54.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
53.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 23 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
51.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+2
52.4%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 13
OPP 43
-13
52.5%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 13 yards to the IOWA 44 WISCONSIN Penalty, intentional grounding (Alex Hornibrook) to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 26
OWN 44
+9
55.0%
Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
56.1%
Anthony Lotti punt for 37 yds , Shaun Beyer returns for no gain to the Iowa 10 Shaun Beyer fumbled, recovered by Wisc Travian BlaylockSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:3350% → 64%
Q3 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
50.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
50.5%
Kendric Pryor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 12Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
35.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3540% → 66%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
40.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 14 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
43.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+23
44.0%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 8 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, personal foul (Ryan Connelly) to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
47.2%
Toren Young run for 9 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+10
47.2%
Toren Young run for 10 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
47.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brady Ross for 11 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 1 yd for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 46 yds · 1:3740% → 42%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
60.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+1
60.5%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+5
61.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
60.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 14 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
59.4%
Hornibrook, A. pass complete to Davis, Danny for 15 yards to the IOWA49 (Hooker,Amani), PENALTY WIS holding (Erdmann, Jason) 10 yards to the WIS26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+5
60.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+18
61.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 18 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
56.2%
Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
55.6%
Alex Hornibrook run for 2 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
56.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
58.2%
Anthony Lotti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kyle Groeneweg at the Iowa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0067% → 64%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
66.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to T.J. HockensonSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+7
66.3%
Toren Young run for 7 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
64.9%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon Smith, broken up by Isaiahh LoudermilkSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
63.8%
Colten Rastetter punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
60.2%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 4
50
+1
58.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
59.2%
Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
61.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, downed at the Iowa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
68.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 8 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 2
OWN 23
-3
69.5%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+22
67.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nick Easley for 22 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
71.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
72.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
71.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+5
68.4%
Colten Rastetter punt for 46 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 5 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 4:4333% → 92%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
67.0%
Taiwan Deal run for 8 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+5
65.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 5 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+28
64.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 28 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
59.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+1
58.8%
Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+5
60.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
57.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+12
56.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Iowa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
8.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 17 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
22.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 6 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
24.4%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nick EasleySimilar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
21.9%
Nate Stanley pass intercepted T.J. Edwards return for no gain to the Iowa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:1692% → 97%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
8.4%
Alec Ingold run for 4 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
4.6%
Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+33
3.1%
Alec Ingold run for 33 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:57
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 17 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-57.9
TD · Q3 1:37
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 1 yd for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)
+18.7
TD · Q2 5:15
Nate Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 20 yds for a TD (Miguel Recinos KICK)
+16.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com